Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Kashiwa Reysol

0 – 3

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 06:00 UTC Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium 9,866 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 41' Kasper Junker

0–2 52' Kensuke Nagai

0–3 70' Yugo Tatsuta og

Y 33' Kensuke Nagai

Keiya Shiihashi 39' Y

Naoki Kawaguchi 63' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Futoshi Nakamura
Assistant 1 Kota Watanabe
Assistant 2 Ryosuke Murai

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kashiwa Reysol 22 games · Avg 2.2 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-12 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Nagoya Grampus 2022-07-06 Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-20 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2021-11-03 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol 2021-03-10 Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Kashiwa Reysol

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–3	L
04 Mar	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–1	L
26 Feb	FC Tōkyō	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Gamba Osaka	H	2–2	D
05 Nov	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–2	L
29 Oct	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–2	L

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	A	3–0	W
04 Mar	Sagan Tosu FC	A	0–1	L
25 Feb	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	1–0	W
18 Feb	Yokohama FC	A	1–0	W
05 Nov	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–0	W
29 Oct	FC Tōkyō	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Kashiwa Reysol		Nagoya Grampus
#17	Position	#3
20	Points	31
18	Played	18
7 / 0 / 11	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
24	Scored	46
25	Conceded	44
-1	GD	+2
1.11	PPG	1.72
39%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

32% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

0-15

2/2

16-30

–/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

3/3

61-75

6/1

76+

4/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

Yusuke Segawa	6 G	2 A
Yoshio Koizumi	3 G	2 A
Tojiro Kubo	2 G	1 A
Keita Endo	2 G
Yuki Kakita	1 G

Nagoya Grampus

Naomichi Ueda

1 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Kashiwa Reysol host Nagoya Grampus — let the battle begin!
5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
10' Takuya Shigehiro has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kashiwa Reysol side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
25' Yuki Nogami is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kashiwa Reysol so far.
30' named a 3-1-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
33' That is a Yellow card for Nagoya Grampus. Kensuke Nagai will be fuming at that decision.
38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
39' Keiya Shiihashi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 39.
41' Kasper Junker is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
46' A change in the Kashiwa Reysol ranks — Tomoki Takamine exits the field as Keiya Sento enters on 46.
51' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
52' What a strike from Kensuke Nagai! The score is 0-2.
56' Another change for Kashiwa Reysol made on 56 minute. Hiromu Mitsumaru leaves to be changed by Wataru Iwashita.
57' Wataru Iwashita has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hiromu Mitsumaru on 57 minute.
62' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
63' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Naoki Kawaguchi.
68' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
69' A stunning finish from Yugo Tatsuta — that came from absolutely nowhere!
70' Yugo Tatsuta doubles the advantage! 0-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
71' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takuya Shigehiro is hanging Kensuke Nagai on the field on 71 minute.
72' Takuto Kato is ready to make an impact after coming on for Keiya Shiihashi at the 72 minute mark.
73' It is a substitution in Kashiwa Reysol team. Keiya Shiihashi is replaced by Kota Yamada on 73 minute.
75' Kashiwa Reysol make a change. Matheus Savio trudges off to be replaced by Kota Yamada on 75 minutes.
80' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
81' Noriyoshi Sakai is replacing Kasper Junker for the Nagoya Grampus side.
86' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
88' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Yuichi Maruyama on, Haruya Fujii off on 88 minutes.
89' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 89 minute. Haruya Fujii leaves to be changed by Yuichi Maruyama.
Kashiwa Reysol will have plenty to reflect on. Nagoya Grampus were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

10
Matheus Savio ↓ Kota Yamada 75'
6
Keiya Shiihashi ↓ Takuto Kato 71'
2
Hiromu Mitsumaru ↓ Wataru Iwashita 57'
50
Yugo Tatsuta
4
Taiyo Koga
16
Eiichi Katayama
31
Tatsuya Morita
19
Mao Hosoya
5
Tomoki Takamine ↓ Keiya Sento 46'
24
Naoki Kawaguchi
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Ota Yamamoto 57'

Bench

11
Kota Yamada ↑ 75'
41
Keiya Sento ↑ 46'
21
Masato Sasaki
23
Wataru Iwashita ↑ 57'
30
Takuto Kato ↑ 71'
34
Takumi Tsuchiya
45
Ota Yamamoto ↑ 57'

Coach Nelsinho

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

34
Takuya Uchida ↑ 72'
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 89'
3
Yuichi Maruyama ↑ 89'
16
Yohei Takeda
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 81'
19
Takuya Shigehiro ↑ 72'
92
Naldinho

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mateus	2
Ataru Esaka	2
Mao Hosoya	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Kasper Junker	2
Yuki Soma	2
Matheus Savio	2
Sho Inagaki	2

Head to Head

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2023-03-12 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-03-04 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol L 2023-02-26 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2023-02-18 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Gamba Osaka D 2022-11-05 Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-10-29 Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-03-12 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-02-25 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kyōto Sanga FC W 2023-02-18 Yokohama FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2022-11-05 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2022-10-29 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 FC Tōkyō W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.09 Kashiwa Reysol xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.66 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kashiwa Reysol24% Draw26% Nagoya Grampus50%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.75

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw

50%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

76%

Kashiwa Reysol or Nagoya Grampus

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kashiwa Reysol19% Draw46% Nagoya Grampus35%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

0 – 1

9.8%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 2

8.6%

0 – 0

8.3%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 0

1 – 3

5.1%

2 – 2

5.1%

0 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol

Handicap	Kashiwa Reysol covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	14%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	22%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	15%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.