Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 18:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Chicago Fire FC H 1–2 L
09 Mar FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
02 Mar Orlando City SC A 2–4 L
23 Feb D.C. United SC A 2–2 D
05 Oct Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L
02 Oct New York Red Bulls H 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Toronto FC A 2–1 W
09 Mar FC Dallas A 3–1 W
02 Mar D.C. United SC H 2–2 D
23 Feb Columbus Crew SC A 2–4 L
19 Oct Nashville SC H 0–3 L
02 Oct Charlotte FC A 3–4 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC Chicago Fire FC
#11 Position #3
14 Points 26
14 Played 14
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 8 / 2 / 4
22 Scored 27
29 Conceded 16
-7 GD +11
1.00 PPG 1.86
21% Win % 57%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 3rd (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Toronto FC and Chicago Fire FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Chicago Fire FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 280 games and scored 369 goals.
  • 11' A goal from the Canada international Deandre Kerr! He fires home on 11 to make it 1-0!
  • 16' Supporters expect more eagerness from Philip Zinckernagel, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 17' A tactical swap from Chicago Fire FCLeonardo Barroso on, Jonathan Dean off on 17 minutes.
  • 22' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 27' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' Andrew Gutman makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Chicago Fire FC are in front.
  • 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 40' Sean Johnson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 44' A goal from the Belgium international Hugo Cuypers! He fires home on 44 to make it 1-2!
  • 45' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Kevin Long is replaced by Lazar Stefanovic on 45 minute.
  • 50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 60' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Chicago Fire FC backline.
  • 62' Fresh legs for Chicago Fire FC! Omari Glasgow comes on to replace Philip Zinckernagel.
  • 67' Toronto FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Chicago Fire FC's shape.
  • 72' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and Chicago Fire FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 75' A tactical swap from Toronto FCDeybi Flores on, Alonso Coello Camarero off on 75 minutes.
  • 76' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Tyrese Spicer by Theo Corbeanu on 76 minute.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Deandre Kerr is replaced by Derrick Etienne.
  • 86' The Chicago Fire FC bench stirs into life. Hugo Cuypers is withdrawn and Tom Barlow gets his opportunity.
  • 1-2 the final result. Toronto FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.2 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC22% Draw23% Chicago Fire FC55%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
45%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
78%
Toronto FC or Chicago Fire FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC17% Draw39% Chicago Fire FC44%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 1
6.7%
0 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 4
3.9%
1 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 11% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 41% 59%
+1 41% 21% 38%
+1.5 62% 38%
+2 62% 18% 20%
+2.5 80% 20%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12%
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.