Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Yokohama FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | FC Tokyo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #6 |
| 30 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 41 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 46 |
| +8 | GD | -5 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Sanfrecce Hiroshima gets underway.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Fagiano Okayama FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 10' Ryo Germain is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fagiano Okayama FC so far.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 29' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Valere Germain by Sota Nakamura on 29 minute.
- 34' Kota Kudo, a Japan defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
- 46' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Sota Koshimichi exits the field as Tsukasa Shiotani enters on 46.
- 51' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fagiano Okayama FC backline.
- 56' Fagiano Okayama FC make a change. Masaya Matsumoto trudges off to be replaced by Ryunosuke Sato on 56 minutes.
- 58' Ryunosuke Sato adds to his 0 season tally! Fagiano Okayama FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 63' Fagiano Okayama FC is showing some good football. However, Fagiano Okayama FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 67' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Naoki Maeda trudges off to be replaced by Mutsuki Kato on 67 minutes.
- 72' Fagiano Okayama FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 75' Yuta Kamiya gets the nod from Fagiano Okayama FC. He replaces Ataru Esaka and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 82' Motoki Ohara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Satoshi Tanaka on 82 minute.
- 85' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Ryo Takeuchi comes on to replace Ryo Tabei.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Hayao Kawabe.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Fagiano Okayama FC take all three points.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
98
Valere Germain ↓ Sota Nakamura 29'
- 9
- 19
-
18
Daiki Suga ↓ Shunki Higashi 46'
- 1
- 6
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Mutsuki Kato 67'
- 4
-
14
Satoshi Tanaka ↓ Motoki Ohara 82'
- 32
- 15
Bench
- 3
- 5
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 46'
-
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↑ 46'
- 20
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 67'
-
40
Motoki Ohara ↑ 82'
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 29'
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
-
18
Daichi Tagami ↓ Yasutaka Yanagi 75'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Yuta Kamiya 75'
- 28
- 24
- 15
- 50
- 27
-
99
Lucao ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 75'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 85'
- 4
Bench
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 75'
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 85'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 75'
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↑ 56'
- 45
- 19
- 3
-
5
Yasutaka Yanagi ↑ 75'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kota Kawano | 3 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Sebastien Haller | 1 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 1 |
| Leonardo Gaucho | 1 |
| Ryunosuke Sato | 1 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2025-04-02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Kashima Antlers
W
2025-03-29
Kyoto Sanga FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-03-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Kashiwa Reysol
D
2025-03-02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Yokohama FC
W
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-04-06
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
FC Tokyo
W
2025-04-02
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
2025-03-16
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2025-03-08
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.83
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Fagiano Okayama FC 74% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
70%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
56%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Fagiano Okayama FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 21% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

