Millwall FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Watford FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Watford FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | Bristol City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | Blackpool FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Millwall FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Oct | Norwich City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Blackpool FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | Stoke City FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #20 |
| 18 | Points | 15 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 8 |
| 23 | Scored | 13 |
| 27 | Conceded | 23 |
| -4 | GD | -10 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 33% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Millwall FC and Watford FC is underway.
- 5' Millwall FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 8' A stunning finish from Tom Bradshaw — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 13' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 18' The Watford FC bench stirs into life. Imran Louza is withdrawn and Edo Kayembe gets his opportunity.
- 22' Keinan Davis has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 22.
- 26' Tom Bradshaw makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Millwall FC are in front.
- 27' Tom Bradshaw doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 33' Tom Bradshaw adds to his 1 season tally! Millwall FC lead 4-0 — and this changes everything.
- 38' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 43' The energy levels are beginning to show. Slaven Bilic might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 46' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Ken Sema exits the field as Samuel Kalu enters on 46.
- 47' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Ken Sema is replaced by Samuel Kalu.
- 48' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Hamza Choudhury departs to be replaced by Joao Pedro.
- 53' Over 53 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 56' The referee has no hesitation. Hassane Kamara is booked for Watford FC — Yellow card on 56.
- 60' The whistle greets Mason Bennett as he departs to be replaced by Callum Styles.
- 65' William Troost-Ekong has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 70' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Watford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 74' Watford FC ring the changes. Keinan Davis has done his job and it is now time for Vakoun Issouf Bayo to step up.
- 78' Time for substitution for Millwall FC. Zian Flemming is replaced by George Honeyman.
- 79' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Zian Flemming exits the field as George Honeyman enters on 79.
- 84' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 89' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Tyler Burey comes on to replace Scott Malone.
- The points are shared — Millwall FC 3-0 Watford FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↓ Benik Afobe 79'
- 4
- 5
-
20
Mason Bennett ↓ Callum Styles 60'
-
11
Scott Malone ↓ Tyler Burey 89'
- 23
- 1
-
10
Zian Flemming ↓ George Honeyman 78'
- 21
- 2
- 8
Bench
-
14
Tyler Burey ↑ 89'
-
7
Benik Afobe ↑ 79'
-
39
George Honeyman ↑ 78'
- 6
- 33
-
16
Jamie Shackleton ↑ 79'
-
17
Callum Styles ↑ 60'
Coach
Gary Rowett
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
4
Hamza Choudhury ↓ Joao Pedro 46'
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Samuel Kalu 46'
- 16
- 7
- 23
- 14
- 5
- 1
- 32
-
6
Imran Louza ↓ Edo Kayembe 18'
- 18
Bench
-
28
Samuel Kalu ↑ 46'
- 3
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↑ 18'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 74'
-
10
Joao Pedro ↑ 46'
- 35
- 42
Coach
Slaven Bilic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Zian Flemming | 3 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 1 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Matthew Pollock | 1 |
| Andreas Voglsammer | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.87
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC to win 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Watford FC
40%
Millwall FC or Watford FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
11.7%
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.7%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 24% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.