Nashville SC vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs New York City FC — MLS at Geodis Park.
- Nashville SC 34 games · 77 pts (2026/26)
- New York City FC 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | New York City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 24 May | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 May | D.C. United SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | Charlotte FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | Nashville SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 May | Houston Dynamo | H | 0–3 | L |
| 25 May | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 May | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 May | Montreal Impact FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #10 |
| 77 | Points | 42 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 23 / 8 / 3 | W / D / L | 10 / 12 / 12 |
| 71 | Scored | 49 |
| 25 | Conceded | 45 |
| +46 | GD | +4 |
| 2.26 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 68% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts). New York City FC are 10th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
6/4
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/7
76+
16/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
6/5
31-45
6/8
46-60
5/6
61-75
5/6
76+
5/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 21 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 16 G | 8 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 16 G | 6 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 5 G | 5 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Geodis Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Maxi Moralez has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nashville SC winning 50% of all matches.
- 27' Sam Surridge doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 32' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 37' Nashville SC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York City FC's shape.
- 40' That is a card for New York City FC. Aiden O'Neill will be fuming at that decision.
- 41' Sam Surridge doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 46' New York City FC make a change. Aiden O'Neill trudges off to be replaced by Keaton Parks on 46 minutes.
- 51' The 25-year-old Monsef Bakrar has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 54' Hannes Wolf adds to his 5 season tally! New York City FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 59' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nashville SC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 61' Time for substitution for Nashville SC. Ahmed Qasem is replaced by Jonathan Perez.
- 66' New York City FC have won 474 goals from 304 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 67' A change in the New York City FC ranks — Maxi Moralez exits the field as Monsef Bakrar enters on 67.
- 72' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York City FC that had 304 games and scored 474 goals.
- 73' Josh Bauer gets the nod from Nashville SC. He replaces Andy Najar and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Strahinja Tanasijevic on 75 minutes.
- 80' Nashville SC ring the changes. Hany Mukhtar has done his job and it is now time for Wyatt Meyer to step up.
- 81' Another change for Nashville SC made on 81 minute. Matthew Corcoran leaves to be changed by Bryan Acosta.
- 83' The referee has no hesitation. Keaton Parks is booked for New York City FC — card on 83.
- 84' Bryan Acosta catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
- 87' Assisted by Keaton Parks with the perfectly-timed delivery and Hannes Wolf makes no mistake. 2-2!
- It finishes all square. Nashville SC and New York City FC share the spoils 2-2.
Lineups
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 25
- 2
-
31
Andy Najar ↓ Josh Bauer 73'
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Wyatt Meyer 80'
-
20
Edvard Tagseth ↓ Patrick Yazbek 46'
- 5
-
16
Matthew Corcoran ↓ Bryan Acosta 81'
-
37
Ahmed Qasem ↓ Jonathan Perez 61'
Bench
- 7
-
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 81'
- 14
-
24
Jonathan Perez ↑ 61'
- 99
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↑ 46'
-
22
Josh Bauer ↑ 73'
- 4
-
28
Wyatt Meyer ↑ 80'
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Aiden O'Neill ↓ Keaton Parks 46'
- 17
- 13
-
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Monsef Bakrar 67'
- 49
- 80
- 24
-
5
Birk Risa ↓ Nico Cavallo 67'
- 26
- 32
- 16
Bench
-
19
Strahinja Tanasijevic ↑ 46'
-
55
Keaton Parks ↑ 46'
- 8
- 30
- 29
-
11
Julian Fernandez ↑ 67'
-
9
Monsef Bakrar ↑ 67'
-
2
Nico Cavallo ↑ 67'
- 99
Coach
Pascal Jansen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hany Mukhtar | 4 |
| Alonso Martinez | 2 |
| Hannes Wolf | 2 |
| Sam Surridge | 2 |
| Jacob Shaffelburg | 2 |
| Santiago Rodriguez | 2 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 1 |
| Vuk Latinovich | 1 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
New York City FC Form
2025-05-31
Nashville SC
2–2
New York City FC
D
2025-05-28
New York City FC
0–3
Houston Dynamo
L
2025-05-25
New York City FC
3–1
Chicago Fire FC
W
2025-05-17
New York City FC
2–0
New York Red Bulls
W
2025-05-14
D.C. United SC
0–0
New York City FC
D
2025-05-10
New York City FC
0–1
Montreal Impact FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.71
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
New York City FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
78%
Draw or New York City FC
48%
Nashville SC or New York City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nashville SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 0
5.4%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | New York City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

