Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Nagoya Grampus

2 – 1

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 20 May 2023 · 06:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 15,506 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 37' Takumu Kawamura

Kasper Junker 43' 1–1

Kasper Junker 48' 2–1

Takuji Yonemoto 29' Y

Shinnosuke Nakatani 36' Y

Y 50' Hayato Araki

Ryoya Morishita 78' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Koei Koya
Assistant 1 Takeshi Asada
Assistant 2 Noriyuki Suzuki

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 21 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-09-17 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-05-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2021-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-14 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–1	W
14 May	Kashima Antlers	A	0–2	L
06 May	Gamba Osaka	H	1–0	W
03 May	Vissel Kobe	H	2–2	D
29 Apr	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–1	D
23 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–2	D

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 May	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–2	L
13 May	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L
07 May	Avispa Fukuoka	H	3–1	W
29 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–0	W
22 Apr	FC Tōkyō	H	1–2	L
15 Apr	Yokohama FC	A	3–0	W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3	Position	#4
31	Points	30
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
46	Scored	41
44	Conceded	33
+2	GD	+8
1.72	PPG	1.67
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

Naomichi Ueda

1 G

1 A

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nagoya Grampus is hosting Sanfrecce Hiroshima for another epic battle.
5' Shunki Higashi, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
10' Sho Inagaki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
20' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
25' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact 3-4-2-1.
29' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Takuji Yonemoto.
34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
35' Shinnosuke Nakatani has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 35.
36' The referee has no hesitation. Shinnosuke Nakatani is booked for Nagoya Grampus — card on 36.
37' Goal! Takumu Kawamura scores his 9 goal in 339 matches.
42' Sho Sasaki has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
43' Kasper Junker doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
48' The deadlock is broken! Kasper Junker gets on the scoresheet on 48 minutes.
50' Hayato Araki has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 50.
55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
62' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Sota Koshimichi departs to be replaced by Takaaki Shichi.
65' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Mateus has done his job and it is now time for Noriyoshi Sakai to step up.
66' Mateus makes way for Noriyoshi Sakai at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
71' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
73' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Takuya Uchida.
77' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ryoya Morishita.
78' Ryoya Morishita was booked on 78.
78' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Shun Ayukawa comes on to replace Ezequiel.
81' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Kasper Junker by Yuki Nogami on 81 minute.
83' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Taishi Matsumoto on, Tsukasa Morishima off on 83 minutes.
88' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima will have plenty to reflect on. Nagoya Grampus were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

34
Takuya Uchida ↑ 73'
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 81'
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 66'
16
Yohei Takeda
33
Hidemasa Koda
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 65'
42
Ryoga Kida

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

14
Ezequiel ↓ Shun Ayukawa 78'
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↓ Nassim Ben Khalifa 62'
19
Sho Sasaki
38
Keisuke Osako
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Taishi Matsumoto 83'
8
Takumu Kawamura
24
Shunki Higashi
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
9
Douglas Vieira
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Shuto Nakano 83'
32
Sota Koshimichi ↓ Takaaki Shichi 62'

Bench

22
Goro Kawanami
3
Taichi Yamasaki
17
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 83'
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↑ 62'
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 62'
23
Shun Ayukawa ↑ 78'
15
Shuto Nakano ↑ 83'

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kasper Junker	4
Mateus	4
Naoki Maeda	3
Gakuto Notsuda	2
Mutsuki Kato	2
Akito Suzuki	2
Shuto Nakano	2
Naoto Arai	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-05-14 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Gamba Osaka W 2023-05-03 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Vissel Kobe D 2023-04-29 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2023-04-23 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Shonan Bellmare D

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-05-13 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka W 2023-04-29 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-04-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 FC Tōkyō L 2023-04-15 Yokohama FC 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.84 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.69 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus44% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima32%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.53

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

68%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

56%

Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus32% Draw41% Sanfrecce Hiroshima27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.5%

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 0

3 – 1

4.9%

1 – 0

4.8%

0 – 1

4.3%

0 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

4.2%

1 – 3

4.2%

3 – 2

4.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	18%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	17%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.