Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Wed 18 Mar 2026 · 09:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Fagiano Okayama FCJ. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Yuzo Sutani
11 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–2 L
14 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC A 2–1 W
07 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–0 D
28 Feb V-Varen Nagasaki A 0–1 L
22 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
15 Feb Avispa Fukuoka A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse A 3–2 W
08 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–0 W
01 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 6–5 W
22 Feb Gamba Osaka H 1–2 L
14 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Cerezo Osaka FC Fagiano Okayama FC
#2 Position #6
31 Points 26
18 Played 18
11 / 0 / 7 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
48 Scored 41
38 Conceded 46
+10 GD -5
1.72 PPG 1.44
61% Win % 44%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
28% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.46 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cerezo Osaka FC46% Draw23% Fagiano Okayama FC31%
Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
54%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Fagiano Okayama FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cerezo Osaka FC39% Draw36% Fagiano Okayama FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 3
3.5%
4 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 15% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 18% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 14% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.