Thursday , 2 July 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Shonan Bellmare
2 – 1
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sun 6 Apr 2025 · 06:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'
Min-tae Kim 45' Y
Tomoya Fujii 45' Y
Y 64' Sho Inagaki
Y 90' Yota Sato

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

6
9
9
Shonan Bellmare 24 games · Avg 2.2 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-08-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-06-16 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-04-23 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 2–1 W
02 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 0–2 L
29 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–3 L
16 Mar Vissel Kobe H 1–2 L
08 Mar FC Tōkyō A 0–0 D
01 Mar Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
02 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos H 2–0 W
29 Mar Yokohama FC H 2–1 W
15 Mar Tokyo Verdy A 1–2 L
08 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D
02 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 1–2 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Nagoya Grampus kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Naoto Kamifukumoto, as he is very good at scoring at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' What a strike from Sho Fukuda! The score is 1-0.
  • 15' Katsuhiro Nakayama has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' Shonan Bellmare is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Konsuke Onose suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' What a strike from Yuto Suzuki! The score is 2-0.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Min-tae Kim on 45.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Ryuji Izumi. He replaces Tsukasa Morishima on 46 minute.
  • 50' GOAL! Sho Inagaki scores on 45.
  • 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Shonan Bellmare that had 418 games and scored 315 goals.
  • 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gen Kato made 439 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 64' Nagoya Grampus receives a card for a hard tackle on 64.
  • 69' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Hiroaki Okuno has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 74' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Takuya Uchida by Kensuke Nagai on 74 minute.
  • 76' Yutaro Oda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Akito Suzuki on 76 minute.
  • 81' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 83' Masahito Ono has so much to prove this time. He replaces Katsuhiro Nakayama on 83 minute.
  • 87' Akimi Barada is replacing Kohei Okuno for the Shonan Bellmare side.
  • 90' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 90.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yuki Ohashi 3
Hiroyuki Abe 2
Kensuke Nagai 2
Mateus 2
Sho Inagaki 2
Jo 2
Mitsuki Saito 2
Naoki Yamada 1

Head to Head

2025-04-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-08-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-06-16 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-04-23 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Shonan Bellmare

Shonan Bellmare Form

2025-04-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2025-04-02 Kawasaki Frontale 2–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2025-03-29 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2025-03-16 Shonan Bellmare 1–2 Vissel Kobe L 2025-03-08 FC Tōkyō 0–0 Shonan Bellmare D 2025-03-01 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-04-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-04-02 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2025-03-29 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Yokohama FC W 2025-03-15 Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-03-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2025-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.47 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare46% Draw27% Nagoya Grampus27%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
73%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
54%
Shonan Bellmare or Nagoya Grampus
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shonan Bellmare31% Draw48% Nagoya Grampus21%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.