Thursday , 2 July 2026

Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Tue 26 Dec 2023 · 20:00 UTC Old Trafford 73,574 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' John McGinn
0–2 26' Leander Dendoncker
Alejandro Garnacho 59' 1–2
Alejandro Garnacho 71' 2–2
Rasmus Hojlund 82' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at Old Trafford.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Pawson
  • Assistant 1 Richard West
  • Assistant 2 Steven Meredith (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Aston Villa FC H 3–2 W
23 Dec West Ham United FC A 0–2 L
17 Dec Liverpool FC A 0–0 D
12 Dec FC Bayern München H 0–1 L
09 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 0–3 L
06 Dec Chelsea FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
22 Dec Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D
17 Dec Brentford FC A 2–1 W
09 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
06 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
03 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Manchester United FC Aston Villa FC
#10 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Manchester United FC are 10th (0 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.86 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Manchester United FC or Draw 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC35% Draw33% Aston Villa FC32%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
65%
Manchester United FC or Aston Villa FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester United FC20% Draw58% Aston Villa FC22%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
19.4%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 3
2.1%
1 – 3
1.9%
3 – 1
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 19% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 21% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.