Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1 – 0

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sun 3 Oct 2021 · 06:00 UTC EDION Stadium Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Rhayner 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2021-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-14 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2020-12-19 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2020-11-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Nagoya Grampus 2019-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Oct	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–0	W
26 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	2–0	W
22 Sep	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	0–1	L
18 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	3–0	W
11 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	1–3	L
05 Sep	Vissel Kobe	H	1–1	D

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–1	L
26 Sep	Oita FC Trinita	H	1–0	W
22 Sep	FC Tōkyō	A	1–1	D
18 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	2–1	W
10 Sep	Tokushima Vortis	H	3–0	W
29 Aug	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Nagoya Grampus
#4	Position	#3
30	Points	31
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
41	Scored	46
33	Conceded	44
+8	GD	+2
1.67	PPG	1.72
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Nagoya Grampus gets underway.
5' A quiet spell here at EDION Stadium Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
25' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
35' Yuya Asano has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 35 minutes.
40' Kazuki Nagasawa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
45' Sho Inagaki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
46' Mateus is replacing Ryoya Morishita for the Nagoya Grampus side.
51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Massimo Ficcadenti will be considering his options from the bench.
52' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Yoichiro Kakitani is replaced by Naoki Maeda.
53' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 53 minute. Jakub Swierczok leaves to be changed by Ryogo Yamasaki.
58' Takuto Hayashi, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
63' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
68' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Ezequiel comes on to replace Kosei Shibasaki.
73' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
77' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Shumpei Naruse is replaced by Kazuya Miyahara on 77 minute.
82' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
83' Sanfrecce Hiroshima receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 83.
84' The whistle greets Tomoya Fujii as he departs to be replaced by Yoichi Naganuma.
89' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

27
Rhayner
19
Sho Sasaki
6
Toshihiro Aoyama
1
Takuto Hayashi
2
Yuki Nogami
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↓ Ezequiel 68'
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Yusuke Chajima 68'
24
Shunki Higashi
4
Hayato Araki
29
Yuya Asano
15
Tomoya Fujii ↓ Yoichi Naganuma 84'

Bench

Coach Hiroshi Jofuku

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

19
Manabu Saito ↑ 53'
9
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 53'
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 52'
21
Yohei Takeda
13
Haruya Fujii
6
Kazuya Miyahara ↑ 77'
16
Mateus ↑ 46'

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mateus	4
Kasper Junker	4
Naoki Maeda	3
Shuto Nakano	2
Gakuto Notsuda	2
Hayao Kawabe	1
Mutsuki Kato	1
Akito Suzuki	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2021-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus W 2021-09-26 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2021-09-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2021-09-18 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2021-09-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2021-09-05 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Vissel Kobe D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2021-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2021-09-26 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Oita FC Trinita W 2021-09-22 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2021-09-18 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2021-09-10 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Tokushima Vortis W 2021-08-29 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.91 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.39 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima49% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus27%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.3

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

73%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

51%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima36% Draw42% Nagoya Grampus22%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.7%

2 – 1

2 – 0

6.7%

1 – 2

6.6%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 0

5.2%

0 – 1

4.4%

3 – 0

4.2%

3 – 2

0 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	21%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	15%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

26% ✗

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.