Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Yokohama FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #6 |
| 30 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 41 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 46 |
| +8 | GD | -5 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Fagiano Okayama FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Fagiano Okayama FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' Yasutaka Yanagi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucao, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 29' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Valere Germain by Sota Nakamura on 29 minute.
- 34' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 44' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fagiano Okayama FC's shape.
- 46' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Sota Koshimichi trudges off to be replaced by Tsukasa Shiotani on 46 minutes.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' The crowd applauds Masaya Matsumoto as he leaves the pitch. Ryunosuke Sato steps in for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 58' Ryunosuke Sato is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
- 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Svend Brodersen suffering a number of foals already.
- 67' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 67 minute. Naoki Maeda leaves to be changed by Mutsuki Kato.
- 72' Hayato Araki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 75' The crowd applauds Ataru Esaka as he leaves the pitch. Yuta Kamiya steps in for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 80' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 82' The crowd applauds Satoshi Tanaka as he leaves the pitch. Motoki Ohara steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 85' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 85 minute. Ryo Tabei leaves to be changed by Ryo Takeuchi.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Hayao Kawabe.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Fagiano Okayama FC take all three points.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
98
Valere Germain ↓ Sota Nakamura 29'
- 9
- 19
-
18
Daiki Suga ↓ Shunki Higashi 46'
- 1
- 6
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Mutsuki Kato 67'
- 4
-
14
Satoshi Tanaka ↓ Motoki Ohara 82'
- 32
- 15
Bench
- 3
- 5
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 46'
-
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↑ 46'
- 20
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 67'
-
40
Motoki Ohara ↑ 82'
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 29'
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
-
18
Daichi Tagami ↓ Yasutaka Yanagi 75'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Yuta Kamiya 75'
- 28
- 24
- 15
- 50
- 27
-
99
Lucao ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 75'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 85'
- 4
Bench
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 75'
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 85'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 75'
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↑ 56'
- 45
- 19
- 3
-
5
Yasutaka Yanagi ↑ 75'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kota Kawano | 3 |
| Leonardo Gaucho | 1 |
| Ryunosuke Sato | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Sebastien Haller | 1 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 1 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2025-04-02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Kashima Antlers
W
2025-03-29
Kyōto Sanga FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-03-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Kashiwa Reysol
D
2025-03-02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Yokohama FC
W
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-04-06
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
FC Tōkyō
W
2025-04-02
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
2025-03-16
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2025-03-08
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.83
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Fagiano Okayama FC 74% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
70%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
56%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Fagiano Okayama FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 21% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

