New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Orlando City SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Mar | Nashville SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Mar | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 23 Feb | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #11 |
| 25 | Points | 20 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 10 |
| 29 | Scored | 30 |
| 39 | Conceded | 47 |
| -10 | GD | -17 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 39% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts). Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
1/5
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
–/6
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 9 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 11 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Red Bull Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Raheem Edwards, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 15' New York Red Bulls are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 18' The Argentina Martin Ojeda breaks the deadlock on 18 minutes. 0-1!
- 23' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dennis Gjengaar is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Orlando City SC.
- 28' Orlando City SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 29' What a strike from Maxim Choupo-Moting! The score is 1-1.
- 34' Pedro Gallese is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York Red Bulls tonight.
- 39' Against the run of play, Marco Pasalic has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 44' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both New York Red Bulls and Orlando City SC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 47' The deadlock is broken! Dennis Gjengaar gets on the scoresheet on 47 minutes.
- 52' The 24-year-old Peter Stroud has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ivan Angulo suffering a number of foals already.
- 62' Colombia international Luis Muriel has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 67' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 68' Peter Stroud catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 68.
- 69' It is a substitution in Orlando City SC team. Martin Ojeda is replaced by Dagur THorhallsson on 69 minute.
- 74' It looks like no one’s ball. Orlando City SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 76' Felipe Carballo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Peter Stroud on 76 minute.
- 76' The referee has no hesitation. Sean Nealis is booked for New York Red Bulls — card on 76.
- 81' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 82' Ramiro Enrique has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kyle Smith on 82 minute.
- 82' That is a card for Orlando City SC. Robin Jansson will be fuming at that decision.
- 87' The crowd applauds Luis Muriel as he leaves the pitch. Duncan McGuire steps in for Orlando City SC.
- 88' Serge Ngoma gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces Dennis Gjengaar and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Serge Ngoma.
- 90' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 90 minute. Emil Forsberg leaves to be changed by Wikelmann Carmona.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
- 42
- 10
- 44
-
15
Sean Nealis ↓ Julian Hall 76'
- 12
- 3
- 31
- 75
-
8
Peter Stroud ↓ Felipe Carballo 76'
-
22
Dennis Gjengaar ↓ Serge Ngoma 88'
Bench
- 26
- 1
-
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 88'
-
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↑ 90'
-
20
Felipe Carballo ↑ 76'
- 5
-
16
Julian Hall ↑ 76'
- 70
- 88
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Luis Muriel ↓ Duncan McGuire 87'
- 15
- 10
- 20
- 1
- 6
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Ramiro Enrique 82'
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Rafael Santos 82'
- 30
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↓ David Brekalo 82'
- 35
Bench
-
3
Rafael Santos ↑ 82'
-
7
Ramiro Enrique ↑ 82'
-
4
David Brekalo ↑ 82'
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↑ 87'
- 12
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 69'
- 25
- 65
- 96
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Facundo Torres Perez | 4 |
| Christian Casseres Jr. | 3 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Caden Clark | 2 |
| Mijahir Jimenez | 2 |
| Dom Dwyer | 2 |
| Dom Dwyer | 2 |
| Brian White | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2025-03-15
New York Red Bulls
2–2
Orlando City SC
D
2025-03-09
Atlanta United FC
0–0
New York Red Bulls
D
2025-03-02
New York Red Bulls
2–0
Nashville SC
W
2025-02-23
FC Cincinnati
1–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2024-10-19
New York Red Bulls
2–3
Columbus Crew SC
L
2024-10-05
Atlanta United FC
2–1
New York Red Bulls
L
Orlando City SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.27
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
68%
Draw or Orlando City SC
55%
New York Red Bulls or Orlando City SC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 3
3.3%
4 – 1
3.1%
1 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 18% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 15% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

