Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Cardiff City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 13 Apr 2024 · 14:00 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'
Michael Obafemi 9' 1–0
1–1 24' Yakou Meite
Jake Cooper 45+4' 2–1
Duncan Watmore 90+4' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Cardiff City FCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Will Finnie
  • Assistant 1 Jonathan Hunt
  • Assistant 2 Rob Hyde (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Cardiff City FC H 3–1 W
09 Apr Leicester City FC H 1–0 W
06 Apr Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
01 Apr Rotherham United FC A 1–2 L
29 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
17 Mar Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Millwall FC A 1–3 L
10 Apr Birmingham City FC A 1–0 W
06 Apr Hull City AFC H 1–3 L
01 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
29 Mar Sunderland AFC H 0–2 L
16 Mar Swansea City AFC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to The Den that hosts another battle between Millwall FC and Cardiff City FC.
  • 5' Millwall FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 9' What a moment for Michael Obafemi! That strike on 9 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 14' Ollie Tanner is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
  • 19' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 24' Goal! Yakou Meite scores his 47 goal in 379 matches.
  • 29' Cian Ashford has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 34' Millwall FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Cardiff City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 39' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 44' George Saville has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 383 appearances.
  • 46' The whistle greets Romain Esse as he departs to be replaced by Duncan Watmore.
  • 49' Jake Cooper makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Millwall FC are in front.
  • 54' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 59' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Wintle. He replaces Manolis Siopis on 60 minute.
  • 65' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 382 games and scored 401 goals.
  • 69' A moment of madness from Ryan Longman on 69 minutes earns him a card. Millwall FC will be frustrated.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Cardiff City FC team. Josh Bowler is replaced by Cian Ashford on 70 minute.
  • 75' A change in the Cardiff City FC ranks — Rubin Colwill exits the field as Ollie Tanner enters on 75.
  • 80' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erol Bulut will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 84' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Brooke Norton-Cuffy is hanging Ryan Longman on the field on 84 minute.
  • 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for George Saville on 90 minutes.
  • 90' Millwall FC make a change. Zian Flemming trudges off to be replaced by Casper De Norre on 90 minutes.
  • Millwall FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.51 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC52% Draw27% Cardiff City FC21%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
48%
Millwall FC or Cardiff City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC34% Draw49% Cardiff City FC17%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.