Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0 – 1

Full Time

Fagiano Okayama FC

Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 05:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Hayao Kawabe 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 games · Avg 1.3 goals Fagiano Okayama FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-12 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Fagiano Okayama FC

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	0–1	L
06 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W
02 Apr	Kashima Antlers	H	1–0	W
29 Mar	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	0–1	L
16 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
02 Mar	Yokohama FC	H	1–0	W

Fagiano Okayama FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–0	W
06 Apr	FC Tōkyō	H	1–0	W
02 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L
29 Mar	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	1–0	W
16 Mar	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–0	D
08 Mar	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Fagiano Okayama FC
#4	Position	#6
30	Points	26
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	8 / 0 / 10
41	Scored	41
33	Conceded	46
+8	GD	-5
1.67	PPG	1.44
56%	Win %	44%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

28% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Fagiano Okayama FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

2/2

31-45

2/4

46-60

1/2

61-75

4/3

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is hosting Fagiano Okayama FC for another epic battle.
5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
10' Yuta Kamiya, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
20' It is a cagey affair so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their trying to find a way past Fagiano Okayama FC's compact .
25' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Ryo Tabei has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
29' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 29 minute. Valere Germain leaves to be changed by Sota Nakamura.
34' Fagiano Okayama FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Fagiano Okayama FC winning 50% of all matches.
44' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fagiano Okayama FC's shape.
46' The whistle greets Sota Koshimichi as he departs to be replaced by Tsukasa Shiotani.
51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Fagiano Okayama FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
56' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Masaya Matsumoto departs to be replaced by Ryunosuke Sato.
58' A goal from the Japan international Ryunosuke Sato! He fires home on 58 to make it 0-1!
63' The 23-year-old Satoshi Tanaka has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
67' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Naoki Maeda trudges off to be replaced by Mutsuki Kato on 67 minutes.
72' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Fagiano Okayama FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
75' The Fagiano Okayama FC bench stirs into life. Ataru Esaka is withdrawn and Yuta Kamiya gets his opportunity.
80' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Fagiano Okayama FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
82' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Motoki Ohara on, Satoshi Tanaka off on 82 minutes.
85' Ryo Takeuchi is replacing Ryo Tabei for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
90' Controversy at the stadium! Hayao Kawabe argues furiously but the card stands.
The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

98
Valere Germain ↓ Sota Nakamura 29'
9
Ryo Germain
19
Sho Sasaki
18
Daiki Suga ↓ Shunki Higashi 46'
1
Keisuke Osako
6
Hayao Kawabe
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Mutsuki Kato 67'
4
Hayato Araki
14
Satoshi Tanaka ↓ Motoki Ohara 82'
32
Sota Koshimichi ↓ Tsukasa Shiotani 46'
15
Shuto Nakano

Bench

3
Taichi Yamasaki
5
Hiroya Matsumoto
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 46'
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↑ 46'
20
Shion Inoue
51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 67'
40
Motoki Ohara ↑ 82'
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 29'
26
Min-ki Jeong

Coach Michael Skibbe

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Starting XI

49
Svend Brodersen
18
Daichi Tagami ↓ Yasutaka Yanagi 75'
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Yuta Kamiya 75'
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↓ Ryunosuke Sato 56'
24
Ibuki Fujita
15
Kota Kudo
50
Hijiri Kato
27
Takaya Kimura
99
Lucao ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 75'
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 85'
4
Kaito Abe

Bench

22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 75'
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 85'
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 75'
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↑ 56'
45
Noah Browne
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi
3
Kaito Fujii
5
Yasutaka Yanagi ↑ 75'

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sota Nakamura	1
Leonardo Gaucho	1
Ryunosuke Sato	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.83 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.35 Fagiano Okayama FC xG

I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Fagiano Okayama FC 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima44% Draw26% Fagiano Okayama FC30%

Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.18

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

70%

Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC

56%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Fagiano Okayama FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima35% Draw43% Fagiano Okayama FC22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.1%

2 – 1

2 – 0

6.9%

1 – 0

6.9%

1 – 2

6.7%

2 – 2

6.1%

0 – 0

5.7%

3 – 1

5.5%

0 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

4.1%

3 – 2

3.8%

0 – 2

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	21%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	15%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

Fagiano Okayama FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Clean Sheet