Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Fri 25 Apr 2025 · 10:00 UTC Kashima Soccer Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya GrampusJ. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
20 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC A 2–1 W
12 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
06 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–4 L
02 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–1 L
29 Mar Vissel Kobe H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
20 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W
12 Apr Gamba Osaka A 0–2 L
06 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
02 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos H 2–0 W
29 Mar Yokohama FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Kashima Antlers Nagoya Grampus
#11 Position #3
45 Points 31
18 Played 18
15 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
40 Scored 46
20 Conceded 44
+20 GD +2
2.50 PPG 1.72
83% Win % 56%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
61% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/
76+
6/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Kashima Soccer Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mateus suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Kashima Antlers is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' It looks surprising Kashima Antlers does not make any changes. Naomichi Ueda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kashima Antlers needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 41' Aleksandar Cavric is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
  • 46' Kashima Antlers manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yu Funabashi is hanging Gaku Shibasaki on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' It’s high time Toru Oniki made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 54' What a strike from Kei Chinen! The score is 1-0.
  • 59' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 61' The whistle greets Kensuke Nagai as he departs to be replaced by Teruki Hara.
  • 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 76' Kashima Antlers is showing some good football. However, Kashima Antlers are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 81' Daniel Schmidt needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 82' Kashima Antlers manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Talles is hanging Ryotaro Araki on the field on 82 minute.
  • 87' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 89' Yuya Asano is replacing Ryuji Izumi for the Nagoya Grampus side.
  • 90' Tae-hyeon Kim has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aleksandar Cavric on 90 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Nagoya Grampus.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.19 Kashima Antlers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Kashima Antlers to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kashima Antlers62% Draw22% Nagoya Grampus16%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Kashima Antlers or Draw
84%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
38%
Kashima Antlers or Nagoya Grampus
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kashima Antlers47% Draw40% Nagoya Grampus13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.8%
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers

Handicap Kashima Antlers covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 20% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 23% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
41%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.