Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Yudai Yamamoto
- Assistant 1 Isao Nishihashi
- Assistant 2 Yukimasa Anai
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Apr | Yokohama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #5 |
| 31 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 61 |
| 44 | Conceded | 53 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Nagoya Grampus have kicked off against Gamba Osaka. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Nagoya Grampus currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' Ryotaro Meshino is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gamba Osaka so far.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daniel Poyatos Algaba will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Gamba Osaka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 33' That is a Yellow card for Gamba Osaka. Dawhan will be fuming at that decision.
- 38' Gamba Osaka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 39' Juan was booked on 39.
- 44' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
- 46' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Takuya Uchida is withdrawn and Kensuke Nagai gets his opportunity.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 56' Hideki Ishige has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 56.
- 57' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Kazuki Nagasawa has done his job and it is now time for Takuji Yonemoto to step up.
- 58' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Kazuki Nagasawa exits the field as Takuji Yonemoto enters on 58.
- 61' The crowd applauds Ryotaro Meshino as he leaves the pitch. Ryu Takao steps in for Gamba Osaka.
- 63' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ryuji Izumi.
- 67' A goal from the Japan international Sho Inagaki! He fires home on 67 to make it 1-0!
- 70' Time for substitution for Gamba Osaka. Dawhan is replaced by Rihito Yamamoto.
- 71' Gamba Osaka ring the changes. Issam Jebali has done his job and it is now time for Musashi Suzuki to step up.
- 76' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 78' The referee calls foul for Takashi Usami. He receives a Yellow card.
- 79' Yuki Nogami is replacing Mateus for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Hiroto Yamami. He replaces Juan on 83 minute.
- 87' Poor challenge from Shota Fukuoka. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 90' The referee shows Gamba Osaka player a Yellow card on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Gamba Osaka.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Kensuke Nagai 46'
- 1
- 15
- 5
- 3
- 13
- 7
- 4
-
10
Mateus ↓ Yuki Nogami 79'
- 17
-
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↓ Kasper Junker 57'
Bench
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 58'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 46'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 79'
- 16
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 57'
- 24
- 42
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Gamba Osaka Lineups
4-1-2-3Starting XI
-
11
Issam Jebali ↓ Musashi Suzuki 71'
-
47
Juan Alano ↓ Hiroto Yamami 83'
- 99
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↓ Ryu Takao 61'
-
48
Hideki Ishige ↓ Takashi Usami 70'
- 24
- 18
- 2
- 20
- 3
-
23
Dawhan ↓ Rihito Yamamoto 70'
Bench
-
7
Takashi Usami ↑ 70'
-
9
Musashi Suzuki ↑ 71'
- 1
- 5
-
6
Rihito Yamamoto ↑ 70'
-
13
Ryu Takao ↑ 61'
-
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 83'
Coach
Daniel Poyatos Algaba
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jo | 4 |
| Jo | 4 |
| Patric | 3 |
| Ademilson | 3 |
| Takeru Kishimoto | 2 |
| Takashi Usami | 2 |
| Yoichiro Kakitani | 2 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.84
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.27
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 83%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 5.11
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
72%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
47%
Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–0 not predicted1 – 0Actual
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
3 – 3
4.3%
4 – 2
4%
4 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.3%
4 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 14% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 17% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 14% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 9% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✗
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

