Thursday , 2 July 2026

New York City FC vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 25 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Yankee Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Chicago Fire FC H 3–1 W
17 May New York Red Bulls H 2–0 W
14 May D.C. United SC A 0–0 D
10 May Montreal Impact FC H 0–1 L
04 May FC Cincinnati H 1–0 W
26 Apr Toronto FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May New York City FC A 1–3 L
17 May Charlotte FC A 4–1 W
10 May Atlanta United FC H 2–1 W
04 May Orlando City SC H 0–0 D
27 Apr Nashville SC A 2–7 L
20 Apr FC Cincinnati H 2–3 L

Season Stats

New York City FC Chicago Fire FC
#8 Position #3
19 Points 26
15 Played 14
5 / 4 / 6 W / D / L 8 / 2 / 4
25 Scored 27
21 Conceded 16
+4 GD +11
1.27 PPG 1.86
33% Win % 57%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

New York City FC are 8th (19 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 3rd (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC
0-15
2/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.73 New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC49% Draw24% Chicago Fire FC27%
Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
51%
New York City FC or Chicago Fire FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
New York City FC33% Draw43% Chicago Fire FC24%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap New York City FC covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.