Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 23 Apr 2023 · 06:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 17,243 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ryoya Morishita 41' 1–0
2–1 55' Naoki Yamada
2–2 80' Shuto Machino pen

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Takuto Okabe
  • Assistant 1 Yusuke Hamamoto
  • Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr Shonan Bellmare H 2–2 D
15 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 2–1 W
09 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
01 Apr Albirex Niigata A 3–1 W
18 Mar FC Tōkyō H 0–0 D
12 Mar Kashiwa Reysol A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 2–2 D
15 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–1 D
09 Apr FC Tōkyō A 2–2 D
01 Apr Gamba Osaka H 4–1 W
19 Mar Avispa Fukuoka A 1–2 L
12 Mar Kyōto Sanga FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.31 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus45% Draw28% Shonan Bellmare27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
55%
Nagoya Grampus or Shonan Bellmare
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus29% Draw50% Shonan Bellmare21%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.