Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 18:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Chicago Fire FC H 1–2 L
09 Mar FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
02 Mar Orlando City SC A 2–4 L
23 Feb D.C. United SC A 2–2 D
05 Oct Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L
02 Oct New York Red Bulls H 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Toronto FC A 2–1 W
09 Mar FC Dallas A 3–1 W
02 Mar D.C. United SC H 2–2 D
23 Feb Columbus Crew SC A 2–4 L
19 Oct Nashville SC H 0–3 L
02 Oct Charlotte FC A 3–4 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC Chicago Fire FC
#12 Position #4
17 Points 29
18 Played 17
3 / 8 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 2 / 6
24 Scored 32
32 Conceded 23
-8 GD +9
0.94 PPG 1.71
17% Win % 53%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
41% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 4th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/4
31-45
1/5
46-60
2/2
61-75
6/
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC
Hugo Cuypers 11 G
Philip Zinckernagel 5 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Toronto FC and Chicago Fire FC get this one started.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Chicago Fire FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 11' Deandre Kerr makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Toronto FC are in front.
  • 16' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chris Brady, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 17' Jonathan Dean makes way for Leonardo Barroso at the 17 minute mark. A tactical switch from Chicago Fire FC.
  • 22' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 27' Omari Glasgow has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 278 appearances.
  • 30' Andrew Gutman has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 30 minutes.
  • 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and Chicago Fire FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 40' Jonathan Bamba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Chicago Fire FC so far.
  • 44' What a moment for Hugo Cuypers! That strike on 44 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 45' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Kevin Long departs to be replaced by Lazar Stefanovic.
  • 50' Chicago Fire FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 55' Jonathan Osorio has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 60' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 62' Chicago Fire FC make a change. Philip Zinckernagel trudges off to be replaced by Omari Glasgow on 62 minutes.
  • 67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 72' Chicago Fire FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Robin Lod scoring 1 goals.
  • 75' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Alonso Coello Camarero by Deybi Flores on 75 minute.
  • 76' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Tyrese Spicer departs to be replaced by Theo Corbeanu.
  • 81' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Deandre Kerr by Derrick Etienne on 81 minute.
  • 86' Chicago Fire FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tom Barlow is hanging Hugo Cuypers on the field on 86 minute.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.06 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC24% Draw24% Chicago Fire FC52%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
76%
Toronto FC or Chicago Fire FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC18% Draw41% Chicago Fire FC41%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
5.3%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 22% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 17% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14%
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.