Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Shonan Bellmare

2 – 1

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 05:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'

Yuki Ohashi 15' 1–0

Yuki Ohashi 23' 2–0

2–1 63' Tojiro Kubo

Hirokazu Ishihara 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shonan Bellmare 24 games · Avg 2.2 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-04-23 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Shonan Bellmare 2022-07-02 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-04-06 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-08-15 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Nov	Nagoya Grampus	H	2–1	W
28 Oct	Vissel Kobe	H	1–1	D
21 Oct	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	1–0	W
30 Sep	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–0	W
24 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–2	L
16 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–0	W

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Nov	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–2	L
27 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
21 Oct	Gamba Osaka	A	1–0	W
30 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–3	L
23 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–1	D
16 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–1	L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

Naomichi Ueda

1 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka will turn into a battlefield for Shonan Bellmare and Nagoya Grampus.
5' Shonan Bellmare are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 443 games and scored 402 goals.
15' Against the run of play, Yuki Ohashi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
20' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
23' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuki Ohashi makes it 2-0.
28' The home supporters are growing impatient. Shonan Bellmare must find a spark to ignite this game.
33' Supporters expect more eagerness from Daiki Sugioka, as he is very good at scoring at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
38' Shonan Bellmare are deployed in a 3-1-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's 3-4-2-1 shape.
43' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
46' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Tsukasa Morishima comes on to replace Kensuke Nagai.
51' It looks like no one’s ball. Shonan Bellmare is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Shonan Bellmare side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
61' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
63' Goal! Tojiro Kubo scores his 12 goal in 443 matches.
68' Shonan Bellmare have won 315 goals from 418 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
72' Kohei Okuno gets the nod from Shonan Bellmare. He replaces Akito Suzuki and will look to change the dynamic.
75' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Sho Inagaki by Ryoga Kida on 75 minute.
79' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Junnosuke Suzuki is hanging Taiyo Hiraoka on the field on 79 minute.
84' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
87' The crowd applauds Ryuji Izumi as he leaves the pitch. Taika Nakashima steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
90' Hirokazu Ishihara is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
90' The Shonan Bellmare manager makes a substitution. Yuki Ohashi departs to be replaced by Hirokazu Ishihara.
2-1 the final result. Nagoya Grampus will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

6
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Haruki Yoshida 90'
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 46'
1
Mitch Langerak
2
Yuki Nogami
15
Sho Inagaki ↓ Ryoga Kida 75'
13
Haruya Fujii
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Taika Nakashima 87'
4
Shinnosuke Nakatani
17
Ryoya Morishita
77
Kasper Junker
20
Tojiro Kubo

Bench

34
Takuya Uchida
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 46'
3
Yuichi Maruyama
27
Taika Nakashima ↑ 87'
31
Haruki Yoshida ↑ 90'
23
Daiki Mitsui
42
Ryoga Kida ↑ 75'

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuki Ohashi	3
Sho Inagaki	2
Jo	2
Mitsuki Saito	2
Hiroyuki Abe	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Mateus	2
Keisuke Saka	1

Head to Head

Shonan Bellmare Form

2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-10-28 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Vissel Kobe D 2023-10-21 Kyōto Sanga FC 0–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2023-09-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2023-09-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–2 Kawasaki Frontale L 2023-09-16 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Shonan Bellmare W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-09-23 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-09-16 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.28 Shonan Bellmare xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.1 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Shonan Bellmare or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Shonan Bellmare45% Draw28% Nagoya Grampus27%

Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.38

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw

73%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

55%

Shonan Bellmare or Nagoya Grampus

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shonan Bellmare28% Draw50% Nagoya Grampus22%

Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

11.4%

1 – 0

10.7%

0 – 1

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

7.4%

1 – 2

6.9%

0 – 2

5.4%

2 – 2

4.5%

3 – 1

3.5%

3 – 0

3.1%

1 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap	Shonan Bellmare covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	21%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	18%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.