Thursday , 2 July 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 10:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'
Koki Tachi 39' Y
Koki Tachi 45' R
Y 90' Juan Alano

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba OsakaJ. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Gamba Osaka H 4–5 L
23 Aug Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–1 L
16 Aug FC Tōkyō H 2–2 D
10 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 0–2 L
23 Jul Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–4 L
19 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 5–4 W
23 Aug Yokohama FC H 3–2 W
20 Aug FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L
16 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–1 L
10 Aug Fagiano Okayama FC H 0–3 L
20 Jul Kawasaki Frontale H 2–1 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka will turn into a battlefield for Shonan Bellmare and Gamba Osaka.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Shonan Bellmare that had 418 games and scored 315 goals.
  • 13' Shonan Bellmare is taking the lead after the goal scored by Rio Nitta on 13.
  • 18' The travelling Gamba Osaka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 23' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 28' Hiroya Matsumoto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 37' GOAL! Taiyo Hiraoka scores on 37.
  • 39' Shonan Bellmare player sees a card in front of him.
  • 40' Goal! Shota Fukuoka scores his 4 goal in 37 matches.
  • 45' Koki Tachi was booked on 45.
  • 46' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Keisuke Kurokawa departs to be replaced by Takashi Usami.
  • 49' GOAL! Yutaro Oda scores on 45. Assisted by Taiyo Hiraoka
  • 53' Goal! Shinnosuke Nakatani scores his 20 goal in 439 matches.
  • 58' It looks surprising Shonan Bellmare does not make any changes. Deniz Hummet has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Kazuki Oiwa. He replaces Rio Nitta on 63 minute.
  • 68' Yuto Suzuki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 4 Yellow cards this season.
  • 72' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 72 minute. Sena Ishibashi leaves to be changed by Hiroaki Okuno.
  • 73' The supporters are chanting for Issam Jebali. He replaces Rin Mito on 73 minute.
  • 78' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 81' The whistle greets Yutaro Oda as he departs to be replaced by Luiz Phellype.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Hisatsugu Ishii. He replaces Taiyo Hiraoka on 82 minute.
  • 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gamba Osaka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 88' Goal! Juan Alano scores his 13 goal in 330 matches.
  • 90' Juan Alano is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' The whistle greets Ryo Hatsuse as he departs to be replaced by Genta Miura.
  • With this win, Gamba Osaka is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.89 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.01 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Shonan Bellmare or Gamba Osaka 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare35% Draw24% Gamba Osaka41%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
59%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
65%
Shonan Bellmare or Gamba Osaka
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shonan Bellmare29% Draw38% Gamba Osaka33%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–5 not predicted
4 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.7%
0 – 1
3.6%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 17% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 18% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 12% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
14%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.