New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 15 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Orlando City SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Mar | Nashville SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Mar | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 23 Feb | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #13 |
| 22 | Points | 14 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 6 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 9 |
| 25 | Scored | 23 |
| 32 | Conceded | 44 |
| -7 | GD | -21 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 0.93 |
| 40% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
–/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: New York Red Bulls gets underway.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Orlando City SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Colombia international Luis Muriel has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with New York Red Bulls winning 100% of all matches.
- 18' Against the run of play, Martin Ojeda has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 23' It’s high time Óscar Pareja made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 28' New York Red Bulls looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 29' Maxim Choupo-Moting makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and New York Red Bulls are in front.
- 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ivan Angulo, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 39' Marco Pasalic does the damage! The net is bulging and Orlando City SC surge ahead!
- 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 47' Dennis Gjengaar is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 52' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York Red Bulls and Orlando City SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 57' The energy levels are beginning to show. Óscar Pareja might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 62' New York Red Bulls currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 67' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alex Freeman is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York Red Bulls.
- 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Peter Stroud.
- 69' Orlando City SC make a change. Martin Ojeda trudges off to be replaced by Dagur THorhallsson on 69 minutes.
- 74' Sean Nealis, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 76' Peter Stroud makes way for Felipe Carballo at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
- 76' Poor challenge from Sean Nealis. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 81' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both New York Red Bulls and Orlando City SC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 82' A change in the Orlando City SC ranks — Kyle Smith exits the field as Ramiro Enrique enters on 82.
- 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Robin Jansson on 82.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Duncan McGuire. He replaces Luis Muriel on 87 minute.
- 88' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Dennis Gjengaar exits the field as Serge Ngoma enters on 88.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Serge Ngoma.
- 90' Emil Forsberg makes way for Wikelmann Carmona at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
- 42
- 10
- 44
-
15
Sean Nealis ↓ Julian Hall 76'
- 12
- 3
- 31
- 75
-
8
Peter Stroud ↓ Felipe Carballo 76'
-
22
Dennis Gjengaar ↓ Serge Ngoma 88'
Bench
- 26
- 1
-
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 88'
-
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↑ 90'
-
20
Felipe Carballo ↑ 76'
- 5
-
16
Julian Hall ↑ 76'
- 70
- 88
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Luis Muriel ↓ Duncan McGuire 87'
- 15
- 10
- 20
- 1
- 6
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Ramiro Enrique 82'
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Rafael Santos 82'
- 30
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↓ David Brekalo 82'
- 35
Bench
-
3
Rafael Santos ↑ 82'
-
7
Ramiro Enrique ↑ 82'
-
4
David Brekalo ↑ 82'
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↑ 87'
- 12
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 69'
- 25
- 65
- 96
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Facundo Torres Perez | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Christian Casseres Jr. | 3 |
| Brian White | 2 |
| Derrick Etienne | 2 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Caden Clark | 2 |
| Dom Dwyer | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2025-03-15
New York Red Bulls
2–2
Orlando City SC
D
2025-03-09
Atlanta United FC
0–0
New York Red Bulls
D
2025-03-02
New York Red Bulls
2–0
Nashville SC
W
2025-02-23
FC Cincinnati
1–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2024-10-19
New York Red Bulls
2–3
Columbus Crew SC
L
2024-10-05
Atlanta United FC
2–1
New York Red Bulls
L
Orlando City SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.47
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.25
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
72%
Draw or Orlando City SC
51%
New York Red Bulls or Orlando City SC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
7%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
3.9%
4 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
4 – 2
3.4%
3 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 15% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 19% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

