Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Nov | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Kashiwa Reysol | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #17 |
| 31 | Points | 20 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 46 | Scored | 24 |
| 44 | Conceded | 25 |
| +2 | GD | -1 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Kashiwa Reysol does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Kashiwa Reysol started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Masami Ihara will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 35' Eiichi Katayama is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
- 40' Haruya Fujii is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
- 45' Diego, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' A tactical swap from Kashiwa Reysol — Tomoya Koyamatsu on, Yuto Yamada off on 46 minutes.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Takuji Yonemoto, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 65' The whistle greets Kensuke Nagai as he departs to be replaced by Ryoga Kida.
- 70' Japan international Kota Yamada has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 71' Kashiwa Reysol is taking the lead after the goal scored by Matheus Savio on 71.
- 74' Ota Yamamoto is replacing Kota Yamada for the Kashiwa Reysol side.
- 76' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Takuji Yonemoto is replaced by Riku Yamada.
- 78' Controversy at the stadium! Matheus Savio argues furiously but the card stands.
- 80' Another substitution for Kashiwa Reysol to replace Keiya Shiihashi by Takumi Tsuchiya on 80 minute.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Naoki Maeda. He replaces Ryuji Izumi on 85 minute.
- 90' That is a card for Kashiwa Reysol. Diego will be fuming at that decision.
- 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Riku Yamada 76'
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Thales Paula 76'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Ryoga Kida 65'
- 1
- 2
- 14
- 3
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Naoki Maeda 85'
- 77
-
20
Tojiro Kubo ↓ Ryoya Morishita 65'
Bench
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 85'
- 4
-
17
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 65'
- 27
- 23
-
35
Riku Yamada ↑ 76'
-
21
Thales Paula ↑ 76'
-
42
Ryoga Kida ↑ 65'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
10
Matheus Savio ↓ Yugo Tatsuta 80'
- 6
-
11
Kota Yamada ↓ Ota Yamamoto 74'
- 13
- 4
- 16
-
36
Yuto Yamada ↓ Tomoya Koyamatsu 46'
- 19
- 41
- 46
- 3
Bench
-
2
Hiromu Mitsumaru ↑ 85'
-
50
Yugo Tatsuta ↑ 80'
- 9
-
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 46'
- 21
-
34
Takumi Tsuchiya ↑ 80'
-
45
Ota Yamamoto ↑ 74'
Coach
Masami Ihara
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Mao Hosoya | 2 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Kasper Junker | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Matheus Savio | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Kashiwa Reysol Form
2023-12-03
Nagoya Grampus
1–1
Kashiwa Reysol
D
2023-11-25
Kashiwa Reysol
2–2
Sagan Tosu FC
D
2023-11-11
Kashima Antlers
1–1
Kashiwa Reysol
D
2023-10-29
Kashiwa Reysol
1–1
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2023-10-20
Urawa Red Diamonds
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
L
2023-09-30
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1–2
Kashiwa Reysol
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.61
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
75%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
52%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashiwa Reysol
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Kashiwa Reysol covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

