Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Nov | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Kashiwa Reysol | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #17 |
| 31 | Points | 20 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 46 | Scored | 24 |
| 44 | Conceded | 25 |
| +2 | GD | -1 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Toyota Stadium as Nagoya Grampus face off against Kashiwa Reysol in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Kashiwa Reysol are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' Kashiwa Reysol fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 35' Kashiwa Reysol started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 45' Kashiwa Reysol come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Tomoya Koyamatsu. He replaces Yuto Yamada on 46 minute.
- 51' Keiya Shiihashi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
- 56' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 61' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 65' Ryoga Kida is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kensuke Nagai at the 65 minute mark.
- 70' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 71' The Brazil Matheus Savio breaks the deadlock on 71 minutes. 0-1!
- 74' Kashiwa Reysol manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ota Yamamoto is hanging Kota Yamada on the field on 74 minute.
- 76' Riku Yamada has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takuji Yonemoto on 76 minute.
- 78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matheus Savio on 78.
- 80' A tactical swap from Kashiwa Reysol — Takumi Tsuchiya on, Keiya Shiihashi off on 80 minutes.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Naoki Maeda. He replaces Ryuji Izumi on 85 minute.
- 90' Diego catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- The points are shared — Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol. Honours even.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Riku Yamada 76'
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Thales Paula 76'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Ryoga Kida 65'
- 1
- 2
- 14
- 3
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Naoki Maeda 85'
- 77
-
20
Tojiro Kubo ↓ Ryoya Morishita 65'
Bench
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 85'
- 4
-
17
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 65'
- 27
- 23
-
35
Riku Yamada ↑ 76'
-
21
Thales Paula ↑ 76'
-
42
Ryoga Kida ↑ 65'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
10
Matheus Savio ↓ Yugo Tatsuta 80'
- 6
-
11
Kota Yamada ↓ Ota Yamamoto 74'
- 13
- 4
- 16
-
36
Yuto Yamada ↓ Tomoya Koyamatsu 46'
- 19
- 41
- 46
- 3
Bench
-
2
Hiromu Mitsumaru ↑ 85'
-
50
Yugo Tatsuta ↑ 80'
- 9
-
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 46'
- 21
-
34
Takumi Tsuchiya ↑ 80'
-
45
Ota Yamamoto ↑ 74'
Coach
Masami Ihara
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kasper Junker | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Matheus Savio | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Mao Hosoya | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Kashiwa Reysol Form
2023-12-03
Nagoya Grampus
1–1
Kashiwa Reysol
D
2023-11-25
Kashiwa Reysol
2–2
Sagan Tosu FC
D
2023-11-11
Kashima Antlers
1–1
Kashiwa Reysol
D
2023-10-29
Kashiwa Reysol
1–1
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2023-10-20
Urawa Red Diamonds
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
L
2023-09-30
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1–2
Kashiwa Reysol
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.61
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
75%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
52%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashiwa Reysol
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Kashiwa Reysol covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

