Thursday , 2 July 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 08:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara
7 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 7.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
21 Feb Nagoya Grampus A 3–1 W
13 Feb Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
06 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–3 L
01 Dec Shimizu S-Pulse H 4–4 D
24 Nov Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb V-Varen Nagasaki A 0–1 L
22 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
15 Feb Avispa Fukuoka A 2–0 W
07 Feb Gamba Osaka H 4–5 L
06 Dec Yokohama FC H 1–3 L
30 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–3 L

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki Cerezo Osaka FC
#9 Position #2
21 Points 31
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 0 / 7
25 Scored 48
33 Conceded 38
-8 GD +10
1.17 PPG 1.72
39% Win % 61%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • With this win, V-Varen Nagasaki is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.39 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: V-Varen Nagasaki or Cerezo Osaka FC 76% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
V-Varen Nagasaki33% Draw24% Cerezo Osaka FC43%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
58%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
67%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Cerezo Osaka FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
V-Varen Nagasaki22% Draw41% Cerezo Osaka FC37%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 14% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 21% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 15% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
15%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.