Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ryo Tanimoto
- Assistant 1 Kogo Kumagai (Japan)
- Assistant 2 Satoshi Michiyama (Japan)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Apr | Yokohama FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–3 | L |
| 03 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–3 | L |
| 09 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #10 |
| 30 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 41 | Scored | 49 |
| 33 | Conceded | 59 |
| +8 | GD | -10 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Werik | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score. At the same time, Avispa Fukuoka does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Hayato Araki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 435 goals from 339 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 11' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Itsuki Oda.
- 16' Japan international Itsuki Oda has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 21' The whistle greets Makoto Mitsuta as he departs to be replaced by Sota Koshimichi.
- 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 27' The referee shows Sanfrecce Hiroshima player a Yellow card on 27.
- 30' A goal from the Japan international Yuya Yamagishi! He fires home on 30 to make it 0-1!
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hiroyuki Mae, as he is very good at scoring at EDION Stadium Hiroshima with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 46' Ezequiel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nassim Ben Khalifa at the 46 minute mark.
- 50' Against the run of play, Pieros Sotiriou has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 54' Yota Maejima picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 58' The supporters are chanting for Reiju Tsuruno. He replaces Ryoga Sato on 58 minute.
- 63' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 68' It is a cagey affair so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their 3-1-4-2 trying to find a way past Avispa Fukuoka's compact 4-4-2.
- 72' Goal! Sho Sasaki scores his 21 goal in 339 matches.
- 75' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Kazuya Konno departs to be replaced by Takeshi Kanamori.
- 80' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 81' Sotan Tanabe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Masato Shigemi on 81 minute.
- 82' Tatsuya Tanaka has so much to prove this time. He replaces Itsuki Oda on 82 minute.
- 86' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Taichi Yamasaki is hanging Pieros Sotiriou on the field on 86 minute.
- 87' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Pieros Sotiriou exits the field as Taichi Yamasaki enters on 87.
- 89' Takumu Kawamura adds to his 0 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
- 90' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Tsukasa Morishima is withdrawn and Taishi Matsumoto gets his opportunity.
- The final score is 3-1.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
-
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↓ Takaaki Shichi 46'
- 19
- 38
- 10
- 8
- 24
- 20
-
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↓ Ezequiel 46'
- 33
- 4
- 11
Bench
-
14
Ezequiel ↑ 46'
- 22
-
3
Taichi Yamasaki ↑ 86'
-
17
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 90'
-
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 46'
- 23
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 21'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3
- 1
-
16
Itsuki Oda ↓ Tatsuya Tanaka 81'
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 75'
- 9
- 29
- 6
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Wellington 75'
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↓ Reiju Tsuruno 58'
- 20
-
30
Masato Shigemi ↓ Sotan Tanabe 81'
Bench
-
19
Sotan Tanabe ↑ 81'
-
18
Wellington ↑ 75'
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 75'
-
14
Tatsuya Tanaka ↑ 81'
- 31
- 26
-
28
Reiju Tsuruno ↑ 58'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shunki Higashi | 3 |
| Tomoya Miki | 2 |
| Junior Santos | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Daiki Watari | 2 |
| Sho Sasaki | 2 |
| Hiroyuki Mae | 2 |
| Shosei Usui | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2023-05-07
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2023-04-29
Cerezo Osaka FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-04-22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
FC Tōkyō
L
2023-04-15
Yokohama FC
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-04-09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Sagan Tosu FC
W
2023-04-01
Kashima Antlers
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.07
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
81%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
37%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Avispa Fukuoka
82%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
4 – 1
5.1%
1 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.3%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Avispa Fukuoka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -2 | 28% | 17% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 18% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 10% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

