Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toronto FC vs Montreal Impact FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Montreal Impact FC H 1–1 D
24 Aug Atlanta United FC A 0–0 D
16 Aug Columbus Crew SC H 1–1 D
09 Aug Philadelphia Union A 1–1 D
26 Jul Charlotte FC A 0–2 L
20 Jul Nashville SC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Toronto FC A 1–1 D
23 Aug Austin FC H 3–2 W
16 Aug D.C. United SC H 1–1 D
09 Aug Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
25 Jul New England Revolution A 3–1 W
19 Jul Chicago Fire FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC Montreal Impact FC
#13 Position #15
29 Points 24
27 Played 27
6 / 11 / 10 W / D / L 6 / 6 / 15
39 Scored 34
51 Conceded 54
-12 GD -20
1.07 PPG 0.89
22% Win % 22%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). Montreal Impact FC are 15th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Montreal Impact FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
4/5
61-75
2/7
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
Montreal Impact FC
Prince-Osei Owusu 15 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.95 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Montreal Impact FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC49% Draw24% Montreal Impact FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Montreal Impact FC
51%
Toronto FC or Montreal Impact FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC37% Draw41% Montreal Impact FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
5.1%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Montreal Impact FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 21% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.