V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League .
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroki Kasahara
7 games this season
🟨 1.7/game
⚽ 7.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Feb | Nagoya Grampus | A | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Feb | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 4–4 | D |
| 24 Nov | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Feb | Gamba Osaka | H | 4–5 | L |
| 06 Dec | Yokohama FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 48 |
| 33 | Conceded | 38 |
| -8 | GD | +10 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- With this win, V-Varen Nagasaki is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yusuke Maruhashi | 2 |
| Yusuke Maruhashi | 2 |
| Keita Nakamura | 1 |
| Yoichiro Kakitani | 1 |
| Kota Mizunuma | 1 |
| Matej Jonjic | 1 |
| Matej Jonjic | 1 |
| Matheus Jesus | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.39
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
V-Varen Nagasaki or Cerezo Osaka FC 76% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
58%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
67%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Cerezo Osaka FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 21% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 15% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

