Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yudai Yamamoto
- Assistant 1 Isao Nishihashi
- Assistant 2 Yukimasa Anai
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Apr | Yokohama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #5 |
| 31 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 61 |
| 44 | Conceded | 53 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
68%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 2 G | 1 A |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G | |
| Asahi Uenaka | 1 G | |
| Welton | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus are looking to make home advantage count against Gamba Osaka.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Gamba Osaka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 100% of all matches.
- 20' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
- 25' Nagoya Grampus currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 33' The referee shows Gamba Osaka player a Yellow card on 33.
- 38' Sho Inagaki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 39' Juan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 39.
- 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 46' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Takuya Uchida exits the field as Kensuke Nagai enters on 46.
- 51' Dawhan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 407 appearances.
- 56' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Hideki Ishige.
- 57' The whistle greets Kazuki Nagasawa as he departs to be replaced by Takuji Yonemoto.
- 58' Kazuki Nagasawa makes way for Takuji Yonemoto at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 61' Ryotaro Meshino makes way for Ryu Takao at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gamba Osaka.
- 63' Ryuji Izumi was booked on 63.
- 67' GOAL! Sho Inagaki fires home to make it 1-0!
- 70' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Dawhan exits the field as Rihito Yamamoto enters on 70.
- 71' Gamba Osaka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Musashi Suzuki is hanging Issam Jebali on the field on 71 minute.
- 76' Musashi Suzuki has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 78' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Takashi Usami.
- 79' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Mateus exits the field as Yuki Nogami enters on 79.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Hiroto Yamami. He replaces Juan on 83 minute.
- 87' It’s a booking for Gamba Osaka player. Shota Fukuoka gets a Yellow card.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Keisuke Kurokawa argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Kensuke Nagai 46'
- 1
- 15
- 5
- 3
- 13
- 7
- 4
-
10
Mateus ↓ Yuki Nogami 79'
- 17
-
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↓ Kasper Junker 57'
Bench
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 58'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 46'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 79'
- 16
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 57'
- 24
- 42
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Gamba Osaka Lineups
4-1-2-3Starting XI
-
11
Issam Jebali ↓ Musashi Suzuki 71'
-
47
Juan Alano ↓ Hiroto Yamami 83'
- 99
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↓ Ryu Takao 61'
-
48
Hideki Ishige ↓ Takashi Usami 70'
- 24
- 18
- 2
- 20
- 3
-
23
Dawhan ↓ Rihito Yamamoto 70'
Bench
-
7
Takashi Usami ↑ 70'
-
9
Musashi Suzuki ↑ 71'
- 1
- 5
-
6
Rihito Yamamoto ↑ 70'
-
13
Ryu Takao ↑ 61'
-
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 83'
Coach
Daniel Poyatos Algaba
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jo | 4 |
| Jo | 4 |
| Ademilson | 3 |
| Patric | 3 |
| Ryoya Yamashita | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.84
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.27
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 83%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 5.11
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
72%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
47%
Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–0 not predicted1 – 0Actual
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
3 – 3
4.3%
4 – 2
4%
4 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.3%
4 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 14% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 17% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 14% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 9% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✗
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

