Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Hajime Matsuo
- Referee Yoshiro Imamura
- Referee Takeshi Asada
- Referee Hiromichi Oka
- Referee Kota Watanabe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Oita FC Trinita | A | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Mar | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Yokohama FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Apr | Yokohama FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Mar | Oita FC Trinita | A | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 31 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Paloma Mizuho Stadium that hosts another battle between Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
- 10' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Yuya Asano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' Yuichi Maruyama has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 22' Assisted by Mateus with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yuichi Maruyama makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 27' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 32' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
- 36' Yoichiro Kakitani catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 36.
- 41' It looks like no one’s ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 46' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 51' Yoshifumi Kashiwa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 56' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Manabu Saito by Hiroyuki Abe on 56 minute.
- 61' Toshihiro Aoyama has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 64' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Kosei Shibasaki is replaced by Toshihiro Aoyama.
- 68' Yoichiro Kakitani makes way for Ryogo Yamasaki at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 73' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 75' Mateus makes way for Kazuki Nagasawa at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 75' Takuji Yonemoto picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 80' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Hiroshi Jofuku will be considering his options from the bench.
- 83' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Yoshifumi Kashiwa comes on to replace Ezequiel.
- 88' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 90' A moment of madness from Rhayner on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be frustrated.
- 1-0 the final result. Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Manabu Saito ↓ Naoki Maeda 56'
- 2
- 1
- 23
- 15
- 8
- 3
- 6
- 4
-
11
Yuki Soma ↓ Naoki Maeda 56'
-
16
Mateus ↓ Kazuki Nagasawa 75'
Bench
-
7
Hiroyuki Abe ↑ 56'
-
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 75'
-
9
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 68'
- 14
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 56'
- 21
- 17
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Ezequiel ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 83'
- 37
- 38
- 2
-
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↓ Rhayner 64'
- 10
- 8
- 24
- 4
-
29
Yuya Asano ↓ Rhayner 64'
- 33
Bench
-
27
Rhayner ↑ 64'
-
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↑ 64'
- 1
-
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 83'
- 3
- 25
- 23
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 4 |
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 1 |
| Jo | 1 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2021-04-14
Nagoya Grampus
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2021-04-10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Shonan Bellmare
L
2021-04-07
Yokohama FC
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2021-04-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Gamba Osaka
D
2021-03-21
Oita FC Trinita
1–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2021-03-17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Shimizu S-Pulse
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.69
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
69%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55%
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

