Olympique de Marseille vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Olympique de Marseille vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Orange Velodrome.
- Olympique de Marseille 5 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Montpellier HSC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jerome Brisard
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2
3 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 8.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Monaco FC | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille OSC | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers SCO | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans FC | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | AJ Auxerre | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | OGC Nice | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club de Lens | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | ES Troyes AC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | Olympique de Marseille | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Montpellier HSC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | AS Monaco FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 06 Apr | Toulouse FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Mar | Stade de Reims | A | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Mar | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Mar | Racing Club de Lens | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Olympique de Marseille | A | 1–5 | L |
| 13 Apr | Angers SCO | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Le Havre AC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Mar | AJ Auxerre | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Lille OSC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | H | 0–4 | L |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
Olympique de Marseille this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Olympique de Marseille
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Olympique de Marseille
| Amine Gouiri | 4 G | 1 A |
| Pierre Emile Hojbjerg | 1 G | |
| Keyliane Abdallah | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Olympique de Marseille is hosting Montpellier HSC for another epic battle.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 9' Mason Greenwood is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
- 14' Geronimo Rulli, a Argentina goalkeeper, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' That is a card for Olympique de Marseille. Valentin Rongier will be fuming at that decision.
- 20' The travelling Montpellier HSC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Olympique de Marseille that had 471 games and scored 523 goals.
- 30' Becir Omeragic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 35' Montpellier HSC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' Yael Mouanga is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Montpellier HSC tonight.
- 46' A moment of madness from Rabby Nzingoula on 46 minutes earns him a card. Montpellier HSC will be frustrated.
- 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 56' Montpellier HSC come into this ranked 18 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 60' Wilfried Bille adds to his 0 season tally! Montpellier HSC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 65' Another change for Olympique de Marseille made on 65 minute. Valentin Rongier leaves to be changed by Ismael Bennacer.
- 67' Mason Greenwood puts Olympique de Marseille on the lead.
- 72' Theo Sainte-Luce makes way for Issiaga Sylla at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Montpellier HSC.
- 74' Jonathan Rowe has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 74 minutes.
- 77' The referee has no hesitation. Adrien Rabiot is booked for Olympique de Marseille — card on 77.
- 77' Quentin Merlin makes way for Amine Harit at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Olympique de Marseille.
- 82' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Valentin Rongier made 433 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 83' What a strike from Lucas Mincarelli! The score is 3-2.
- 86' Pol Mikel Lirola is replacing Luis Henrique for the Olympique de Marseille side.
- 90' Adrien Rabiot doubles the advantage! 4-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Yael Mouanga is booked for Montpellier HSC — card on 90.
- 90' Montpellier HSC ring the changes. Nicolas Pays has done his job and it is now time for Othmane Maamma to step up.
- Olympique de Marseille celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Olympique de Marseille Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 23
- 25
-
9
Amine Gouiri ↓ Jonathan Rowe 65'
- 21
- 19
- 1
- 6
- 10
- 44
-
3
Quentin Merlin ↓ Amine Harit 77'
- 62
Bench
- 8
- 12
-
11
Amine Harit ↑ 77'
-
29
Pol Mikel Lirola ↑ 86'
-
22
Ismael Bennacer ↑ 65'
- 13
- 26
-
17
Jonathan Rowe ↑ 65'
- 14
Coach
Roberto De Zerbi
Montpellier HSC Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 40
- 12
- 27
- 17
- 70
- 47
- 21
-
41
Junior Ndiaye ↓ Joris Chotard 72'
-
19
Rabby Nzingoula ↓ Khalil Fayad 72'
-
18
Nicolas Pays ↓ Othmane Maamma 90'
- 49
Bench
-
3
Issiaga Sylla ↑ 72'
- 16
- 10
- 11
- 77
- 4
-
13
Joris Chotard ↑ 72'
-
22
Khalil Fayad ↑ 72'
-
14
Othmane Maamma ↑ 90'
Coach
Zoumana Camara
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gaetan Laborde | 5 |
| Dimitri Payet | 3 |
| Mason Greenwood | 3 |
| Arnaud Nordin | 2 |
| Cengiz Under | 2 |
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | 2 |
| Valere Germain | 2 |
| Nuno Tavares | 2 |
Head to Head
Olympique de Marseille Form
2025-04-19
Olympique de Marseille
5–1
Montpellier HSC
W
2025-04-12
AS Monaco FC
3–0
Olympique de Marseille
L
2025-04-06
Olympique de Marseille
3–2
Toulouse FC
W
2025-03-29
Stade de Reims
3–1
Olympique de Marseille
L
2025-03-16
Paris Saint-Germain FC
3–1
Olympique de Marseille
L
2025-03-08
Olympique de Marseille
0–1
Racing Club de Lens
L
Montpellier HSC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.23
Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for:
Olympique de Marseille to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Olympique de Marseille win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Olympique de Marseille or Draw
85%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
36%
Olympique de Marseille or Montpellier HSC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
10.2%
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
4%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille
| Handicap | Olympique de Marseille covers | Push | Montpellier HSC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 20% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 22% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.