Nagoya Grampus vs Kyōto Sanga FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Kyōto Sanga FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Kyōto Sanga FC 18 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Takuto Okabe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Jul | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Jun | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jun | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Jun | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jul | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Jul | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 3–3 | D |
| 31 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Kyōto Sanga FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #8 |
| 31 | Points | 23 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 46 | Scored | 32 |
| 44 | Conceded | 39 |
| +2 | GD | -7 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.28 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
73%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Kyōto Sanga FC this season
Kyōto Sanga FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kyōto Sanga FC are 8th (23 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kyōto Sanga FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/8
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Kyōto Sanga FC
| Rafael Elias | 7 G | 4 A |
| Haruki Arai | 4 G | |
| Ryuma Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Nagoya Grampus and Kyoto Sanga FC get this one started.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Kyoto Sanga FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 7' Yuya Yamagishi is having his name booked by the referee on 7.
- 12' Japan international Shun Nagasawa has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 17' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 22' Teruki Hara has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 27' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 32' Shohei Takeda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
- 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 42' Ryuji Izumi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Taiki Hirato. He receives a card.
- 50' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 53' It is a substitution in Kyoto Sanga FC team. Shohei Takeda is replaced by Leo Gomes on 53 minute.
- 58' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kennedy Egbus Mikuni, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
- 62' What a strike from Kasper Junker! The score is 1-0.
- 66' It is a substitution in Kyoto Sanga FC team. Taiki Hirato is replaced by Ryuma Nakano on 66 minute.
- 70' What a strike from Papagaio! The score is 1-1.
- 74' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Tsukasa Morishima has done his job and it is now time for Keiya Shiihashi to step up.
- 75' Shimpei Fukuoka picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 80' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 81' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Soichiro Mori is replaced by Yuki Nogami.
- 82' A stunning finish from Shinnosuke Fukuda — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 83' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 83 minute. Katsuhiro Nakayama leaves to be changed by Ryosuke Yamanaka.
- 88' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 90' Shun Nagasawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Papagaio at the 90 minute mark.
- Kyoto Sanga FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
- 15
- 7
- 70
- 27
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Yudai Kimura 74'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Kensuke Nagai 74'
- 3
- 20
- 35
-
44
Soichiro Mori ↓ Yuki Nogami 81'
Bench
- 1
-
8
Keiya Shiihashi ↑ 74'
- 17
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 74'
-
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 83'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 81'
- 9
- 6
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↑ 74'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Kyōto Sanga FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
9
Papagaio ↓ Shun Nagasawa 90'
- 14
- 2
-
39
Taiki Hirato ↓ Ryuma Nakano 66'
- 50
- 24
-
16
Shohei Takeda ↓ Leo Gomes 53'
-
10
Shimpei Fukuoka ↓ Temma Matsuda 90'
- 26
-
22
Hidehiro Sugai ↓ Kyo Sato 66'
Bench
-
25
Leo Gomes ↑ 53'
-
18
Temma Matsuda ↑ 90'
- 21
- 3
-
44
Kyo Sato ↑ 66'
- 27
-
48
Ryuma Nakano ↑ 66'
- 5
-
93
Shun Nagasawa ↑ 90'
Coach
Kwi-Jea Cho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 |
| Papagaio | 2 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Taichi Hara | 1 |
| Peter Utaka | 1 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Shohei Takeda | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85
Kyōto Sanga FC xG
I would bet for:
Nagoya Grampus or Kyōto Sanga FC 77% + Over 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Kyōto Sanga FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
63%
Draw or Kyōto Sanga FC
61%
Nagoya Grampus or Kyōto Sanga FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4.1%
1 – 0
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%
0 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Kyōto Sanga FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 13% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 18% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 16% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Kyōto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

