Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- Chicago Fire FC 17 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | Orlando City SC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 23 Feb | D.C. United SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | FC Dallas | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | D.C. United SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Feb | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Oct | Nashville SC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Oct | Charlotte FC | A | 3–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Chicago Fire FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 17 | Points | 29 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 9 / 2 / 6 |
| 24 | Scored | 32 |
| 32 | Conceded | 23 |
| -8 | GD | +9 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 17% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
Chicago Fire FC this season
Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 4th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/4
31-45
1/5
46-60
2/2
61-75
6/–
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Chicago Fire FC
| Hugo Cuypers | 11 G | |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 5 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Toronto FC and Chicago Fire FC get this one started.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Chicago Fire FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 11' Deandre Kerr makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Toronto FC are in front.
- 16' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chris Brady, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 17' Jonathan Dean makes way for Leonardo Barroso at the 17 minute mark. A tactical switch from Chicago Fire FC.
- 22' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 27' Omari Glasgow has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 278 appearances.
- 30' Andrew Gutman has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 30 minutes.
- 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and Chicago Fire FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 40' Jonathan Bamba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Chicago Fire FC so far.
- 44' What a moment for Hugo Cuypers! That strike on 44 puts his side firmly in control.
- 45' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Kevin Long departs to be replaced by Lazar Stefanovic.
- 50' Chicago Fire FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 55' Jonathan Osorio has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 60' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 62' Chicago Fire FC make a change. Philip Zinckernagel trudges off to be replaced by Omari Glasgow on 62 minutes.
- 67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 72' Chicago Fire FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Robin Lod scoring 1 goals.
- 75' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Alonso Coello Camarero by Deybi Flores on 75 minute.
- 76' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Tyrese Spicer departs to be replaced by Theo Corbeanu.
- 81' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Deandre Kerr by Derrick Etienne on 81 minute.
- 86' Chicago Fire FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tom Barlow is hanging Hugo Cuypers on the field on 86 minute.
- The final score is 1-2.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Kevin Long ↓ Lazar Stefanovic 45'
- 10
- 21
- 1
- 8
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↓ Derrick Etienne 81'
- 6
- 14
- 12
- 15
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↓ Theo Corbeanu 76'
Bench
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↑ 81'
- 28
-
7
Theo Corbeanu ↑ 76'
- 90
- 19
-
71
Markus Cimermancic ↑ 81'
-
20
Deybi Flores ↑ 75'
-
76
Lazar Stefanovic ↑ 45'
Chicago Fire FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 3
- 15
- 22
- 17
- 11
- 1
-
9
Hugo Cuypers ↓ Tom Barlow 86'
- 35
- 24
- 5
Bench
-
7
Maren Haile-Selassie ↑ 62'
-
12
Tom Barlow ↑ 86'
- 34
- 25
-
26
Omari Glasgow ↑ 62'
-
2
Leonardo Barroso ↑ 17'
- 38
- 45
-
47
Samuel Williams ↑ 86'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 3 |
| Jack Elliott | 3 |
| Jozy Altidore | 3 |
| Deandre Kerr | 2 |
| Omar Gonzalez | 2 |
| Jhon Duran | 2 |
| Sebastian Giovinco | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.06
Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Chicago Fire FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
76%
Toronto FC or Chicago Fire FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
5.3%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Chicago Fire FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 22% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 17% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

