Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Nov | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Kashiwa Reysol | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #17 |
| 31 | Points | 20 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 46 | Scored | 24 |
| 44 | Conceded | 25 |
| +2 | GD | -1 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
2/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
6/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Kashiwa Reysol
| Yusuke Segawa | 6 G | 2 A |
| Yoshio Koizumi | 3 G | 2 A |
| Tojiro Kubo | 2 G | 1 A |
| Keita Endo | 2 G | |
| Yuki Kakita | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Toyota Stadium that hosts another battle between Nagoya Grampus and Kashiwa Reysol.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Tomoya Inukai has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Kashiwa Reysol seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 35' Nagoya Grampus have won 402 goals from 443 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mao Hosoya made 415 appearances and scored 46 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 46' A tactical swap from Kashiwa Reysol — Tomoya Koyamatsu on, Yuto Yamada off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Taiyo Koga is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kashiwa Reysol tonight.
- 56' Kashiwa Reysol fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ota Yamamoto suffering a number of foals already.
- 65' The whistle greets Kensuke Nagai as he departs to be replaced by Ryoga Kida.
- 70' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yugo Tatsuta is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kashiwa Reysol.
- 71' Magnificent from Matheus Savio! That is 34 goals in 390 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 74' Kota Yamada makes way for Ota Yamamoto at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kashiwa Reysol.
- 76' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Riku Yamada is hanging Takuji Yonemoto on the field on 76 minute.
- 78' That is a card for Kashiwa Reysol. Matheus Savio will be fuming at that decision.
- 80' Kashiwa Reysol manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takumi Tsuchiya is hanging Keiya Shiihashi on the field on 80 minute.
- 85' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Naoki Maeda is hanging Ryuji Izumi on the field on 85 minute.
- 90' Diego catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Riku Yamada 76'
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Thales Paula 76'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Ryoga Kida 65'
- 1
- 2
- 14
- 3
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Naoki Maeda 85'
- 77
-
20
Tojiro Kubo ↓ Ryoya Morishita 65'
Bench
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 85'
- 4
-
17
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 65'
- 27
- 23
-
35
Riku Yamada ↑ 76'
-
21
Thales Paula ↑ 76'
-
42
Ryoga Kida ↑ 65'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
10
Matheus Savio ↓ Yugo Tatsuta 80'
- 6
-
11
Kota Yamada ↓ Ota Yamamoto 74'
- 13
- 4
- 16
-
36
Yuto Yamada ↓ Tomoya Koyamatsu 46'
- 19
- 41
- 46
- 3
Bench
-
2
Hiromu Mitsumaru ↑ 85'
-
50
Yugo Tatsuta ↑ 80'
- 9
-
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 46'
- 21
-
34
Takumi Tsuchiya ↑ 80'
-
45
Ota Yamamoto ↑ 74'
Coach
Masami Ihara
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Mao Hosoya | 2 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Kasper Junker | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Matheus Savio | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Kashiwa Reysol Form
2023-12-03
Nagoya Grampus
1–1
Kashiwa Reysol
D
2023-11-25
Kashiwa Reysol
2–2
Sagan Tosu FC
D
2023-11-11
Kashima Antlers
1–1
Kashiwa Reysol
D
2023-10-29
Kashiwa Reysol
1–1
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2023-10-20
Urawa Red Diamonds
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
L
2023-09-30
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1–2
Kashiwa Reysol
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.61
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
75%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
52%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashiwa Reysol
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Kashiwa Reysol covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

