Thursday , 2 July 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2023-24
Sun 17 Mar 2024 · 19:45 UTC Stade de la Mosson HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 14' Vitinha
0–2 22' Kylian Mbappe
Arnaud Nordin 30' 1–2
Teji Savanier pen 45+2' 2–2
2–3 50' Kylian Mbappe
2–4 53' Kang-in Lee
2–5 63' Kylian Mbappe
2–6 89' Nuno Mendes

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FCLigue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Florent Batta
  • Assistant 1 Christophe Mouysset
  • Assistant 2 Cedric Favre

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–6 L
08 Mar OGC Nice A 2–1 W
03 Mar RC Strasbourg Alsace H 2–2 D
25 Feb Olympique de Marseille A 1–4 L
18 Feb FC Metz H 3–0 W
11 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Montpellier HSC A 6–2 W
10 Mar Stade de Reims H 2–2 D
05 Mar Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 2–1 W
01 Mar AS Monaco FC A 0–0 D
25 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 1–1 D
17 Feb FC Nantes A 2–0 W

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
93% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC22% Draw22% Paris Saint-Germain FC56%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
44%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
78%
Montpellier HSC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC18% Draw38% Paris Saint-Germain FC44%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–6 not predicted
2 – 6
Actual
1 – 2
9%
1 – 1
8.8%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 3
6.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 4
4.1%
0 – 0
3.9%
0 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 21% 38%
+1.5 62% 38%
+2 62% 17% 20%
+2.5 80% 20%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
11%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.