Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hajime Matsuo
- Referee Yoshiro Imamura
- Referee Takeshi Asada
- Referee Hiromichi Oka
- Referee Kota Watanabe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Oita FC Trinita | A | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Apr | FC Tokyo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Mar | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Yokohama FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Apr | Yokohama FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Mar | Oita FC Trinita | A | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 31 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Paloma Mizuho Stadium that hosts another battle between Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 5' The 35-year-old Yuki Nogami has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning 50% of all matches.
- 22' Yuichi Maruyama doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 27' Yutaka Yoshida is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
- 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yuya Asano, as he is very good at scoring at Paloma Mizuho Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 36' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Yoichiro Kakitani.
- 41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 46' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 56' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Manabu Saito is replaced by Hiroyuki Abe.
- 61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Massimo Ficcadenti might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 64' The whistle greets Kosei Shibasaki as he departs to be replaced by Toshihiro Aoyama.
- 68' Yoichiro Kakitani makes way for Ryogo Yamasaki at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 73' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 75' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Kazuki Nagasawa comes on to replace Mateus.
- 75' The referee has no hesitation. Takuji Yonemoto is booked for Nagoya Grampus — Yellow card on 75.
- 80' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 83' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Ezequiel departs to be replaced by Yoshifumi Kashiwa.
- 88' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Massimo Ficcadenti will be considering his options from the bench.
- 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Rhayner.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Manabu Saito ↓ Naoki Maeda 56'
- 2
- 1
- 23
- 15
- 8
- 3
- 6
- 4
-
11
Yuki Soma ↓ Naoki Maeda 56'
-
16
Mateus ↓ Kazuki Nagasawa 75'
Bench
-
7
Hiroyuki Abe ↑ 56'
-
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 75'
-
9
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 68'
- 14
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 56'
- 21
- 17
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Ezequiel ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 83'
- 37
- 38
- 2
-
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↓ Rhayner 64'
- 10
- 8
- 24
- 4
-
29
Yuya Asano ↓ Rhayner 64'
- 33
Bench
-
27
Rhayner ↑ 64'
-
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↑ 64'
- 1
-
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 83'
- 3
- 25
- 23
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Mateus | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 1 |
| Ezequiel | 1 |
| Mitch Langerak | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2021-04-14
Nagoya Grampus
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2021-04-10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Shonan Bellmare
L
2021-04-07
Yokohama FC
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2021-04-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Gamba Osaka
D
2021-03-21
Oita FC Trinita
1–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2021-03-17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Shimizu S-Pulse
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.69
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
69%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55%
Nagoya Grampus or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

