Thursday , 2 July 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 10 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson 16,787 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 44' Senny Mayulu
0–2 49' Goncalo Ramos
0–3 59' Goncalo Ramos pen
Tanguy Coulibaly 64' 1–3
1–4 65' Goncalo Ramos

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FCLigue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Mathieu Vernice
  • Assistant 1 Florian Goncalves de Araujo (France)
  • Assistant 2 Julien Garrigues (France)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–4 L
04 May Stade Brestois 29 A 0–1 L
27 Apr Stade de Reims H 0–0 D
19 Apr Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
13 Apr Angers SCO A 0–2 L
06 Apr Le Havre AC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Montpellier HSC A 4–1 W
07 May Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
03 May RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–2 L
29 Apr Arsenal FC A 1–0 W
25 Apr OGC Nice H 1–3 L
22 Apr FC Nantes A 1–1 D

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
93% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.05 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Paris Saint-Germain FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC20% Draw23% Paris Saint-Germain FC57%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
43%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
80%
Montpellier HSC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC15% Draw41% Paris Saint-Germain FC44%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.5%
1 – 3
6.7%
0 – 3
6.4%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 1
4.8%
1 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%
1 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 40% 60%
+1 40% 22% 38%
+1.5 62% 38%
+2 62% 18% 19%
+2.5 81% 19%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
13%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.