Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 05:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'
Hayao Kawabe 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Head-to-Head

1
1
3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5 games · Avg 2.0 goals Fagiano Okayama FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
02 Apr Kashima Antlers H 1–0 W
29 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–1 L
16 Mar Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
02 Mar Yokohama FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–0 W
06 Apr FC Tokyo H 1–0 W
02 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
29 Mar Yokohama F.Marinos H 1–0 W
16 Mar Kawasaki Frontale H 0–0 D
08 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Fagiano Okayama FC
#4 Position #6
30 Points 26
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
41 Scored 41
33 Conceded 46
+8 GD -5
1.67 PPG 1.44
56% Win % 44%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
23% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 10 G 4 A
Mutsuki Kato 3 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 3 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A
Fagiano Okayama FC
Kota Kawano 3 G
Noah Browne 2 G 1 A
Lucao 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Sanfrecce Hiroshima gets underway.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Fagiano Okayama FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 10' Ryo Germain is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fagiano Okayama FC so far.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 29' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Valere Germain by Sota Nakamura on 29 minute.
  • 34' Kota Kudo, a Japan defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
  • 46' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Sota Koshimichi exits the field as Tsukasa Shiotani enters on 46.
  • 51' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fagiano Okayama FC backline.
  • 56' Fagiano Okayama FC make a change. Masaya Matsumoto trudges off to be replaced by Ryunosuke Sato on 56 minutes.
  • 58' Ryunosuke Sato adds to his 0 season tally! Fagiano Okayama FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 63' Fagiano Okayama FC is showing some good football. However, Fagiano Okayama FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 67' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Naoki Maeda trudges off to be replaced by Mutsuki Kato on 67 minutes.
  • 72' Fagiano Okayama FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 75' Yuta Kamiya gets the nod from Fagiano Okayama FC. He replaces Ataru Esaka and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 82' Motoki Ohara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Satoshi Tanaka on 82 minute.
  • 85' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Ryo Takeuchi comes on to replace Ryo Tabei.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Hayao Kawabe.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Fagiano Okayama FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.83 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Fagiano Okayama FC 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima44% Draw26% Fagiano Okayama FC30%
Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
70%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
56%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Fagiano Okayama FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima35% Draw43% Fagiano Okayama FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.