Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Shonan Bellmare

2 – 1

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 05:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'

Yuki Ohashi 15' 1–0

Yuki Ohashi 23' 2–0

2–1 63' Tojiro Kubo

Hirokazu Ishihara 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shonan Bellmare 24 games · Avg 2.2 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-04-23 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Shonan Bellmare 2022-07-02 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-04-06 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-08-15 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Nov	Nagoya Grampus	H	2–1	W
28 Oct	Vissel Kobe	H	1–1	D
21 Oct	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	1–0	W
30 Sep	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–0	W
24 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–2	L
16 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–0	W

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Nov	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–2	L
27 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
21 Oct	Gamba Osaka	A	1–0	W
30 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–3	L
23 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–1	D
16 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–1	L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Nagoya Grampus get us underway at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.
5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
15' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuki Ohashi makes it 1-0.
20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shonan Bellmare and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
23' Yuki Ohashi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
28' Akito Suzuki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 25 goals in his last 418 appearances.
33' The 29-year-old Ryoya Morishita has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
38' Shonan Bellmare are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
46' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tsukasa Morishima is hanging Kensuke Nagai on the field on 46 minute.
51' Takuji Yonemoto, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
56' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
61' Australia international Mitch Langerak has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
63' Against the run of play, Tojiro Kubo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
68' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bum-keun Song, as he is very good at scoring at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
72' Kohei Okuno is replacing Akito Suzuki for the Shonan Bellmare side.
75' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Sho Inagaki departs to be replaced by Ryoga Kida.
79' Shonan Bellmare ring the changes. Taiyo Hiraoka has done his job and it is now time for Junnosuke Suzuki to step up.
84' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
87' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Ryuji Izumi by Taika Nakashima on 87 minute.
90' It’s a booking for Shonan Bellmare player. Hirokazu Ishihara gets a card.
90' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 90 minute. Yuki Ohashi leaves to be changed by Hirokazu Ishihara.
With this win, Shonan Bellmare is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

6
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Haruki Yoshida 90'
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 46'
1
Mitch Langerak
2
Yuki Nogami
15
Sho Inagaki ↓ Ryoga Kida 75'
13
Haruya Fujii
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Taika Nakashima 87'
4
Shinnosuke Nakatani
17
Ryoya Morishita
77
Kasper Junker
20
Tojiro Kubo

Bench

34
Takuya Uchida
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 46'
3
Yuichi Maruyama
27
Taika Nakashima ↑ 87'
31
Haruki Yoshida ↑ 90'
23
Daiki Mitsui
42
Ryoga Kida ↑ 75'

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuki Ohashi	3
Hiroyuki Abe	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Mateus	2
Sho Inagaki	2
Jo	2
Mitsuki Saito	2
Naoki Yamada	1

Head to Head

Shonan Bellmare Form

2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-10-28 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Vissel Kobe D 2023-10-21 Kyoto Sanga FC 0–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2023-09-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2023-09-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–2 Kawasaki Frontale L 2023-09-16 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Shonan Bellmare W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-09-23 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-09-16 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.28 Shonan Bellmare xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.1 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Shonan Bellmare or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Shonan Bellmare45% Draw28% Nagoya Grampus27%

Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.38

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw

73%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

55%

Shonan Bellmare or Nagoya Grampus

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shonan Bellmare28% Draw50% Nagoya Grampus22%

Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

11.4%

1 – 0

10.7%

0 – 1

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

7.4%

1 – 2

6.9%

0 – 2

5.4%

2 – 2

4.5%

3 – 1

3.5%

3 – 0

3.1%

1 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap	Shonan Bellmare covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	21%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	18%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.