Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toronto FC vs Montreal Impact FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Montreal Impact FC H 1–1 D
24 Aug Atlanta United FC A 0–0 D
16 Aug Columbus Crew SC H 1–1 D
09 Aug Philadelphia Union A 1–1 D
26 Jul Charlotte FC A 0–2 L
20 Jul Nashville SC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Toronto FC A 1–1 D
23 Aug Austin FC H 3–2 W
16 Aug D.C. United SC H 1–1 D
09 Aug Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
25 Jul New England Revolution A 3–1 W
19 Jul Chicago Fire FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC Montreal Impact FC
#12 Position #14
17 Points 16
18 Played 18
3 / 8 / 7 W / D / L 4 / 4 / 10
24 Scored 24
32 Conceded 35
-8 GD -11
0.94 PPG 0.89
17% Win % 22%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
32% Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Montreal Impact FC are 14th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Montreal Impact FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Montreal Impact FC
Prince-Osei Owusu 9 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.85 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Montreal Impact FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC48% Draw25% Montreal Impact FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Montreal Impact FC
52%
Toronto FC or Montreal Impact FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC35% Draw42% Montreal Impact FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Montreal Impact FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.