Tōkyō Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Tōkyō Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- Tōkyō Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jul | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jul | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Jun | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Jun | Júbilo Iwata | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Jul | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jun | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Tōkyō Verdy | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #4 |
| 28 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 29 | Scored | 41 |
| 32 | Conceded | 33 |
| -3 | GD | +8 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Tōkyō Verdy this season
Tōkyō Verdy this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Tōkyō Verdy are 15th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Tōkyō Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Tōkyō Verdy
| Naoki Hayashi | 2 G |
| Shuhei Mizoguchi | 1 G |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Tokyo Verdy host Sanfrecce Hiroshima — let the battle begin!
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yudai Kimura, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 4 goals in the last 2 games.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sho Sasaki made 342 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' Germany international Tolgay Arslan has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 30' Tokyo Verdy are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
- 35' The 28-year-old Taishi Matsumoto has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 40' Hayato Araki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 50' Hiroto Taniguchi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
- 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
- 60' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Tolgay Arslan is replaced by Douglas Vieira on 60 minute.
- 65' Tokyo Verdy are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
- 70' Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 74' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yotaro Nakajima is hanging Makoto Mitsuta on the field on 74 minute.
- 78' A goal from the Japan international Sho Sasaki! He fires home on 78 to make it 0-1!
- 79' Tokyo Verdy ring the changes. Tomoya Miki has done his job and it is now time for Koki Morita to step up.
- 83' Yuta Arai is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hijiri Onaga at the 83 minute mark.
- 88' Another substitution for Tokyo Verdy to replace Kosuke Saito by Soma Meshino on 88 minute.
- 89' Douglas Vieira catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Tōkyō Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 6
- 8
- 47
- 9
- 1
- 4
- 20
- 11
- 3
- 10
Bench
- 7
- 33
- 21
- 15
- 28
- 27
- 40
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
- 24
- 33
- 4
- 13
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Douglas Vieira 60'
- 11
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 22
- 6
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 60'
- 32
- 27
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 74'
- 36
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pieros Sotiriou | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Shuto Nakano | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Douglas Vieira | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
| Valere Germain | 1 |
Head to Head
Tōkyō Verdy Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-08-07
Tōkyō Verdy
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-07-21
Sagan Tosu FC
1–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-07-14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2024-07-05
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–3
Vissel Kobe
L
2024-06-29
Kawasaki Frontale
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-06-26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Albirex Niigata
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02
Tōkyō Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Tōkyō Verdy or Draw
49%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
77%
Tōkyō Verdy or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
9.6%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 3
5.9%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.1%
1 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Tōkyō Verdy
| Handicap | Tōkyō Verdy covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 23% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Tōkyō Verdy keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

