Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Nagoya Grampus

2 – 1

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 20 May 2023 · 06:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 15,506 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 37' Takumu Kawamura

Kasper Junker 43' 1–1

Kasper Junker 48' 2–1

Takuji Yonemoto 29' Y

Shinnosuke Nakatani 36' Y

Y 50' Hayato Araki

Ryoya Morishita 78' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Koei Koya
Assistant 1 Takeshi Asada
Assistant 2 Noriyuki Suzuki

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-09-17 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-05-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2021-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-14 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–1	W
14 May	Kashima Antlers	A	0–2	L
06 May	Gamba Osaka	H	1–0	W
03 May	Vissel Kobe	H	2–2	D
29 Apr	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	1–1	D
23 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–2	D

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 May	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–2	L
13 May	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L
07 May	Avispa Fukuoka	H	3–1	W
29 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–0	W
22 Apr	FC Tokyo	H	1–2	L
15 Apr	Yokohama FC	A	3–0	W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3	Position	#4
31	Points	30
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
46	Scored	41
44	Conceded	33
+2	GD	+8
1.72	PPG	1.67
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Toyota Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
5' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact 3-4-2-1.
10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
20' Tsukasa Shiotani has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning 50% of all matches.
29' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a Yellow card on 29.
34' Nassim Ben Khalifa is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Shinnosuke Nakatani on 35.
36' Shinnosuke Nakatani is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
37' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Takumu Kawamura makes no mistake. 0-1!
42' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
43' Goal! Kasper Junker scores his 42 goal in 61 matches.
48' Kasper Junker makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
50' The referee shows Sanfrecce Hiroshima player a Yellow card on 50.
55' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
60' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
62' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takaaki Shichi is hanging Sota Koshimichi on the field on 62 minute.
65' The crowd applauds Mateus as he leaves the pitch. Noriyoshi Sakai steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
66' Noriyoshi Sakai gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Mateus and will look to change the dynamic.
71' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
73' Ryuji Izumi makes way for Takuya Uchida at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
77' That is a Yellow card for Nagoya Grampus. Ryoya Morishita will be fuming at that decision.
78' Ryoya Morishita is having his name booked by the referee on 78.
78' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Ezequiel departs to be replaced by Shun Ayukawa.
81' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Kasper Junker is replaced by Yuki Nogami on 81 minute.
83' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Tsukasa Morishima by Taishi Matsumoto on 83 minute.
88' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nagoya Grampus players.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

34
Takuya Uchida ↑ 73'
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 81'
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 66'
16
Yohei Takeda
33
Hidemasa Koda
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 65'
42
Ryoga Kida

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

14
Ezequiel ↓ Shun Ayukawa 78'
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↓ Nassim Ben Khalifa 62'
19
Sho Sasaki
38
Keisuke Osako
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Taishi Matsumoto 83'
8
Takumu Kawamura
24
Shunki Higashi
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
9
Douglas Vieira
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Shuto Nakano 83'
32
Sota Koshimichi ↓ Takaaki Shichi 62'

Bench

22
Goro Kawanami
3
Taichi Yamasaki
17
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 83'
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↑ 62'
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 62'
23
Shun Ayukawa ↑ 78'
15
Shuto Nakano ↑ 83'

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kasper Junker	4
Mateus	4
Naoki Maeda	3
Gakuto Notsuda	2
Shuto Nakano	2
Tsukasa Morishima	1
Ezequiel	1
Mitch Langerak	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-05-14 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Gamba Osaka W 2023-05-03 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Vissel Kobe D 2023-04-29 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2023-04-23 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Shonan Bellmare D

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-05-13 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka W 2023-04-29 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-04-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 FC Tokyo L 2023-04-15 Yokohama FC 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.84 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.69 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus44% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima32%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.53

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

68%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

56%

Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus32% Draw41% Sanfrecce Hiroshima27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.5%

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 0

3 – 1

4.9%

1 – 0

4.8%

0 – 1

4.3%

0 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

4.2%

1 – 3

4.2%

3 – 2

4.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	18%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	17%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.