Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 20 May 2023 · 06:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 15,506 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 37' Takumu Kawamura
Kasper Junker 43' 1–1
Kasper Junker 48' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Koei Koya
  • Assistant 1 Takeshi Asada
  • Assistant 2 Noriyuki Suzuki
11 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 11.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W
14 May Kashima Antlers A 0–2 L
06 May Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
03 May Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
29 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
23 Apr Shonan Bellmare H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 May Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
13 May Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
07 May Avispa Fukuoka H 3–1 W
29 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–0 W
22 Apr FC Tōkyō H 1–2 L
15 Apr Yokohama FC A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3 Position #4
31 Points 30
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
46 Scored 41
44 Conceded 33
+2 GD +8
1.72 PPG 1.67
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nagoya Grampus is hosting Sanfrecce Hiroshima for another epic battle.
  • 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sanfrecce Hiroshima that had 335 games and scored 427 goals.
  • 15' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Takuji Yonemoto is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
  • 29' Takuji Yonemoto picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 34' Japan international Sota Koshimichi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 35' That is a Yellow card for Nagoya Grampus. Shinnosuke Nakatani will be fuming at that decision.
  • 36' Shinnosuke Nakatani has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 36.
  • 37' A goal from the Japan international Takumu Kawamura! He fires home on 37 to make it 0-1!
  • 42' Nassim Ben Khalifa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 43' A goal from the Denmark international Kasper Junker! He fires home on 43 to make it 1-1!
  • 48' The Denmark Kasper Junker breaks the deadlock on 48 minutes. 2-1!
  • 50' That is a Yellow card for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Hayato Araki will be fuming at that decision.
  • 55' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 62' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takaaki Shichi is hanging Sota Koshimichi on the field on 62 minute.
  • 65' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Mateus is replaced by Noriyoshi Sakai.
  • 66' Noriyoshi Sakai is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mateus at the 66 minute mark.
  • 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Takuya Uchida on 73 minute.
  • 77' That is a Yellow card for Nagoya Grampus. Ryoya Morishita will be fuming at that decision.
  • 78' Ryoya Morishita picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 78' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Ezequiel has done his job and it is now time for Shun Ayukawa to step up.
  • 81' Yuki Nogami has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kasper Junker on 81 minute.
  • 83' Taishi Matsumoto is replacing Tsukasa Morishima for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
  • 88' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Skibbe might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nagoya Grampus to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.84 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus44% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima32%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
68%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
56%
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus32% Draw41% Sanfrecce Hiroshima27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.9%
1 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.3%
0 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
4.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 18% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 17% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
19%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.