Saturday , 14 November 2026

Nashville SC vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 31 May 2025 · 20:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 May New York City FC H 2–2 D
29 May Columbus Crew SC A 2–2 D
24 May Toronto FC A 2–1 W
18 May D.C. United SC H 0–0 D
15 May New York Red Bulls H 2–1 W
11 May Charlotte FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 May Nashville SC A 2–2 D
28 May Houston Dynamo H 0–3 L
25 May Chicago Fire FC H 3–1 W
17 May New York Red Bulls H 2–0 W
14 May D.C. United SC A 0–0 D
10 May Montreal Impact FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Nashville SC New York City FC
#1 Position #10
77 Points 42
34 Played 34
23 / 8 / 3 W / D / L 10 / 12 / 12
71 Scored 49
25 Conceded 45
+46 GD +4
2.26 PPG 1.24
68% Win % 29%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
18% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts). New York City FC are 10th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
6/4
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/7
76+
16/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
6/5
31-45
6/8
46-60
5/6
61-75
5/6
76+
5/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 21 G 1 A
Hany Mukhtar 16 G 8 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A
New York City FC
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau 16 G 6 A
Agustin Ojeda 5 G 5 A
Hannes Wolf 5 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Geodis Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Maxi Moralez has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nashville SC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 27' Sam Surridge doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 32' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 37' Nashville SC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York City FC's shape.
  • 40' That is a card for New York City FC. Aiden O'Neill will be fuming at that decision.
  • 41' Sam Surridge doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 46' New York City FC make a change. Aiden O'Neill trudges off to be replaced by Keaton Parks on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The 25-year-old Monsef Bakrar has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 54' Hannes Wolf adds to his 5 season tally! New York City FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 59' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nashville SC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 61' Time for substitution for Nashville SC. Ahmed Qasem is replaced by Jonathan Perez.
  • 66' New York City FC have won 474 goals from 304 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 67' A change in the New York City FC ranks — Maxi Moralez exits the field as Monsef Bakrar enters on 67.
  • 72' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York City FC that had 304 games and scored 474 goals.
  • 73' Josh Bauer gets the nod from Nashville SC. He replaces Andy Najar and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Strahinja Tanasijevic on 75 minutes.
  • 80' Nashville SC ring the changes. Hany Mukhtar has done his job and it is now time for Wyatt Meyer to step up.
  • 81' Another change for Nashville SC made on 81 minute. Matthew Corcoran leaves to be changed by Bryan Acosta.
  • 83' The referee has no hesitation. Keaton Parks is booked for New York City FC — card on 83.
  • 84' Bryan Acosta catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
  • 87' Assisted by Keaton Parks with the perfectly-timed delivery and Hannes Wolf makes no mistake. 2-2!
  • It finishes all square. Nashville SC and New York City FC share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.71 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 New York City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nashville SC52% Draw26% New York City FC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
78%
Draw or New York City FC
48%
Nashville SC or New York City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nashville SC37% Draw46% New York City FC17%
Actual: Nashville SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 0
5.4%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push New York City FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.