Saturday , 14 November 2026

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Wed 22 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC Yankee Stadium 7,099 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 32' Kevin Denkey
Agustin Ojeda 53' 3–1
3–2 65' Kevin Denkey
Talles Magno 79' 4–2
4–3 90+2' Andrei Chirila
4–4 90+5' Evander pen

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Yankee Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sergii Boiko (USA)
  • Assistant 1 Lyes Arfa
  • Assistant 2 Brian Dunn (USA)
7 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 14.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr FC Cincinnati H 4–4 D
18 Apr Charlotte FC H 1–2 L
11 Apr Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 0–2 L
04 Apr St. Louis City H 1–1 D
22 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 2–3 L
14 Mar Colorado Rapids SC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr New York City FC A 4–4 D
18 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
15 Mar New England Revolution A 1–6 L

Season Stats

New York City FC FC Cincinnati
#10 Position #8
42 Points 46
34 Played 34
10 / 12 / 12 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 12
49 Scored 67
45 Conceded 75
+4 GD -8
1.24 PPG 1.35
29% Win % 35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York City FC are 10th (42 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
6/5
31-45
6/8
46-60
5/6
61-75
5/6
76+
5/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau 16 G 6 A
Agustin Ojeda 5 G 5 A
Hannes Wolf 5 G 1 A
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 17 G 2 A
Evander 14 G 13 A
Tom Barlow 10 G 4 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.42 New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
New York City FC50% Draw22% FC Cincinnati28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
50%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC39% Draw36% FC Cincinnati25%
Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–4 not predicted
4 – 4
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4%
4 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap New York City FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 15% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 19% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 14% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.