Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 0

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Sat 6 May 2023 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 28,613 HT 45' · FT 45'

Sho Inagaki 67' 1–0

Y 33' Dawhan

Y 39' Juan Alano

Y 56' Hideki Ishige

Ryuji Izumi 63' Y

Y 78' Takashi Usami

Y 87' Shota Fukuoka

Y 90' Keisuke Kurokawa

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Yudai Yamamoto
Assistant 1 Isao Nishihashi
Assistant 2 Yukimasa Anai

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 25 games · Avg 3.1 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Gamba Osaka 2022-08-27 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Gamba Osaka 2022-04-02 Gamba Osaka 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2021-11-20 Gamba Osaka 1–3 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-22 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 May	Gamba Osaka	H	1–0	W
03 May	Vissel Kobe	H	2–2	D
29 Apr	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–1	D
23 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–2	D
15 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	A	2–1	W
09 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–0	D

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 May	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–1	L
03 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	1–2	L
29 Apr	Kashima Antlers	A	0–4	L
23 Apr	Yokohama FC	H	1–1	D
15 Apr	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	1–2	L
09 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Gamba Osaka
#3	Position	#5
31	Points	28
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
46	Scored	61
44	Conceded	53
+2	GD	+8
1.72	PPG	1.56
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

15% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

5/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/5

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gamba Osaka

0-15

1/4

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/4

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

6/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

Yuya Yamagishi	3 G
Takuya Uchida	2 G	1 A
Yudai Kimura	2 G	1 A
Naomichi Ueda	1 G	1 A

Gamba Osaka

Issam Jebali	5 G	3 A
Ryotaro Meshino	2 G
Welton	2 G
Deniz Hummet	2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Toyota Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka.
5' Gamba Osaka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
20' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Gamba Osaka's 4-1-2-3 shape.
25' Shinnosuke Nakatani needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 19 Yellow cards this season.
30' Gamba Osaka is showing some good football. However, Gamba Osaka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
33' Gamba Osaka player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
38' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
39' A meaty challenge results in booking for Juan on 39.
44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
46' Kensuke Nagai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takuya Uchida on 46 minute.
51' Nagoya Grampus currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
56' Gamba Osaka player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
57' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 57 minute. Kazuki Nagasawa leaves to be changed by Takuji Yonemoto.
58' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Takuji Yonemoto comes on to replace Kazuki Nagasawa.
61' Ryotaro Meshino makes way for Ryu Takao at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gamba Osaka.
63' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ryuji Izumi.
67' Brilliant from the ! Sho Inagaki makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 67.
70' A tactical swap from Gamba Osaka — Rihito Yamamoto on, Dawhan off on 70 minutes.
71' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Musashi Suzuki comes on to replace Issam Jebali.
76' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
78' Takashi Usami is having his name booked by the referee on 78.
79' Yuki Nogami gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Mateus and will look to change the dynamic.
83' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Juan departs to be replaced by Hiroto Yamami.
87' Shota Fukuoka has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 87.
90' Keisuke Kurokawa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
Gamba Osaka will have plenty to reflect on. Nagoya Grampus were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

6
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 58'
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 46'
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 79'
16
Yohei Takeda
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 57'
24
Akinari Kawazura
42
Ryoga Kida

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Gamba Osaka Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

7
Takashi Usami ↑ 70'
9
Musashi Suzuki ↑ 71'
1
Masaaki Higashiguchi
5
Genta Miura
6
Rihito Yamamoto ↑ 70'
13
Ryu Takao ↑ 61'
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 83'

Coach Daniel Poyatos Algaba

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jo	4
Jo	4
Ademilson	3
Patric	3
Ryoya Yamashita	2
Gabriel Xavier	2
Sho Inagaki	2
Yudai Kimura	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Gamba Osaka W 2023-05-03 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Vissel Kobe D 2023-04-29 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2023-04-23 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Shonan Bellmare D 2023-04-15 Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-04-09 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D

Gamba Osaka Form

2023-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-05-03 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2023-04-29 Kashima Antlers 4–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-04-23 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Yokohama FC D 2023-04-15 Kyōto Sanga FC 2–1 Gamba Osaka L 2023-04-09 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Kawasaki Frontale W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.84 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.27 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus53% Draw19% Gamba Osaka28%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes83% 0% No17%

Avg goals/match: 5.11

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	96%	4%
± 2.5	87%	13%
± 3.5	73%	27%
± 4.5	56%	44%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

72%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

47%

Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka

81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus40% Draw33% Gamba Osaka27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 2

6.1%

3 – 2

5.7%

2 – 1

5.6%

3 – 1

5.1%

2 – 3

4.6%

1 – 1

4.6%

1 – 2

4.5%

3 – 3

4.3%

4 – 2

4 – 1

3.6%

1 – 3

3.3%

4 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	14%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	17%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	14%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	9%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

11% ✗

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.