Sunday , 16 August 2026

New York City FC vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 25 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Yankee Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Chicago Fire FC H 3–1 W
17 May New York Red Bulls H 2–0 W
14 May D.C. United SC A 0–0 D
10 May Montreal Impact FC H 0–1 L
04 May FC Cincinnati H 1–0 W
26 Apr Toronto FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May New York City FC A 1–3 L
17 May Charlotte FC A 4–1 W
10 May Atlanta United FC H 2–1 W
04 May Orlando City SC H 0–0 D
27 Apr Nashville SC A 2–7 L
20 Apr FC Cincinnati H 2–3 L

Season Stats

New York City FC Chicago Fire FC
#5 Position #4
26 Points 29
18 Played 17
7 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 9 / 2 / 6
31 Scored 32
24 Conceded 23
+7 GD +9
1.44 PPG 1.71
39% Win % 53%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
41% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

New York City FC are 5th (26 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 4th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC
0-15
4/
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/4
31-45
1/5
46-60
2/2
61-75
6/
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau 11 G 3 A
Hannes Wolf 5 G 1 A
Agustin Ojeda 4 G 3 A
Chicago Fire FC
Hugo Cuypers 11 G
Philip Zinckernagel 5 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9 New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC52% Draw23% Chicago Fire FC25%
Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
48%
New York City FC or Chicago Fire FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
New York City FC36% Draw42% Chicago Fire FC22%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap New York City FC covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 21% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.