Saturday , 26 September 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 10 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson 16,787 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 44' Senny Mayulu
0–2 49' Goncalo Ramos
0–3 59' Goncalo Ramos pen
Tanguy Coulibaly 64' 1–3
1–4 65' Goncalo Ramos

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Ligue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Mathieu Vernice
  • Assistant 1 Florian Goncalves de Araujo (France)
  • Assistant 2 Julien Garrigues (France)
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 15.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–4 L
04 May Stade Brestois 29 A 0–1 L
27 Apr Stade de Reims H 0–0 D
19 Apr Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
13 Apr Angers SCO A 0–2 L
06 Apr Le Havre AC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Montpellier HSC A 4–1 W
07 May Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
03 May RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–2 L
29 Apr Arsenal FC A 1–0 W
25 Apr OGC Nice H 1–3 L
22 Apr FC Nantes A 1–1 D

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
93% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 4 G
Marquinhos 3 G
Vitinha 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Montpellier HSC have kicked off against Paris Saint-Germain FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' It looks surprising Montpellier HSC does not make any changes. Kang-in Lee has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Montpellier HSC that had 424 games and scored 385 goals.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Stade de la Mosson. Montpellier HSC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' The 21-year-old Yael Mouanga has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Enrique might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Montpellier HSC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 39' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lucas Beraldo on 39 minutes.
  • 42' A moment of madness from Jordan Ferri on 42 minutes earns him a card. Montpellier HSC will be frustrated.
  • 44' What a moment for Senny Mayulu! That strike on 44 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 49' What composure from Goncalo Ramos! The Portugal international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 54' Supporters expect more eagerness from Teji Savanier, as he is very good at scoring at Stade de la Mosson with 26 goals in the last 21 games.
  • 59' GOAL! Goncalo Ramos fires home to make it 0-3!
  • 60' A change in the Paris Saint-Germain FC ranks — Desire Doue exits the field as Noham Kamara enters on 60.
  • 64' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tanguy Coulibaly makes no mistake. 1-3!
  • 65' What composure from Goncalo Ramos! The Portugal international strokes it home. 1-4.
  • 69' Enzo Tchato makes way for Wilfried Bille at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Montpellier HSC.
  • 74' It looks like no one’s ball. Paris Saint-Germain FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 79' Montpellier HSC have won 385 goals from 424 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 84' Montpellier HSC ring the changes. Rabby Nzingoula has done his job and it is now time for Stefan Dzodic to step up.
  • 85' Fresh legs for Montpellier HSC! Teji Savanier comes on to replace Joris Chotard.
  • 90' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Paris Saint-Germain FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.05 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Paris Saint-Germain FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC20% Draw23% Paris Saint-Germain FC57%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
43%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
80%
Montpellier HSC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC15% Draw41% Paris Saint-Germain FC44%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.5%
1 – 3
6.7%
0 – 3
6.4%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 1
4.8%
1 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%
1 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 22% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 18% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.