Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Mar | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Mar | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Shonan Bellmare is hosting Nagoya Grampus for another epic battle.
- 5' Ryuji Izumi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' Against the run of play, Sho Fukuda has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 15' The 27-year-old Tomoya Fujii has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' Shonan Bellmare started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sho Inagaki suffering a number of foals already.
- 40' Masahito Ono is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
- 45' Yuto Suzuki is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Min-tae Kim.
- 46' Ryuji Izumi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tsukasa Morishima at the 46 minute mark.
- 50' Magnificent from Sho Inagaki! That is 46 goals in 346 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 55' Shonan Bellmare have won 315 goals from 418 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 60' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sho Inagaki on 64.
- 69' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 74' The whistle greets Takuya Uchida as he departs to be replaced by Kensuke Nagai.
- 76' Yutaro Oda gets the nod from Shonan Bellmare. He replaces Akito Suzuki and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' Daniel Schmidt, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 83' Masahito Ono is ready to make an impact after coming on for Katsuhiro Nakayama at the 83 minute mark.
- 87' A tactical swap from Shonan Bellmare — Akimi Barada on, Kohei Okuno off on 87 minutes.
- 90' A moment of madness from Yota Sato on 90 minutes earns him a card. Nagoya Grampus will be frustrated.
- Shonan Bellmare celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
-
25
Hiroaki Okuno ↓ Kazunari Ono 87'
- 37
- 99
-
15
Kohei Okuno ↓ Akimi Barada 87'
-
50
Tomoya Fujii ↓ Kazuki Oiwa 83'
- 3
-
10
Akito Suzuki ↓ Yutaro Oda 76'
- 5
- 47
-
7
Konsuke Onose ↓ Masaki Ikeda 76'
- 19
Bench
- 27
-
22
Kazuki Oiwa ↑ 83'
- 31
-
8
Kazunari Ono ↑ 87'
-
9
Yutaro Oda ↑ 76'
-
14
Akimi Barada ↑ 87'
- 16
-
18
Masaki Ikeda ↑ 76'
- 77
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
17
Takuya Uchida ↓ Kensuke Nagai 74'
- 2
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Ryuji Izumi 46'
- 15
- 10
-
9
Yuya Asano ↓ Kasper Junker 74'
- 27
- 3
- 6
-
26
Gen Kato ↓ Keiya Shiihashi 46'
Bench
-
8
Keiya Shiihashi ↑ 46'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 74'
- 4
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 46'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 74'
- 33
- 20
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 83'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuki Ohashi | 3 |
| Mitsuki Saito | 2 |
| Hiroyuki Abe | 2 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Sho Fukuda | 1 |
Head to Head
Shonan Bellmare Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.47
Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Shonan Bellmare win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Shonan Bellmare or Draw
73%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
54%
Shonan Bellmare or Nagoya Grampus
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare
| Handicap | Shonan Bellmare covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 21% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

