Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Melbourne Victory FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Brisbane Roar FC
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Shaun Evans
  • Referee

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Newcastle United Jets FC 26 48
2 Adelaide United FC 26 43
3 Auckland FC 26 42
4 Melbourne Victory FC 26 40
5 Sydney FC 26 39
6 Melbourne City FC 26 38
7 Macarthur FC 26 34
8 Wellington Phoenix FC 26 33
9 Central Coast Mariners FC 26 32
10 Perth Glory FC 26 31
11 Brisbane Roar FC 26 26
12 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 26 21

Head-to-Head

6
6
6
Melbourne Victory FC 18 games · Avg 2.4 goals Brisbane Roar FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2025-11-28 Brisbane Roar FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-11-09 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-04-20 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Brisbane Roar FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Brisbane Roar FC H 1–1 D
06 Feb Wellington Phoenix FC A 3–2 W
01 Feb Central Coast Mariners FC A 0–1 L
26 Jan Sydney FC H 4–0 W
17 Jan Adelaide United FC A 1–2 L
10 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
Brisbane Roar FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Melbourne Victory FC A 1–1 D
07 Feb Central Coast Mariners FC H 1–2 L
31 Jan Newcastle United Jets FC A 1–4 L
24 Jan Adelaide United FC H 2–3 L
16 Jan Perth Glory FC A 2–1 W
09 Jan Auckland FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Brisbane Roar FC
#4 Position #11
40 Points 26
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 12
44 Scored 27
33 Conceded 36
+11 GD -9
1.54 PPG 1.00
42% Win % 23%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Melbourne Victory FC launch into their encounter with Brisbane Roar FC.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kosta Barbarouses 7
Scott McDonald 3
Ola Toivonen 3
Andrew Nabbout 2
Marco Rojas 2
Riku Danzaki 2
Kai Trewin 1
Kasey Bos 1

Head to Head

2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2025-11-28 Brisbane Roar FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-11-09 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-04-20 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Brisbane Roar FC

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Sydney FC W 2026-01-17 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2026-02-07 Brisbane Roar FC 1–2 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2026-01-31 Newcastle United Jets FC 4–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2026-01-24 Brisbane Roar FC 2–3 Adelaide United FC L 2026-01-16 Perth Glory FC 1–2 Brisbane Roar FC W 2026-01-09 Brisbane Roar FC 0–2 Auckland FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.69 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Brisbane Roar FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC53% Draw26% Brisbane Roar FC21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Brisbane Roar FC
47%
Melbourne Victory FC or Brisbane Roar FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC38% Draw47% Brisbane Roar FC15%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.