Millwall FC vs Cardiff City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Cardiff City FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Cardiff City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Will Finnie
- Assistant 1 Jonathan Hunt
- Assistant 2 Rob Hyde (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Cardiff City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Apr | Leicester City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Apr | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Mar | Leeds United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Millwall FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Apr | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Sunderland AFC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Mar | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to The Den that hosts another battle between Millwall FC and Cardiff City FC.
- 5' Millwall FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 9' What a moment for Michael Obafemi! That strike on 9 puts his side firmly in control.
- 14' Ollie Tanner is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
- 19' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 24' Goal! Yakou Meite scores his 47 goal in 379 matches.
- 29' Cian Ashford has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 34' Millwall FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Cardiff City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 39' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 44' George Saville has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 383 appearances.
- 46' The whistle greets Romain Esse as he departs to be replaced by Duncan Watmore.
- 49' Jake Cooper makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Millwall FC are in front.
- 54' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 59' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Wintle. He replaces Manolis Siopis on 60 minute.
- 65' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 382 games and scored 401 goals.
- 69' A moment of madness from Ryan Longman on 69 minutes earns him a card. Millwall FC will be frustrated.
- 70' It is a substitution in Cardiff City FC team. Josh Bowler is replaced by Cian Ashford on 70 minute.
- 75' A change in the Cardiff City FC ranks — Rubin Colwill exits the field as Ollie Tanner enters on 75.
- 80' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erol Bulut will be considering his options from the bench.
- 84' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Brooke Norton-Cuffy is hanging Ryan Longman on the field on 84 minute.
- 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for George Saville on 90 minutes.
- 90' Millwall FC make a change. Zian Flemming trudges off to be replaced by Casper De Norre on 90 minutes.
- Millwall FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 18
- 5
- 23
- 20
-
10
Zian Flemming ↓ Casper De Norre 90'
-
21
Michael Obafemi ↓ Tom Bradshaw 70'
- 2
- 8
- 6
- 11
-
25
Romain Esse ↓ Duncan Watmore 46'
Bench
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 70'
- 4
-
19
Duncan Watmore ↑ 46'
- 15
- 33
-
24
Casper De Norre ↑ 90'
- 7
-
17
Brooke Norton-Cuffy ↑ 84'
- 12
Coach
Neil Harris
Cardiff City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
22
Yakou Meite ↓ Famara Diedhiou 60'
- 1
-
8
Joe Ralls ↓ David Turnbull 70'
- 38
- 17
- 4
-
14
Josh Bowler ↓ Cian Ashford 70'
- 12
-
23
Manolis Siopis ↓ Ryan Wintle 60'
-
27
Rubin Colwill ↓ Ollie Tanner 75'
- 16
Bench
-
20
Famara Diedhiou ↑ 60'
- 19
-
6
Ryan Wintle ↑ 60'
-
15
David Turnbull ↑ 70'
- 34
-
32
Ollie Tanner ↑ 75'
-
45
Cian Ashford ↑ 70'
- 41
- 36
Coach
Erol Bulut
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Aden Flint | 5 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 3 |
| Benik Afobe | 2 |
| Kieffer Moore | 2 |
| Perry Ng | 1 |
| Sean Morrison | 1 |
| Casper De Norre | 1 |
| Murray Wallace | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Cardiff City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.51
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
48%
Millwall FC or Cardiff City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Cardiff City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 24% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

