Saturday , 14 November 2026

Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 18:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Chicago Fire FC H 1–2 L
09 Mar FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
02 Mar Orlando City SC A 2–4 L
23 Feb D.C. United SC A 2–2 D
05 Oct Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L
02 Oct New York Red Bulls H 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Toronto FC A 2–1 W
09 Mar FC Dallas A 3–1 W
02 Mar D.C. United SC H 2–2 D
23 Feb Columbus Crew SC A 2–4 L
19 Oct Nashville SC H 0–3 L
02 Oct Charlotte FC A 3–4 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC Chicago Fire FC
#12 Position #4
39 Points 55
34 Played 34
9 / 12 / 13 W / D / L 16 / 7 / 11
52 Scored 64
67 Conceded 54
-15 GD +10
1.15 PPG 1.62
26% Win % 47%

Key Stats

76% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
24% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 4th (55 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
9/4
16-30
9/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
10/9
61-75
10/4
76+
6/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Josh Sargent 10 G 4 A
Daniel Salloi 9 G 6 A
Chicago Fire FC
Maren Haile-Selassie 13 G 5 A
Hugo Cuypers 12 G
Hugo Cuypers 11 G
Robert Lewandowski 9 G 3 A
Philip Zinckernagel 5 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Chicago Fire FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 11' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Deandre Kerr makes it 1-0.
  • 16' Chicago Fire FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 17' Another change for Chicago Fire FC made on 17 minute. Jonathan Dean leaves to be changed by Leonardo Barroso.
  • 22' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 27' Zane Monlouis is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Chicago Fire FC tonight.
  • 30' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Andrew Gutman makes it 1-1.
  • 35' Chicago Fire FC have won 427 goals from 295 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 40' Toronto FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 44' The Belgium Hugo Cuypers breaks the deadlock on 44 minutes. 1-2!
  • 45' Toronto FC ring the changes. Kevin Long has done his job and it is now time for Lazar Stefanovic to step up.
  • 50' Toronto FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Chicago Fire FC's shape.
  • 55' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 62' The whistle greets Philip Zinckernagel as he departs to be replaced by Omari Glasgow.
  • 67' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 72' Over 72 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 75' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Deybi Flores on, Alonso Coello Camarero off on 75 minutes.
  • 76' Tyrese Spicer makes way for Theo Corbeanu at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
  • 81' Derrick Etienne is replacing Deandre Kerr for the Toronto FC side.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Chicago Fire FC! Tom Barlow comes on to replace Hugo Cuypers.
  • Chicago Fire FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.16 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC26% Draw24% Chicago Fire FC50%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
50%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
74%
Toronto FC or Chicago Fire FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC21% Draw39% Chicago Fire FC40%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
6.4%
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
5.9%
0 – 1
5.4%
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
1 – 4
3.5%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 13% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 20% 32%
+1.5 68% — 32%
+2 68% 16% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.