Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 22 Apr 2023 · 05:00 UTC EDION Stadium Hiroshima 13,801 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Hotaka Nakamura
0–2 28' Shuto Abe
Tsukasa Morishima 38' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC TōkyōJ. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara
  • Assistant 1 Naoya Okawa
  • Assistant 2 Hiroyoshi Iwata
7 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 7.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr FC Tōkyō H 1–2 L
15 Apr Yokohama FC A 3–0 W
09 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 1–0 W
01 Apr Kashima Antlers A 2–1 W
19 Mar Kashiwa Reysol H 1–0 W
12 Mar Gamba Osaka A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–1 W
15 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–2 L
09 Apr Shonan Bellmare H 2–2 D
01 Apr Sagan Tosu FC A 0–1 L
18 Mar Nagoya Grampus A 0–0 D
12 Mar Yokohama FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima FC Tōkyō
#4 Position #12
30 Points 37
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 13 / 0 / 5
41 Scored 55
33 Conceded 42
+8 GD +13
1.67 PPG 2.06
56% Win % 72%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
22% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tōkyō
0-15
/1
16-30
/2
31-45
8/
46-60
2/
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.85 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 FC Tōkyō xG
I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Tōkyō 75% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima38% Draw25% FC Tōkyō37%
Actual: FC Tōkyō win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Tōkyō
62%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Tōkyō
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima30% Draw40% FC Tōkyō30%
Actual: FC Tōkyō win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
4.1%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push FC Tōkyō covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 18% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 17% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
17%
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.