Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Koei Koya
- Assistant 1 Takeshi Asada
- Assistant 2 Noriyuki Suzuki
11 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 11.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Apr | Yokohama FC | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 31 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nagoya Grampus is hosting Sanfrecce Hiroshima for another epic battle.
- 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sanfrecce Hiroshima that had 335 games and scored 427 goals.
- 15' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' Takuji Yonemoto is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
- 29' Takuji Yonemoto picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 34' Japan international Sota Koshimichi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 35' That is a Yellow card for Nagoya Grampus. Shinnosuke Nakatani will be fuming at that decision.
- 36' Shinnosuke Nakatani has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 36.
- 37' A goal from the Japan international Takumu Kawamura! He fires home on 37 to make it 0-1!
- 42' Nassim Ben Khalifa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 43' A goal from the Denmark international Kasper Junker! He fires home on 43 to make it 1-1!
- 48' The Denmark Kasper Junker breaks the deadlock on 48 minutes. 2-1!
- 50' That is a Yellow card for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Hayato Araki will be fuming at that decision.
- 55' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 62' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takaaki Shichi is hanging Sota Koshimichi on the field on 62 minute.
- 65' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Mateus is replaced by Noriyoshi Sakai.
- 66' Noriyoshi Sakai is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mateus at the 66 minute mark.
- 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 73' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Takuya Uchida on 73 minute.
- 77' That is a Yellow card for Nagoya Grampus. Ryoya Morishita will be fuming at that decision.
- 78' Ryoya Morishita picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 78' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Ezequiel has done his job and it is now time for Shun Ayukawa to step up.
- 81' Yuki Nogami has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kasper Junker on 81 minute.
- 83' Taishi Matsumoto is replacing Tsukasa Morishima for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
- 88' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Skibbe might look to freshen things up shortly.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nagoya Grampus to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 6
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Kazuki Nagasawa 66'
- 1
- 15
- 3
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Takuya Uchida 73'
- 4
-
10
Mateus ↓ Noriyoshi Sakai 65'
- 17
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Yuki Nogami 81'
Bench
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↑ 73'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 81'
-
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 66'
- 16
- 33
-
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 65'
- 42
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
14
Ezequiel ↓ Shun Ayukawa 78'
- 7
- 19
- 38
- 10
- 8
- 24
- 33
- 9
-
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Shuto Nakano 83'
- 32
Bench
- 22
- 3
-
17
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 83'
-
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↑ 62'
-
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 62'
-
23
Shun Ayukawa ↑ 78'
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↑ 83'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 4 |
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 1 |
| Jo | 1 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2023-05-20
Nagoya Grampus
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2023-05-13
Vissel Kobe
2–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2023-05-07
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2023-04-29
Cerezo Osaka FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-04-22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
FC Tōkyō
L
2023-04-15
Yokohama FC
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.84
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.53
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
68%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
56%
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.9%
1 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.3%
0 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
4.2%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

