Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Yokohama FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | FC Tokyo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #6 |
| 30 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 41 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 46 |
| +8 | GD | -5 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are looking to make home advantage count against Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 5' Fagiano Okayama FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' Hayao Kawabe has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 20' Lucao is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fagiano Okayama FC tonight.
- 25' Kazunari Ichimi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fagiano Okayama FC so far.
- 29' Sota Nakamura is ready to make an impact after coming on for Valere Germain at the 29 minute mark.
- 34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 39' Fagiano Okayama FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 44' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 427 goals from 335 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 46' The crowd applauds Sota Koshimichi as he leaves the pitch. Tsukasa Shiotani steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 51' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 56' Fagiano Okayama FC make a change. Masaya Matsumoto trudges off to be replaced by Ryunosuke Sato on 56 minutes.
- 58' Magnificent from Ryunosuke Sato! That is 9 goals in 437 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 63' Ryo Takeuchi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 67' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mutsuki Kato is hanging Naoki Maeda on the field on 67 minute.
- 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yasutaka Yanagi suffering a number of foals already.
- 75' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Ataru Esaka departs to be replaced by Yuta Kamiya.
- 80' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 82' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Satoshi Tanaka exits the field as Motoki Ohara enters on 82.
- 85' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Ryo Takeuchi comes on to replace Ryo Tabei.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Hayao Kawabe.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Fagiano Okayama FC players.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
98
Valere Germain ↓ Sota Nakamura 29'
- 9
- 19
-
18
Daiki Suga ↓ Shunki Higashi 46'
- 1
- 6
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Mutsuki Kato 67'
- 4
-
14
Satoshi Tanaka ↓ Motoki Ohara 82'
- 32
- 15
Bench
- 3
- 5
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 46'
-
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↑ 46'
- 20
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 67'
-
40
Motoki Ohara ↑ 82'
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 29'
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
-
18
Daichi Tagami ↓ Yasutaka Yanagi 75'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Yuta Kamiya 75'
- 28
- 24
- 15
- 50
- 27
-
99
Lucao ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 75'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 85'
- 4
Bench
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 75'
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 85'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 75'
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↑ 56'
- 45
- 19
- 3
-
5
Yasutaka Yanagi ↑ 75'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leonardo Gaucho | 1 |
| Ryunosuke Sato | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2025-04-02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Kashima Antlers
W
2025-03-29
Kyoto Sanga FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-03-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Kashiwa Reysol
D
2025-03-02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Yokohama FC
W
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-04-06
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
FC Tokyo
W
2025-04-02
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
2025-03-16
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2025-03-08
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.83
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Fagiano Okayama FC 74% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
70%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
56%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Fagiano Okayama FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 21% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

