Sunday , 16 August 2026

Stade Brestois 29 vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 4 May 2025 · 15:15 UTC Stade Francis-Le Ble 13,121 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stade Brestois 29 vs Montpellier HSCLigue 1 at Stade Francis-Le Ble.

Match Details

  • Referee Romain Lissorgue
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Francois Boudikian

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
27 Apr Olympique de Marseille A 1–4 L
20 Apr Racing Club de Lens H 1–3 L
13 Apr AS Saint-Étienne A 3–3 D
05 Apr AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
30 Mar Toulouse FC A 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Stade Brestois 29 A 0–1 L
27 Apr Stade de Reims H 0–0 D
19 Apr Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
13 Apr Angers SCO A 0–2 L
06 Apr Le Havre AC H 0–2 L
30 Mar AJ Auxerre A 0–1 L

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.49 Stade Brestois 29 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stade Brestois 2951% Draw26% Montpellier HSC23%
Actual: Stade Brestois 29 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Stade Brestois 29 or Draw
77%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
49%
Stade Brestois 29 or Montpellier HSC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stade Brestois 2932% Draw48% Montpellier HSC20%
Actual: Stade Brestois 29 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Stade Brestois 29

Handicap Stade Brestois 29 covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Stade Brestois 29 keeps clean sheet
36%
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.