Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 05:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'
Hayao Kawabe 90' Y

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5 games · Avg 2.0 goals Fagiano Okayama FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
02 Apr Kashima Antlers H 1–0 W
29 Mar Kyōto Sanga FC A 0–1 L
16 Mar Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
02 Mar Yokohama FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–0 W
06 Apr FC Tōkyō H 1–0 W
02 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
29 Mar Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–0 W
16 Mar Kawasaki Frontale H 0–0 D
08 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Fagiano Okayama FC
#4 Position #6
30 Points 26
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
41 Scored 41
33 Conceded 46
+8 GD -5
1.67 PPG 1.44
56% Win % 44%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
29% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 6 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A
Mutsuki Kato 2 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 2 G 1 A
Fagiano Okayama FC
Kota Kawano 3 G
Lucao 1 G 1 A
Noah Browne 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Fagiano Okayama FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Fagiano Okayama FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Yasutaka Yanagi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucao, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 29' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Valere Germain by Sota Nakamura on 29 minute.
  • 34' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 44' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fagiano Okayama FC's shape.
  • 46' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Sota Koshimichi trudges off to be replaced by Tsukasa Shiotani on 46 minutes.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' The crowd applauds Masaya Matsumoto as he leaves the pitch. Ryunosuke Sato steps in for Fagiano Okayama FC.
  • 58' Ryunosuke Sato is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
  • 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Svend Brodersen suffering a number of foals already.
  • 67' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 67 minute. Naoki Maeda leaves to be changed by Mutsuki Kato.
  • 72' Hayato Araki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Ataru Esaka as he leaves the pitch. Yuta Kamiya steps in for Fagiano Okayama FC.
  • 80' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Satoshi Tanaka as he leaves the pitch. Motoki Ohara steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
  • 85' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 85 minute. Ryo Tabei leaves to be changed by Ryo Takeuchi.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Hayao Kawabe.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Fagiano Okayama FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.83 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Fagiano Okayama FC 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima44% Draw26% Fagiano Okayama FC30%
Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
70%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
56%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Fagiano Okayama FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima35% Draw43% Fagiano Okayama FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.