Thursday , 2 July 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Arsenal FC, Champions League 2024-25 SEMI FINALS

Wed 7 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Parc des Princes 47,511 HT 45' · FT 45'
Fabian Ruiz 27' 1–0
Achraf Hakimi 72' 2–0
2–1 76' Bukayo Saka

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Arsenal FCChampions League at Parc des Princes.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
35 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
03 May RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–2 L
29 Apr Arsenal FC A 1–0 W
25 Apr OGC Nice H 1–3 L
22 Apr FC Nantes A 1–1 D
19 Apr Le Havre AC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–2 L
03 May AFC Bournemouth H 1–2 L
29 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–1 L
23 Apr Crystal Palace FC H 2–2 D
20 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 4–0 W
16 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC Arsenal FC
#11 Position #1
14 Points 24
8 Played 8
4 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 0
21 Scored 23
11 Conceded 4
+10 GD +19
1.75 PPG 3.00
50% Win % 100%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
67% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 11th (14 pts). Arsenal FC are 1st (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
2/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Paris Saint-Germain FC and Arsenal FC get this one started.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Riccardo Calafiori has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 527 appearances.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Paris Saint-Germain FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 18' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nuno Mendes.
  • 23' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Paris Saint-Germain FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 26' Declan Rice catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 26.
  • 27' Brilliant from the ! Fabian Ruiz makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 27.
  • 32' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Arsenal FC winning 0% of all matches.
  • 42' Ben White has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 47' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 52' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 56' The referee shows Arsenal FC player a card on 56.
  • 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jakub Kiwior suffering a number of foals already.
  • 66' Nuno Mendes is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Paris Saint-Germain FC tonight.
  • 68' Another substitution for Arsenal FC to replace Myles Lewis-Skelly by Riccardo Calafiori on 68 minute.
  • 69' The whistle greets Martinelli as he departs to be replaced by Leandro Trossard.
  • 70' Paris Saint-Germain FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ousmane Dembele is hanging Bradley Barcola on the field on 70 minute.
  • 72' Assisted by Ousmane Dembele with the perfectly-timed delivery and Achraf Hakimi makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 74' Lucas Hernandez is replacing Desire Doue for the Paris Saint-Germain FC side.
  • 76' A goal from the England international Bukayo Saka! He fires home on 76 to make it 2-1!
  • 81' Paris Saint-Germain FC is showing some good football. However, Paris Saint-Germain FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 83' A tactical swap from Arsenal FCBen White on, Jurrien Timber off on 83 minutes.
  • 86' Arsenal FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Paris Saint-Germain FC. Nuno Mendes is replaced by Goncalo Ramos.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Paris Saint-Germain FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.11 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Paris Saint-Germain FC or Arsenal FC 77% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Paris Saint-Germain FC33% Draw23% Arsenal FC44%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Arsenal FC
67%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Arsenal FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Paris Saint-Germain FC18% Draw43% Arsenal FC39%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.7%
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 22% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.