Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Sep | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | Ōita FC Trinita | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Sep | Tokushima Vortis | H | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 30 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Nagoya Grampus — let the battle begin!
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Rhayner has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' Nagoya Grampus have won 403 goals from 444 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Massimo Ficcadenti will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yuya Asano makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Ryoya Morishita exits the field as Mateus enters on 46.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 52' Yoichiro Kakitani makes way for Naoki Maeda at the 52 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 53' Ryogo Yamasaki is replacing Jakub Swierczok for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 58' Shunki Higashi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
- 63' It looks like no one’s ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 68' Ezequiel gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Kosei Shibasaki and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gabriel Xavier, as he is very good at scoring at EDION Stadium Hiroshima with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 77' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Shumpei Naruse is replaced by Kazuya Miyahara.
- 82' The energy levels are beginning to show. Massimo Ficcadenti might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 83' Rhayner catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 83.
- 84' The whistle greets Tomoya Fujii as he departs to be replaced by Yoichi Naganuma.
- 89' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- It finishes all square. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus share the spoils 1-0.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 19
- 6
- 1
- 2
-
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↓ Ezequiel 68'
- 10
- 24
- 4
- 29
-
15
Tomoya Fujii ↓ Yoichi Naganuma 84'
Bench
-
14
Ezequiel ↑ 68'
- 37
- 38
- 17
-
25
Yusuke Chajima ↑ 68'
- 33
-
41
Yoichi Naganuma ↑ 84'
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 23
- 15
- 5
-
8
Yoichiro Kakitani ↓ Naoki Maeda 52'
- 14
-
10
Gabriel Xavier ↓ Manabu Saito 53'
- 26
- 4
- 40
-
17
Ryoya Morishita ↓ Mateus 46'
Bench
-
19
Manabu Saito ↑ 53'
-
9
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 53'
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 52'
- 21
- 13
-
6
Kazuya Miyahara ↑ 77'
-
16
Mateus ↑ 46'
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kasper Junker | 4 |
| Mateus | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2021-10-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Nagoya Grampus
W
2021-09-26
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2021-09-22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2021-09-18
Kashiwa Reysol
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2021-09-11
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–3
Yokohama F·Marinos
L
2021-09-05
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Vissel Kobe
D
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.91
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
73%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
51%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 21% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

