Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Kashiwa Reysol

0 – 3

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 06:00 UTC Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium 9,866 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 41' Kasper Junker

0–2 52' Kensuke Nagai

0–3 70' Yugo Tatsuta og

Y 33' Kensuke Nagai

Keiya Shiihashi 39' Y

Naoki Kawaguchi 63' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Futoshi Nakamura
Assistant 1 Kota Watanabe
Assistant 2 Ryosuke Murai

8 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kashiwa Reysol 22 games · Avg 2.2 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-12 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Nagoya Grampus 2022-07-06 Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-20 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2021-11-03 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol 2021-03-10 Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Kashiwa Reysol

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–3	L
04 Mar	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–1	L
26 Feb	FC Tōkyō	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Gamba Osaka	H	2–2	D
05 Nov	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–2	L
29 Oct	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–2	L

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	A	3–0	W
04 Mar	Sagan Tosu FC	A	0–1	L
25 Feb	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–0	W
18 Feb	Yokohama FC	A	1–0	W
05 Nov	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–0	W
29 Oct	FC Tōkyō	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Kashiwa Reysol		Nagoya Grampus
#17	Position	#3
20	Points	31
18	Played	18
7 / 0 / 11	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
24	Scored	46
25	Conceded	44
-1	GD	+2
1.11	PPG	1.72
39%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

32% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

3/3

46-60

–/3

61-75

2/2

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus.
5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Nelsinho might look to freshen things up shortly.
10' Kashiwa Reysol are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
15' Kazuki Nagasawa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kashiwa Reysol that had 411 games and scored 345 goals.
30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Nelsinho will be considering his options from the bench.
33' That is a Yellow card for Nagoya Grampus. Kensuke Nagai will be fuming at that decision.
38' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
39' That is a Yellow card for Kashiwa Reysol. Keiya Shiihashi will be fuming at that decision.
41' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kasper Junker makes it 0-1.
46' Time for substitution for Kashiwa Reysol. Tomoki Takamine is replaced by Keiya Sento.
51' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
52' GOAL! Kensuke Nagai fires home to make it 0-2!
56' Fresh legs for Kashiwa Reysol! Wataru Iwashita comes on to replace Hiromu Mitsumaru.
57' The supporters are chanting for Wataru Iwashita. He replaces Hiromu Mitsumaru on 57 minute.
62' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
63' Naoki Kawaguchi is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
68' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
69' What composure from Yugo Tatsuta! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-3.
70' Yugo Tatsuta does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
71' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 71 minute. Kensuke Nagai leaves to be changed by Takuya Shigehiro.
72' Takuto Kato gets the nod from Kashiwa Reysol. He replaces Keiya Shiihashi and will look to change the dynamic.
73' Time for substitution for Kashiwa Reysol. Keiya Shiihashi is replaced by Kota Yamada.
75' Another substitution for Kashiwa Reysol to replace Matheus Savio by Kota Yamada on 75 minute.
80' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
81' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Noriyoshi Sakai on, Kasper Junker off on 81 minutes.
86' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kashiwa Reysol must find a spark to ignite this game.
88' Yuichi Maruyama is replacing Haruya Fujii for the Nagoya Grampus side.
89' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Haruya Fujii is replaced by Yuichi Maruyama.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nagoya Grampus players.

Lineups

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

10
Matheus Savio ↓ Kota Yamada 75'
6
Keiya Shiihashi ↓ Takuto Kato 71'
2
Hiromu Mitsumaru ↓ Wataru Iwashita 57'
50
Yugo Tatsuta
4
Taiyo Koga
16
Eiichi Katayama
31
Tatsuya Morita
19
Mao Hosoya
5
Tomoki Takamine ↓ Keiya Sento 46'
24
Naoki Kawaguchi
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Ota Yamamoto 57'

Bench

11
Kota Yamada ↑ 75'
41
Keiya Sento ↑ 46'
21
Masato Sasaki
23
Wataru Iwashita ↑ 57'
30
Takuto Kato ↑ 71'
34
Takumi Tsuchiya
45
Ota Yamamoto ↑ 57'

Coach Nelsinho

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

34
Takuya Uchida ↑ 72'
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 89'
3
Yuichi Maruyama ↑ 89'
16
Yohei Takeda
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 81'
19
Takuya Shigehiro ↑ 72'
92
Naldinho

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kensuke Nagai	2
Kasper Junker	2
Yuki Soma	2
Matheus Savio	2
Sho Inagaki	2
Ataru Esaka	2
Mateus	2
Ataru Esaka	2

Head to Head

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2023-03-12 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-03-04 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol L 2023-02-26 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2023-02-18 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Gamba Osaka D 2022-11-05 Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-10-29 Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-03-12 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-02-25 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2023-02-18 Yokohama FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2022-11-05 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2022-10-29 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 FC Tōkyō W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.09 Kashiwa Reysol xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.66 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kashiwa Reysol24% Draw26% Nagoya Grampus50%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.75

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw

50%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

76%

Kashiwa Reysol or Nagoya Grampus

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kashiwa Reysol19% Draw46% Nagoya Grampus35%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

0 – 1

9.8%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 2

8.6%

0 – 0

8.3%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 0

1 – 3

5.1%

2 – 2

5.1%

0 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol

Handicap	Kashiwa Reysol covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	14%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	22%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	15%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.