New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York Red Bulls

2 – 2

Full Time

Orlando City SC

Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 18:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Peter Stroud 68' Y

Sean Nealis 76' Y

Y 82' Robin Jansson

Serge Ngoma 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Orlando City SC 27 games · 34 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.5 goals Orlando City SC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-15 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Orlando City SC 2024-06-01 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Orlando City SC 2024-03-30 Orlando City SC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-06-03 New York Red Bulls 0–3 Orlando City SC 2023-02-26 Orlando City SC 1–0 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Orlando City SC	H	2–2	D
09 Mar	Atlanta United FC	A	0–0	D
02 Mar	Nashville SC	H	2–0	W
23 Feb	FC Cincinnati	A	0–1	L
19 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	H	2–3	L
05 Oct	Atlanta United FC	A	1–2	L

Orlando City SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	New York Red Bulls	A	2–2	D
09 Mar	New York City FC	A	1–2	L
02 Mar	Toronto FC	H	4–2	W
23 Feb	Philadelphia Union	H	2–4	L
19 Oct	Atlanta United FC	H	1–2	L
05 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		Orlando City SC
#10	Position	#7
33	Points	34
26	Played	27
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	10 / 4 / 13
34	Scored	48
48	Conceded	64
-14	GD	-16
1.27	PPG	1.26
35%	Win %	37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

19% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts). Orlando City SC are 7th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Orlando City SC

0-15

2/3

16-30

8/8

31-45

1/7

46-60

8/6

61-75

7/4

76+

9/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Orlando City SC

Martin Ojeda	13 G	1 A
Antoine Griezmann	8 G	4 A
Tyrese Spicer	6 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between New York Red Bulls and Orlando City SC is underway.
5' New York Red Bulls are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Orlando City SC's shape.
10' The travelling Orlando City SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
15' New York Red Bulls has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
18' A goal from the Argentina international Martin Ojeda! He fires home on 18 to make it 0-1!
23' Over 23 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
28' Orlando City SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
29' Maxim Choupo-Moting adds to his 2 season tally! New York Red Bulls lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
34' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. New York Red Bulls seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
39' GOAL! Marco Pasalic scores on 39. Assisted by Eduard Atuesta
44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alex Freeman, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
47' GOAL! Dennis Gjengaar scores on 47. Assisted by Peter Stroud
52' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
57' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
62' Orlando City SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
67' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York Red Bulls side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
68' Peter Stroud was booked on 68.
69' The crowd applauds Martin Ojeda as he leaves the pitch. Dagur THorhallsson steps in for Orlando City SC.
74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York Red Bulls needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
76' Felipe Carballo gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces Peter Stroud and will look to change the dynamic.
76' It’s gonna be a card for Sean Nealis.
81' New York Red Bulls currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
82' Ramiro Enrique is replacing Kyle Smith for the Orlando City SC side.
82' It’s gonna be a card for Robin Jansson.
87' A change in the Orlando City SC ranks — Luis Muriel exits the field as Duncan McGuire enters on 87.
88' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Dennis Gjengaar is replaced by Serge Ngoma.
90' Serge Ngoma picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
90' Wikelmann Carmona is ready to make an impact after coming on for Emil Forsberg at the 90 minute mark.
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting
42
Alexander Hack
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Wikelmann Carmona 90'
44
Raheem Edwards
15
Sean Nealis ↓ Julian Hall 76'
12
Dylan Nealis
3
Noah Eile
31
Carlos Coronel
75
Daniel Edelman
8
Peter Stroud ↓ Felipe Carballo 76'
22
Dennis Gjengaar ↓ Serge Ngoma 88'

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

Orlando City SC Lineups

Starting XI

9
Luis Muriel ↓ Duncan McGuire 87'
15
Rodrigo Schlegel
10
Martin Ojeda ↓ Dagur THorhallsson 69'
20
Eduard Atuesta
1
Pedro Gallese
6
Robin Jansson
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Ramiro Enrique 82'
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Rafael Santos 82'
30
Alex Freeman
87
Marco Pasalic ↓ David Brekalo 82'
35
Joran Gerbet

Bench

Coach Óscar Pareja

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Facundo Torres Perez	4
Christian Casseres Jr.	3
Lewis Morgan	3
Caden Clark	2
Mijahir Jimenez	2
Dom Dwyer	2
Dom Dwyer	2
Brian White	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-03-15 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Orlando City SC D 2025-03-09 Atlanta United FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2025-03-02 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Nashville SC W 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2024-10-19 New York Red Bulls 2–3 Columbus Crew SC L 2024-10-05 Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L

Orlando City SC Form

2025-03-15 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Orlando City SC D 2025-03-09 New York City FC 2–1 Orlando City SC L 2025-03-02 Orlando City SC 4–2 Toronto FC W 2025-02-23 Orlando City SC 2–4 Philadelphia Union L 2024-10-19 Orlando City SC 1–2 Atlanta United FC L 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.88 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.81 Orlando City SC xG

I would bet for: New York Red Bulls or Orlando City SC 75% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls41% Draw25% Orlando City SC34%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.69

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

65%

Draw or Orlando City SC

59%

New York Red Bulls or Orlando City SC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls31% Draw40% Orlando City SC29%

Actual: Orlando City SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.4%

2 – 1

7.7%

1 – 2

7.5%

2 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

4.8%

2 – 0

4.5%

1 – 3

4.5%

3 – 2

4.3%

1 – 0

4.2%

0 – 2

4.2%

2 – 3

4.2%

0 – 1

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	Orlando City SC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	18%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	17%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.