Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stade Brestois 29 vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 4 May 2025 · 15:15 UTC Stade Francis-Le Ble 13,121 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stade Brestois 29 vs Montpellier HSCLigue 1 at Stade Francis-Le Ble.

Match Details

  • Referee Romain Lissorgue
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Francois Boudikian

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
27 Apr Olympique de Marseille A 1–4 L
20 Apr Racing Club de Lens H 1–3 L
13 Apr AS Saint-Étienne A 3–3 D
05 Apr AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
30 Mar Toulouse FC A 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Stade Brestois 29 A 0–1 L
27 Apr Stade de Reims H 0–0 D
19 Apr Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
13 Apr Angers SCO A 0–2 L
06 Apr Le Havre AC H 0–2 L
30 Mar AJ Auxerre A 0–1 L

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Stade Brestois 29 gets underway.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 13' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rabby Nzingoula on 13.
  • 15' Romain Del Castillo puts Stade Brestois 29 on the lead.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' Montpellier HSC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stade Brestois 29 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tanguy Coulibaly suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' Montpellier HSC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Wilfried Bille is hanging Enzo Tchato on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Montpellier HSC is showing some good football. However, Montpellier HSC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' Another change for Montpellier HSC made on 56 minute. Jordan Ferri leaves to be changed by Joris Chotard.
  • 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Montpellier HSC that had 417 games and scored 379 goals.
  • 66' Wahbi Khazri is replacing Tanguy Coulibaly for the Montpellier HSC side.
  • 68' Hugo Magnetti has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kamory Doumbia on 68 minute.
  • 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pierre Lees Melou on 73.
  • 75' Bamo Meite has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yael Mouanga on 75 minute.
  • 80' It looks like no one’s ball. Montpellier HSC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 81' The whistle greets Ludovic Ajorque as he departs to be replaced by Mama Balde.
  • 86' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 87' Another change for Stade Brestois 29 made on 87 minute. Mahdi Camara leaves to be changed by Jonas Martin.
  • 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Khalil Fayad on 88.
  • With this win, Stade Brestois 29 is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.49 Stade Brestois 29 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stade Brestois 2951% Draw26% Montpellier HSC23%
Actual: Stade Brestois 29 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Stade Brestois 29 or Draw
77%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
49%
Stade Brestois 29 or Montpellier HSC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stade Brestois 2932% Draw48% Montpellier HSC20%
Actual: Stade Brestois 29 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Stade Brestois 29

Handicap Stade Brestois 29 covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Stade Brestois 29 keeps clean sheet
36%
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.