Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Shonan Bellmare

2 – 1

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 05:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'

Yuki Ohashi 15' 1–0

Yuki Ohashi 23' 2–0

2–1 63' Tojiro Kubo

Hirokazu Ishihara 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shonan Bellmare 24 games · Avg 2.2 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-04-23 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Shonan Bellmare 2022-07-02 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-04-06 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-08-15 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Nov	Nagoya Grampus	H	2–1	W
28 Oct	Vissel Kobe	H	1–1	D
21 Oct	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	1–0	W
30 Sep	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–0	W
24 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–2	L
16 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–0	W

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Nov	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–2	L
27 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
21 Oct	Gamba Osaka	A	1–0	W
30 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–3	L
23 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–1	D
16 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–1	L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka!
5' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shonan Bellmare and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
15' Brilliant from the ! Yuki Ohashi makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 15.
20' Shonan Bellmare started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
23' Brilliant from the ! Yuki Ohashi makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 23.
28' Tsukasa Morishima has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
33' Japan international Takuji Yonemoto has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
43' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
46' Tsukasa Morishima is replacing Kensuke Nagai for the Nagoya Grampus side.
51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
56' Taiyo Hiraoka has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 418 appearances.
61' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
63' Brilliant from the ! Tojiro Kubo makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 63.
68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daiki Sugioka made 418 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
72' It is a substitution in Shonan Bellmare team. Akito Suzuki is replaced by Kohei Okuno on 72 minute.
75' Sho Inagaki makes way for Ryoga Kida at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
79' The Shonan Bellmare manager makes a substitution. Taiyo Hiraoka departs to be replaced by Junnosuke Suzuki.
84' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
87' The crowd applauds Ryuji Izumi as he leaves the pitch. Taika Nakashima steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Hirokazu Ishihara on 90 minutes.
90' The crowd applauds Yuki Ohashi as he leaves the pitch. Hirokazu Ishihara steps in for Shonan Bellmare.
Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

6
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Haruki Yoshida 90'
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 46'
1
Mitch Langerak
2
Yuki Nogami
15
Sho Inagaki ↓ Ryoga Kida 75'
13
Haruya Fujii
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Taika Nakashima 87'
4
Shinnosuke Nakatani
17
Ryoya Morishita
77
Kasper Junker
20
Tojiro Kubo

Bench

34
Takuya Uchida
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 46'
3
Yuichi Maruyama
27
Taika Nakashima ↑ 87'
31
Haruki Yoshida ↑ 90'
23
Daiki Mitsui
42
Ryoga Kida ↑ 75'

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuki Ohashi	3
Mitsuki Saito	2
Hiroyuki Abe	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Mateus	2
Sho Inagaki	2
Jo	2
Akito Suzuki	1

Head to Head

Shonan Bellmare Form

2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-10-28 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Vissel Kobe D 2023-10-21 Kyoto Sanga FC 0–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2023-09-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2023-09-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–2 Kawasaki Frontale L 2023-09-16 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Shonan Bellmare W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-09-23 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-09-16 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.28 Shonan Bellmare xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.1 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Shonan Bellmare or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Shonan Bellmare45% Draw28% Nagoya Grampus27%

Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.38

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw

73%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

55%

Shonan Bellmare or Nagoya Grampus

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shonan Bellmare28% Draw50% Nagoya Grampus22%

Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

11.4%

1 – 0

10.7%

0 – 1

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

7.4%

1 – 2

6.9%

0 – 2

5.4%

2 – 2

4.5%

3 – 1

3.5%

3 – 0

3.1%

1 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap	Shonan Bellmare covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	21%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	18%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.