Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 19:05 UTC Orange Velodrome 66,312 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mason Greenwood pen 9' 1–0
Wilfried Bille og 60' 2–0
Mason Greenwood 67' 3–0
Jonathan Rowe 74' 4–0
4–1 83' Lucas Mincarelli
Adrien Rabiot 90' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Montpellier HSCLigue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Jerome Brisard
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Montpellier HSC H 5–1 W
12 Apr AS Monaco FC A 0–3 L
06 Apr Toulouse FC H 3–2 W
29 Mar Stade de Reims A 1–3 L
16 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
08 Mar Racing Club de Lens H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
13 Apr Angers SCO A 0–2 L
06 Apr Le Havre AC H 0–2 L
30 Mar AJ Auxerre A 0–1 L
08 Mar Lille OSC A 0–1 L
02 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–4 L

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Olympique de Marseille and Montpellier HSC has kicked off!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 9' GOAL! Mason Greenwood scores on 9.
  • 14' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 14 minutes.
  • 15' That looks like a foul for a card for Valentin Rongier.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Wilfried Bille, as he is very good at scoring at Orange Velodrome with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 25' It’s high time Zoumana Camara made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' Montpellier HSC is showing some good football. However, Montpellier HSC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Olympique de Marseille needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' Olympique de Marseille started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 45' Othmane Maamma has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 46' The referee calls foul for Rabby Nzingoula. He receives a card.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 60' What an equalizer from Wilfried Bille!
  • 65' The whistle greets Valentin Rongier as he departs to be replaced by Ismael Bennacer.
  • 67' GOAL! Mason Greenwood scores on 67. Assisted by Michael Murillo
  • 72' Issiaga Sylla is replacing Theo Sainte-Luce for the Montpellier HSC side.
  • 74' What a strike from Jonathan Rowe! The score is 3-1.
  • 77' It’s gonna be a card for Adrien Rabiot.
  • 77' Amine Harit has so much to prove this time. He replaces Quentin Merlin on 77 minute.
  • 82' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yael Mouanga made 391 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 83' GOAL! Lucas Mincarelli scores on 83.
  • 86' Pol Mikel Lirola has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luis Henrique on 86 minute.
  • 90' What a strike from Adrien Rabiot! The score is 4-2.
  • 90' Yael Mouanga was booked on 90.
  • 90' Another substitution for Montpellier HSC to replace Nicolas Pays by Othmane Maamma on 90 minute.
  • With this win, Olympique de Marseille is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.23 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille64% Draw21% Montpellier HSC15%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
85%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
36%
Olympique de Marseille or Montpellier HSC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille47% Draw40% Montpellier HSC13%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
10.2%
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
4%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 20% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 22% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
39%
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.