Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Ryo Tanimoto
- Assistant 1 Kogo Kumagai (Japan)
- Assistant 2 Satoshi Michiyama (Japan)
8 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 8.4 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Apr | Yokohama FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–3 | L |
| 03 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–3 | L |
| 09 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #10 |
| 30 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 41 | Scored | 49 |
| 33 | Conceded | 59 |
| +8 | GD | -10 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
4/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at EDION Stadium Hiroshima. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 11' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Itsuki Oda.
- 16' It looks surprising Avispa Fukuoka does not make any changes. Lukian has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 21' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Makoto Mitsuta has done his job and it is now time for Sota Koshimichi to step up.
- 26' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 27' The referee calls foul for Nassim Ben Khalifa. He receives a Yellow card.
- 30' Yuya Yamagishi doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Shigetoshi Hasebe will be considering his options from the bench.
- 40' Yota Maejima has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 45' Avispa Fukuoka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 46' Nassim Ben Khalifa makes way for Ezequiel at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 50' A stunning finish from Pieros Sotiriou — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 54' The referee calls foul for Yota Maejima. He receives a Yellow card.
- 58' Fresh legs for Avispa Fukuoka! Reiju Tsuruno comes on to replace Ryoga Sato.
- 63' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 68' Takumu Kawamura has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 335 appearances.
- 72' Sho Sasaki is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 75' Kazuya Konno makes way for Takeshi Kanamori at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Avispa Fukuoka.
- 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tsukasa Morishima made 335 appearances and scored 26 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 81' The Avispa Fukuoka bench stirs into life. Masato Shigemi is withdrawn and Sotan Tanabe gets his opportunity.
- 82' Avispa Fukuoka make a change. Itsuki Oda trudges off to be replaced by Tatsuya Tanaka on 82 minutes.
- 86' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Taichi Yamasaki on, Pieros Sotiriou off on 86 minutes.
- 87' Taichi Yamasaki gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Pieros Sotiriou and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' Takumu Kawamura has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 89 minutes.
- 90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Tsukasa Morishima trudges off to be replaced by Taishi Matsumoto on 90 minutes.
- The points are shared — Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka. Honours even.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
-
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↓ Takaaki Shichi 46'
- 19
- 38
- 10
- 8
- 24
- 20
-
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↓ Ezequiel 46'
- 33
- 4
- 11
Bench
-
14
Ezequiel ↑ 46'
- 22
-
3
Taichi Yamasaki ↑ 86'
-
17
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 90'
-
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 46'
- 23
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 21'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3
- 1
-
16
Itsuki Oda ↓ Tatsuya Tanaka 81'
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 75'
- 9
- 29
- 6
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Wellington 75'
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↓ Reiju Tsuruno 58'
- 20
-
30
Masato Shigemi ↓ Sotan Tanabe 81'
Bench
-
19
Sotan Tanabe ↑ 81'
-
18
Wellington ↑ 75'
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 75'
-
14
Tatsuya Tanaka ↑ 81'
- 31
- 26
-
28
Reiju Tsuruno ↑ 58'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hiroyuki Mae | 2 |
| Tomoya Miki | 2 |
| Junior Santos | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Daiki Watari | 2 |
| Sho Sasaki | 2 |
| Shunki Higashi | 2 |
| Shosei Usui | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2023-05-07
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2023-04-29
Cerezo Osaka FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-04-22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
FC Tōkyō
L
2023-04-15
Yokohama FC
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-04-09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Sagan Tosu FC
W
2023-04-01
Kashima Antlers
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.07
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
81%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
37%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Avispa Fukuoka
82%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
4 – 1
5.1%
1 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.3%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Avispa Fukuoka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -2 | 28% | 17% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 18% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 10% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.