Thursday , 2 July 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Fri 23 Aug 2024 · 18:45 UTC Parc des Princes 46,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bradley Barcola 4' 1–0
Marco Asensio 24' 2–0
Bradley Barcola 53' 3–0
Achraf Hakimi 58' 4–0
Warren Zaire-Emery 60' 5–0
Kang-in Lee 82' 6–0

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Montpellier HSCLigue 1 at Parc des Princes.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Luczynski
  • Assistant 2 Yannick Boutry

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Montpellier HSC H 6–0 W
16 Aug Le Havre AC A 4–1 W
19 May FC Metz A 2–0 W
15 May OGC Nice A 2–1 W
12 May Toulouse FC H 1–3 L
07 May Borussia Dortmund H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–6 L
18 Aug RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–1 D
19 May Racing Club de Lens A 2–2 D
12 May AS Monaco FC H 0–2 L
03 May Toulouse FC A 2–1 W
26 Apr FC Nantes H 1–1 D

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
93% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.65 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Paris Saint-Germain FC to win 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC68% Draw18% Montpellier HSC14%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
32%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Montpellier HSC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC52% Draw36% Montpellier HSC12%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–0 not predicted
6 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
4 – 1
5.1%
4 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.6%
0 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 29% 71%
-2 29% 20% 51%
-1.5 49% 51%
-1 49% 20% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.