Thursday , 2 July 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 4 May 2024 · 11:30 UTC Swansea.com Stadium 17,661 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 72' Casper De Norre

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Millwall FCChampionship at Swansea.com Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Geoff Eltringham
  • Assistant 1 Matt McGrath
  • Assistant 2 Mark Russell

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Millwall FC H 0–1 L
27 Apr Norwich City FC A 2–2 D
20 Apr Huddersfield Town AFC A 4–0 W
13 Apr Rotherham United FC H 1–0 W
10 Apr Stoke City FC H 3–0 W
06 Apr Middlesbrough FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Swansea City AFC A 1–0 W
27 Apr Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–0 W
20 Apr Sunderland AFC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Cardiff City FC H 3–1 W
09 Apr Leicester City FC H 1–0 W
06 Apr Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Millwall FC
#11 Position #3
64 Points 83
46 Played 46
18 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 24 / 11 / 11
57 Scored 64
59 Conceded 49
-2 GD +15
1.39 PPG 1.80
39% Win % 52%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Swansea City AFC or Millwall FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Swansea City AFC34% Draw32% Millwall FC34%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
66%
Draw or Millwall FC
66%
Swansea City AFC or Millwall FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC24% Draw53% Millwall FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
14.4%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 0
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 20% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
35%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.