Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2022

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1 – 0

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 28 May 2022 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Tomoya Fujii 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League .

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Yuichi Nishimura

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2022-05-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2021-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-14 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2020-12-19 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2020-11-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–0	W
21 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	3–1	W
13 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–0	D
07 May	Kashima Antlers	H	3–0	W
03 May	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–2	L
29 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	2–2	D

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–1	L
25 May	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–0	W
21 May	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	2–1	W
14 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	1–0	W
07 May	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	1–2	L
03 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Nagoya Grampus
#4	Position	#3
30	Points	31
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
41	Scored	46
33	Conceded	44
+8	GD	+2
1.67	PPG	1.72
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus.
5' Yuichi Maruyama, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
9' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Mitch Langerak trudges off to be replaced by Yohei Takeda on 9 minutes.
14' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
19' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
24' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
39' Japan international Ryoya Morishita has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 50% of all matches.
46' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Yoichiro Kakitani departs to be replaced by Ryotaro Ishida.
51' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
58' Against the run of play, Gakuto Notsuda has scored! This game has turned on its head.
59' What a moment for Gakuto Notsuda! That strike on 59 puts his side firmly in control.
62' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Noriyoshi Sakai comes on to replace Ryoya Morishita.
67' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
68' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Kosei Shibasaki is replaced by Shunki Higashi on 68 minute.
73' Makoto Mitsuta is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
78' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Tsukasa Morishima scoring 1 goals.
80' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Yoshifumi Kashiwa by Toshihiro Aoyama on 80 minute.
81' The whistle greets Leo Silva as he departs to be replaced by Hiroyuki Abe.
86' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
89' Tomoya Fujii was booked on 89.
90' Yoichi Naganuma gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Makoto Mitsuta and will look to change the dynamic.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Sanfrecce Hiroshima take all three points.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

37
Junior Santos ↓ Ryo Nagai 80'
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↓ Yuki Nogami 90'
19
Sho Sasaki
38
Keisuke Osako
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↓ Shunki Higashi 68'
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↓ Toshihiro Aoyama 80'
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa
3
Tsukasa Shiotani
4
Hayato Araki
15
Tomoya Fujii
39
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Yoichi Naganuma 90'

Bench

22
Goro Kawanami
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↑ 80'
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 90'
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 68'
20
Ryo Nagai ↑ 80'
33
Yuta Imazu
41
Yoichi Naganuma ↑ 90'

Coach Michael Skibbe

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

1
Mitch Langerak ↓ Yohei Takeda 9'
15
Sho Inagaki
16
Leo Silva ↓ Hiroyuki Abe 81'
8
Yoichiro Kakitani ↓ Ryotaro Ishida 46'
3
Yuichi Maruyama
13
Haruya Fujii
4
Shinnosuke Nakatani
11
Yuki Soma
10
Mateus
14
Keiya Sento ↓ Takuya Uchida 62'
17
Ryoya Morishita ↓ Noriyoshi Sakai 62'

Bench

7
Hiroyuki Abe ↑ 81'
34
Takuya Uchida ↑ 62'
44
Mu Kanazaki
21
Yohei Takeda ↑ 9'
46
Ryotaro Ishida ↑ 46'
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 62'
31
Haruki Yoshida

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kasper Junker	4
Mateus	4
Naoki Maeda	3
Gakuto Notsuda	2
Shuto Nakano	2
Tsukasa Morishima	1
Ezequiel	1
Mitch Langerak	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2022-05-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus W 2022-05-21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2022-05-13 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kashima Antlers W 2022-05-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Kashiwa Reysol L 2022-04-29 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2022-05-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2022-05-25 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka W 2022-05-21 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2022-05-14 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2022-05-07 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2022-05-03 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kyoto Sanga FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.15 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.36 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima54% Draw23% Nagoya Grampus23%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.51

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

77%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

46%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima40% Draw40% Nagoya Grampus20%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.6%

2 – 1

9.1%

2 – 0

6.9%

3 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

6.1%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 2

5.8%

3 – 0

4.9%

3 – 2

4.4%

0 – 0

4.4%

4 – 1

3.5%

0 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	16%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	21%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

26% ✗

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.