Millwall FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Watford FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Watford FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | Bristol City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | Blackpool FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Millwall FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Oct | Norwich City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Blackpool FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | Stoke City FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #16 |
| 83 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 24 / 11 / 11 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 64 | Scored | 53 |
| 49 | Conceded | 65 |
| +15 | GD | -12 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 52% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to The Den that hosts another battle between Millwall FC and Watford FC.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
- 8' What composure from Tom Bradshaw! The Wales international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 13' George Long has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 18' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Imran Louza is replaced by Edo Kayembe.
- 22' Keinan Davis picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 26' Tom Bradshaw does the damage! The net is bulging and Millwall FC surge ahead!
- 27' Tom Bradshaw does the damage! The net is bulging and Millwall FC surge ahead!
- 32' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 33' Tom Bradshaw doubles the advantage! 4-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 38' The 36-year-old Dan Gosling has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Ken Sema by Samuel Kalu on 46 minute.
- 47' The Watford FC bench stirs into life. Ken Sema is withdrawn and Samuel Kalu gets his opportunity.
- 48' Watford FC ring the changes. Hamza Choudhury has done his job and it is now time for Joao Pedro to step up.
- 53' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Slaven Bilic will be considering his options from the bench.
- 56' Watford FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 60' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Mason Bennett is withdrawn and Callum Styles gets his opportunity.
- 65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shaun Hutchinson suffering a number of foals already.
- 70' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 74' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Vakoun Issouf Bayo comes on to replace Keinan Davis.
- 78' Another change for Millwall FC made on 78 minute. Zian Flemming leaves to be changed by George Honeyman.
- 79' George Honeyman is ready to make an impact after coming on for Zian Flemming at the 79 minute mark.
- 84' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Watford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 89' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Scott Malone departs to be replaced by Tyler Burey.
- With this win, Millwall FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↓ Benik Afobe 79'
- 4
- 5
-
20
Mason Bennett ↓ Callum Styles 60'
-
11
Scott Malone ↓ Tyler Burey 89'
- 23
- 1
-
10
Zian Flemming ↓ George Honeyman 78'
- 21
- 2
- 8
Bench
-
14
Tyler Burey ↑ 89'
-
7
Benik Afobe ↑ 79'
-
39
George Honeyman ↑ 78'
- 6
- 33
-
16
Jamie Shackleton ↑ 79'
-
17
Callum Styles ↑ 60'
Coach
Gary Rowett
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
4
Hamza Choudhury ↓ Joao Pedro 46'
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Samuel Kalu 46'
- 16
- 7
- 23
- 14
- 5
- 1
- 32
-
6
Imran Louza ↓ Edo Kayembe 18'
- 18
Bench
-
28
Samuel Kalu ↑ 46'
- 3
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↑ 18'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 74'
-
10
Joao Pedro ↑ 46'
- 35
- 42
Coach
Slaven Bilic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Zian Flemming | 3 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | 1 |
| Casper De Norre | 1 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.83
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC to win 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Watford FC
40%
Millwall FC or Watford FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13%
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 19% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 25% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.