Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 0

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Sat 6 May 2023 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 28,613 HT 45' · FT 45'

Sho Inagaki 67' 1–0

Y 33' Dawhan

Y 39' Juan Alano

Y 56' Hideki Ishige

Ryuji Izumi 63' Y

Y 78' Takashi Usami

Y 87' Shota Fukuoka

Y 90' Keisuke Kurokawa

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Yudai Yamamoto
Assistant 1 Isao Nishihashi
Assistant 2 Yukimasa Anai

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 24 games · Avg 3.0 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Gamba Osaka 2022-08-27 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Gamba Osaka 2022-04-02 Gamba Osaka 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2021-11-20 Gamba Osaka 1–3 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-22 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 May	Gamba Osaka	H	1–0	W
03 May	Vissel Kobe	H	2–2	D
29 Apr	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	1–1	D
23 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–2	D
15 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	A	2–1	W
09 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–0	D

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 May	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–1	L
03 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	1–2	L
29 Apr	Kashima Antlers	A	0–4	L
23 Apr	Yokohama FC	H	1–1	D
15 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	1–2	L
09 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Gamba Osaka
#3	Position	#5
31	Points	28
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
46	Scored	61
44	Conceded	53
+2	GD	+8
1.72	PPG	1.56
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gamba Osaka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Toyota Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' Kyung-won Kwon needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
10' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Gamba Osaka's compact 4-1-2-3.
15' Gamba Osaka have won 377 goals from 403 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
30' Gamba Osaka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
33' The referee has no hesitation. Dawhan is booked for Gamba Osaka — Yellow card on 33.
38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
39' Juan is having his name booked by the referee on 39.
44' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
46' The crowd applauds Takuya Uchida as he leaves the pitch. Kensuke Nagai steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
51' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
56' Hideki Ishige is having his name booked by the referee on 56.
57' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Kazuki Nagasawa departs to be replaced by Takuji Yonemoto.
58' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Takuji Yonemoto on, Kazuki Nagasawa off on 58 minutes.
61' Ryu Takao is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryotaro Meshino at the 61 minute mark.
63' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Ryuji Izumi gets a Yellow card.
67' Against the run of play, Sho Inagaki has scored! This game has turned on its head.
70' Gamba Osaka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rihito Yamamoto is hanging Dawhan on the field on 70 minute.
71' Musashi Suzuki is replacing Issam Jebali for the Gamba Osaka side.
76' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 50% of all matches.
78' Poor challenge from Takashi Usami. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
79' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Mateus has done his job and it is now time for Yuki Nogami to step up.
83' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Juan by Hiroto Yamami on 83 minute.
87' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Shota Fukuoka.
90' Keisuke Kurokawa was booked on 90.
That’s it! Another goalless match for Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

6
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 58'
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 46'
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 79'
16
Yohei Takeda
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 57'
24
Akinari Kawazura
42
Ryoga Kida

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Gamba Osaka Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

7
Takashi Usami ↑ 70'
9
Musashi Suzuki ↑ 71'
1
Masaaki Higashiguchi
5
Genta Miura
6
Rihito Yamamoto ↑ 70'
13
Ryu Takao ↑ 61'
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 83'

Coach Daniel Poyatos Algaba

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jo	4
Jo	4
Patric	3
Ademilson	3
Gabriel Xavier	2
Sho Inagaki	2
Takeru Kishimoto	2
Takashi Usami	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Gamba Osaka W 2023-05-03 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Vissel Kobe D 2023-04-29 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2023-04-23 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Shonan Bellmare D 2023-04-15 Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-04-09 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D

Gamba Osaka Form

2023-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-05-03 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2023-04-29 Kashima Antlers 4–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-04-23 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Yokohama FC D 2023-04-15 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–1 Gamba Osaka L 2023-04-09 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Kawasaki Frontale W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.84 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.27 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus53% Draw19% Gamba Osaka28%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes83% 0% No17%

Avg goals/match: 5.11

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	96%	4%
± 2.5	87%	13%
± 3.5	73%	27%
± 4.5	56%	44%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

72%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

47%

Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka

81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus40% Draw33% Gamba Osaka27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 2

6.1%

3 – 2

5.7%

2 – 1

5.6%

3 – 1

5.1%

2 – 3

4.6%

1 – 1

4.6%

1 – 2

4.5%

3 – 3

4.3%

4 – 2

4 – 1

3.6%

1 – 3

3.3%

4 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	14%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	17%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	14%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	9%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

11% ✗

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.