Saturday , 5 September 2026

Toronto FC vs Montreal Impact FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Montreal Impact FC H 1–1 D
24 Aug Atlanta United FC A 0–0 D
16 Aug Columbus Crew SC H 1–1 D
09 Aug Philadelphia Union A 1–1 D
26 Jul Charlotte FC A 0–2 L
20 Jul Nashville SC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Toronto FC A 1–1 D
23 Aug Austin FC H 3–2 W
16 Aug D.C. United SC H 1–1 D
09 Aug Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
25 Jul New England Revolution A 3–1 W
19 Jul Chicago Fire FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC Montreal Impact FC
#9 Position #14
25 Points 21
22 Played 22
5 / 10 / 7 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 11
32 Scored 30
38 Conceded 46
-6 GD -16
1.14 PPG 0.95
23% Win % 23%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season

Toronto FC are 9th (25 pts). Montreal Impact FC are 14th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
6/4
76+
6/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Montreal Impact FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 6 G 4 A
Montreal Impact FC
Prince-Osei Owusu 13 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Montreal Impact FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC50% Draw24% Montreal Impact FC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Montreal Impact FC
50%
Toronto FC or Montreal Impact FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC38% Draw41% Montreal Impact FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Montreal Impact FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 21% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.