Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3 – 1

Full Time

Avispa Fukuoka

Sun 7 May 2023 · 04:00 UTC EDION Stadium Hiroshima 10,415 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 30' Yuya Yamagishi

Pieros Sotiriou 50' 1–1

Yuya Yamagishi og 72' 2–1

Takumu Kawamura 89' 3–1

Y 11' Itsuki Oda

Nassim Ben Khalifa 27' Y

Y 54' Yota Maejima

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Ryo Tanimoto
Assistant 1 Kogo Kumagai (Japan)
Assistant 2 Satoshi Michiyama (Japan)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 games · Avg 2.4 goals Avispa Fukuoka

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka 2022-06-25 Avispa Fukuoka 1–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-04-10 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka 2021-08-09 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2021-04-24 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 May	Avispa Fukuoka	H	3–1	W
29 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–0	W
22 Apr	FC Tokyo	H	1–2	L
15 Apr	Yokohama FC	A	3–0	W
09 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–0	W
01 Apr	Kashima Antlers	A	2–1	W

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–3	L
03 May	FC Tokyo	H	1–0	W
29 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–3	L
23 Apr	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	2–2	D
15 Apr	Albirex Niigata	A	2–3	L
09 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Avispa Fukuoka
#4	Position	#10
30	Points	21
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	7 / 0 / 11
41	Scored	49
33	Conceded	59
+8	GD	-10
1.67	PPG	1.17
56%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

100% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Avispa Fukuoka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sanfrecce Hiroshima launch into their encounter with Avispa Fukuoka.
5' Avispa Fukuoka come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
11' Itsuki Oda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 11.
16' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
21' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Makoto Mitsuta departs to be replaced by Sota Koshimichi.
26' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
27' Sanfrecce Hiroshima player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
30' Yuya Yamagishi does the damage! The net is bulging and Avispa Fukuoka surge ahead!
35' Avispa Fukuoka have won 210 goals from 200 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
46' Ezequiel is replacing Nassim Ben Khalifa for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
50' Pieros Sotiriou makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
54' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Yota Maejima.
58' The crowd applauds Ryoga Sato as he leaves the pitch. Reiju Tsuruno steps in for Avispa Fukuoka.
63' Sanfrecce Hiroshima currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
68' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
72' Sho Sasaki doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
75' The supporters are chanting for Takeshi Kanamori. He replaces Kazuya Konno on 75 minute.
80' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
81' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Masato Shigemi departs to be replaced by Sotan Tanabe.
82' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tatsuya Tanaka is hanging Itsuki Oda on the field on 82 minute.
86' Taichi Yamasaki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pieros Sotiriou on 86 minute.
87' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Pieros Sotiriou is replaced by Taichi Yamasaki on 87 minute.
89' What a strike from Takumu Kawamura! The score is 3-1.
90' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Tsukasa Morishima is withdrawn and Taishi Matsumoto gets his opportunity.
It finishes all square. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka share the spoils 3-1.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

7
Gakuto Notsuda ↓ Takaaki Shichi 46'
19
Sho Sasaki
38
Keisuke Osako
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Taishi Matsumoto 90'
8
Takumu Kawamura
24
Shunki Higashi
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↓ Taichi Yamasaki 86'
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↓ Ezequiel 46'
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
4
Hayato Araki
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Sota Koshimichi 21'

Bench

14
Ezequiel ↑ 46'
22
Goro Kawanami
3
Taichi Yamasaki ↑ 86'
17
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 90'
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 46'
23
Shun Ayukawa
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 21'

Coach Michael Skibbe

Avispa Fukuoka Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

19
Sotan Tanabe ↑ 81'
18
Wellington ↑ 75'
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 75'
14
Tatsuya Tanaka ↑ 81'
31
Masaaki Murakami
26
Seiya Inoue
28
Reiju Tsuruno ↑ 58'

Coach Shigetoshi Hasebe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Hiroyuki Mae	2
Tomoya Miki	2
Junior Santos	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Daiki Watari	2
Sho Sasaki	2
Shunki Higashi	2
Shosei Usui	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka W 2023-04-29 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-04-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 FC Tokyo L 2023-04-15 Yokohama FC 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-04-01 Kashima Antlers 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Avispa Fukuoka Form

2023-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-05-03 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 FC Tokyo W 2023-04-29 Avispa Fukuoka 1–3 Kawasaki Frontale L 2023-04-23 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2–2 Avispa Fukuoka D 2023-04-15 Albirex Niigata 3–2 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-04-09 Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Kyoto Sanga FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

3.07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.72 Avispa Fukuoka xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima63% Draw18% Avispa Fukuoka19%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes77% 0% No23%

Avg goals/match: 4.79

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	84%	16%
± 3.5	69%	31%
± 4.5	51%	49%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

81%

Draw or Avispa Fukuoka

37%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Avispa Fukuoka

82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima49% Draw32% Avispa Fukuoka19%

Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

6.8%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 2

5.7%

2 – 2

5.7%

4 – 1

5.1%

1 – 1

5.1%

4 – 2

4.4%

2 – 0

4.2%

3 – 0

4.1%

1 – 2

3.9%

3 – 3

3.3%

2 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5	28%	—	72%
-2	28%	17%	55%
-1.5	45%	—	55%
-1	45%	18%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	10%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet

5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.