Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bristol Rovers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Memorial Stadium 9,937 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 55' Dwight Gayle
0–2 58' Thomas Barkhuizen
0–3 89' Martyn Waghorn

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol Rovers FC vs Derby County FCLeague One at Memorial Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Lee Swabey
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Staten (England)
  • Assistant 2 James Vallance (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Derby County FC H 0–3 L
02 Mar Leyton Orient FC A 1–0 W
24 Feb Carlisle United FC H 2–1 W
17 Feb Northampton Town FC A 1–3 L
13 Feb Stevenage FC A 3–2 W
10 Feb Burton Albion FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 3–0 W
02 Mar Port Vale FC H 3–0 W
27 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Stevenage FC H 1–0 W
13 Feb Exeter City FC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Bristol Rovers FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Bristol Rovers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Joe Ward needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 34' It’s a booking for Bristol Rovers FC player. Kamil Conteh gets a card.
  • 38' It’s gonna be a card for Ebou Adams.
  • 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Chris Martin.
  • 50' Elkan Baggott has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 48 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 55' GOAL! Dwight Gayle scores on 55.
  • 58' Goal! Thomas Barkhuizen scores his 7 goal in 385 matches.
  • 63' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 68' That looks like a foul for a card for Dwight Gayle.
  • 73' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Harvey Vale made 409 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 74' Time for substitution for Bristol Rovers FC. Lewis Gordon is replaced by Jevani Brown.
  • 79' Another substitution for Bristol Rovers FC to replace Sam Finley by John Marquis on 79 minute.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Thomas Barkhuizen is replaced by Kane Wilson.
  • 88' Bristol Rovers FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 89' What a strike from Martyn Waghorn! The score is 0-3.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Corey Blackett-Taylor. He replaces Conor Hourihane on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. Derby County FC beats Bristol Rovers FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 Bristol Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC25% Draw27% Derby County FC48%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Bristol Rovers FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Bristol Rovers FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC18% Draw45% Derby County FC37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Bristol Rovers FC

Handicap Bristol Rovers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 23% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.