New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Orlando City SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Mar | Nashville SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Mar | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 23 Feb | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #9 |
| 42 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 6 / 16 | W / D / L | 13 / 7 / 14 |
| 48 | Scored | 63 |
| 62 | Conceded | 78 |
| -14 | GD | -15 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 35% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts). Orlando City SC are 9th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
7/7
16-30
4/3
31-45
8/7
46-60
7/10
61-75
4/6
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
5/5
16-30
10/10
31-45
5/8
46-60
10/10
61-75
7/5
76+
13/15
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 13 G | 3 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 8 G | 1 A |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 16 G | 4 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 14 G | 6 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Red Bull Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Eduard Atuesta has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 304 appearances.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luis Muriel suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' Noah Eile needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 14 Yellow cards this season.
- 18' Magnificent from Martin Ojeda! That is 52 goals in 204 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 23' New York Red Bulls currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 28' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 29' A stunning finish from Maxim Choupo-Moting — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 34' The travelling Orlando City SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 39' What composure from Marco Pasalic! The Croatia international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 44' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York Red Bulls and Orlando City SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 47' GOAL! Dennis Gjengaar fires home to make it 2-2!
- 52' Duncan McGuire is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York Red Bulls tonight.
- 57' Orlando City SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 62' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 67' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. Orlando City SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 68' New York Red Bulls player sees a card in front of him.
- 69' It is a substitution in Orlando City SC team. Martin Ojeda is replaced by Dagur THorhallsson on 69 minute.
- 74' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 76' Felipe Carballo gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces Peter Stroud and will look to change the dynamic.
- 76' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Sean Nealis.
- 81' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 82' Time for substitution for Orlando City SC. Kyle Smith is replaced by Ramiro Enrique.
- 82' Robin Jansson is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
- 87' Orlando City SC ring the changes. Luis Muriel has done his job and it is now time for Duncan McGuire to step up.
- 88' The whistle greets Dennis Gjengaar as he departs to be replaced by Serge Ngoma.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Serge Ngoma on 90.
- 90' Wikelmann Carmona is replacing Emil Forsberg for the New York Red Bulls side.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
- 42
- 10
- 44
-
15
Sean Nealis ↓ Julian Hall 76'
- 12
- 3
- 31
- 75
-
8
Peter Stroud ↓ Felipe Carballo 76'
-
22
Dennis Gjengaar ↓ Serge Ngoma 88'
Bench
- 26
- 1
-
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 88'
-
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↑ 90'
-
20
Felipe Carballo ↑ 76'
- 5
-
16
Julian Hall ↑ 76'
- 70
- 88
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Luis Muriel ↓ Duncan McGuire 87'
- 15
- 10
- 20
- 1
- 6
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Ramiro Enrique 82'
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Rafael Santos 82'
- 30
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↓ David Brekalo 82'
- 35
Bench
-
3
Rafael Santos ↑ 82'
-
7
Ramiro Enrique ↑ 82'
-
4
David Brekalo ↑ 82'
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↑ 87'
- 12
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 69'
- 25
- 65
- 96
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Facundo Torres Perez | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Christian Casseres Jr. | 3 |
| Dom Dwyer | 2 |
| Brian White | 2 |
| Derrick Etienne | 2 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Caden Clark | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2025-03-15
New York Red Bulls
2–2
Orlando City SC
D
2025-03-09
Atlanta United FC
0–0
New York Red Bulls
D
2025-03-02
New York Red Bulls
2–0
Nashville SC
W
2025-02-23
FC Cincinnati
1–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2024-10-19
New York Red Bulls
2–3
Columbus Crew SC
L
2024-10-05
Atlanta United FC
2–1
New York Red Bulls
L
Orlando City SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.92
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
New York Red Bulls or Orlando City SC 76% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
65%
Draw or Orlando City SC
59%
New York Red Bulls or Orlando City SC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 1
3.8%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 18% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 17% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

