Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hajime Matsuo
- Referee Yoshiro Imamura
- Referee Takeshi Asada
- Referee Hiromichi Oka
- Referee Kota Watanabe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Ōita FC Trinita | A | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Mar | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Yokohama FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Apr | Yokohama FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Mar | Ōita FC Trinita | A | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 31 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Nagoya Grampus host Sanfrecce Hiroshima — let the battle begin!
- 5' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Yoichiro Kakitani has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mitch Langerak suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 22' Yuichi Maruyama does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
- 27' Keisuke Osako is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
- 32' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
- 36' Yoichiro Kakitani is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
- 41' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 46' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Massimo Ficcadenti might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 56' The whistle greets Manabu Saito as he departs to be replaced by Hiroyuki Abe.
- 61' Ezequiel, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 64' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Kosei Shibasaki is replaced by Toshihiro Aoyama on 64 minute.
- 68' Yoichiro Kakitani makes way for Ryogo Yamasaki at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 73' Sanfrecce Hiroshima has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 75' Kazuki Nagasawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mateus on 75 minute.
- 75' Takuji Yonemoto has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 75.
- 80' Kosei Shibasaki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 340 appearances.
- 83' The crowd applauds Ezequiel as he leaves the pitch. Yoshifumi Kashiwa steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 88' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 88.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Rhayner.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Manabu Saito ↓ Naoki Maeda 56'
- 2
- 1
- 23
- 15
- 8
- 3
- 6
- 4
-
11
Yuki Soma ↓ Naoki Maeda 56'
-
16
Mateus ↓ Kazuki Nagasawa 75'
Bench
-
7
Hiroyuki Abe ↑ 56'
-
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 75'
-
9
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 68'
- 14
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 56'
- 21
- 17
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Ezequiel ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 83'
- 37
- 38
- 2
-
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↓ Rhayner 64'
- 10
- 8
- 24
- 4
-
29
Yuya Asano ↓ Rhayner 64'
- 33
Bench
-
27
Rhayner ↑ 64'
-
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↑ 64'
- 1
-
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 83'
- 3
- 25
- 23
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Mateus | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2021-04-14
Nagoya Grampus
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2021-04-10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Shonan Bellmare
L
2021-04-07
Yokohama FC
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2021-04-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Gamba Osaka
D
2021-03-21
Ōita FC Trinita
1–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2021-03-17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Shimizu S-Pulse
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.69
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
69%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55%
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

