Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Tue 26 Dec 2023 · 20:00 UTC Old Trafford 73,574 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' John McGinn
0–2 26' Leander Dendoncker
Alejandro Garnacho 59' 1–2
Alejandro Garnacho 71' 2–2
Rasmus Hojlund 82' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Old Trafford.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Pawson
  • Assistant 1 Richard West
  • Assistant 2 Steven Meredith (England)
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 20.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Aston Villa FC H 3–2 W
23 Dec West Ham United FC A 0–2 L
17 Dec Liverpool FC A 0–0 D
12 Dec FC Bayern München H 0–1 L
09 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 0–3 L
06 Dec Chelsea FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
22 Dec Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D
17 Dec Brentford FC A 2–1 W
09 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
06 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
03 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Manchester United FC Aston Villa FC
#12 Position #16
5 Points 4
5 Played 5
1 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
8 Scored 4
8 Conceded 9
+0 GD -5
1.00 PPG 0.80
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Manchester United FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Manchester United FC are 12th (5 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester United FC
Bruno Fernandes 3 G 1 A
Bryan Mbeumo 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC50% Draw24% Aston Villa FC26%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
50%
Manchester United FC or Aston Villa FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester United FC38% Draw41% Aston Villa FC21%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 21% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.