Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Kashiwa Reysol

0 – 3

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 06:00 UTC Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium 9,866 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 41' Kasper Junker

0–2 52' Kensuke Nagai

0–3 70' Yugo Tatsuta og

Y 33' Kensuke Nagai

Keiya Shiihashi 39' Y

Naoki Kawaguchi 63' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Futoshi Nakamura
Assistant 1 Kota Watanabe
Assistant 2 Ryosuke Murai

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kashiwa Reysol 22 games · Avg 2.2 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-12 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Nagoya Grampus 2022-07-06 Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-20 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2021-11-03 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol 2021-03-10 Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Kashiwa Reysol

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–3	L
04 Mar	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–1	L
26 Feb	FC Tokyo	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Gamba Osaka	H	2–2	D
05 Nov	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–2	L
29 Oct	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–2	L

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	A	3–0	W
04 Mar	Sagan Tosu FC	A	0–1	L
25 Feb	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–0	W
18 Feb	Yokohama FC	A	1–0	W
05 Nov	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–0	W
29 Oct	FC Tokyo	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Kashiwa Reysol		Nagoya Grampus
#17	Position	#3
20	Points	31
18	Played	18
7 / 0 / 11	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
24	Scored	46
25	Conceded	44
-1	GD	+2
1.11	PPG	1.72
39%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

32% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Kashiwa Reysol host Nagoya Grampus — let the battle begin!
5' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
10' It’s high time Nelsinho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
15' Kashiwa Reysol is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
20' Kashiwa Reysol are deployed in a 3-1-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's 3-4-2-1 shape.
25' Japan international Hiromu Mitsumaru has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
30' Kashiwa Reysol have won 345 goals from 411 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Kensuke Nagai.
38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
39' Keiya Shiihashi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 39.
41' Against the run of play, Kasper Junker has scored! This game has turned on its head.
46' Kashiwa Reysol make a change. Tomoki Takamine trudges off to be replaced by Keiya Sento on 46 minutes.
51' Noriyoshi Sakai has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
52' A goal from the Japan international Kensuke Nagai! He fires home on 52 to make it 0-2!
56' Fresh legs for Kashiwa Reysol! Wataru Iwashita comes on to replace Hiromu Mitsumaru.
57' A change in the Kashiwa Reysol ranks — Hiromu Mitsumaru exits the field as Wataru Iwashita enters on 57.
62' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
63' Naoki Kawaguchi picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
68' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
69' GOAL! Yugo Tatsuta fires home to make it 0-3!
70' Yugo Tatsuta makes no mistake. The score reads 0-4 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
71' Takuya Shigehiro has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kensuke Nagai on 71 minute.
72' Kashiwa Reysol make a change. Keiya Shiihashi trudges off to be replaced by Takuto Kato on 72 minutes.
73' Kota Yamada has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keiya Shiihashi on 73 minute.
75' Kota Yamada has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matheus Savio on 75 minute.
80' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
81' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Noriyoshi Sakai is hanging Kasper Junker on the field on 81 minute.
86' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
88' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Yuichi Maruyama on, Haruya Fujii off on 88 minutes.
89' The whistle greets Haruya Fujii as he departs to be replaced by Yuichi Maruyama.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Nagoya Grampus take all three points.

Lineups

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

10
Matheus Savio ↓ Kota Yamada 75'
6
Keiya Shiihashi ↓ Takuto Kato 71'
2
Hiromu Mitsumaru ↓ Wataru Iwashita 57'
50
Yugo Tatsuta
4
Taiyo Koga
16
Eiichi Katayama
31
Tatsuya Morita
19
Mao Hosoya
5
Tomoki Takamine ↓ Keiya Sento 46'
24
Naoki Kawaguchi
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Ota Yamamoto 57'

Bench

11
Kota Yamada ↑ 75'
41
Keiya Sento ↑ 46'
21
Masato Sasaki
23
Wataru Iwashita ↑ 57'
30
Takuto Kato ↑ 71'
34
Takumi Tsuchiya
45
Ota Yamamoto ↑ 57'

Coach Nelsinho

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

34
Takuya Uchida ↑ 72'
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 89'
3
Yuichi Maruyama ↑ 89'
16
Yohei Takeda
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 81'
19
Takuya Shigehiro ↑ 72'
92
Naldinho

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ataru Esaka	2
Mateus	2
Ataru Esaka	2
Mao Hosoya	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Kasper Junker	2
Yuki Soma	2
Matheus Savio	2

Head to Head

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2023-03-12 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-03-04 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol L 2023-02-26 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 FC Tokyo D 2023-02-18 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Gamba Osaka D 2022-11-05 Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-10-29 Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-03-12 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-02-25 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2023-02-18 Yokohama FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2022-11-05 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2022-10-29 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 FC Tokyo W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.09 Kashiwa Reysol xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.66 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kashiwa Reysol24% Draw26% Nagoya Grampus50%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.75

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw

50%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

76%

Kashiwa Reysol or Nagoya Grampus

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kashiwa Reysol19% Draw46% Nagoya Grampus35%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

0 – 1

9.8%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 2

8.6%

0 – 0

8.3%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 0

1 – 3

5.1%

2 – 2

5.1%

0 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol

Handicap	Kashiwa Reysol covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	14%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	22%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	15%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.