Sunday , 16 August 2026

Manchester United FC vs Athletic Club, Europe 2024-25 SEMI FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2024-25
Thu 8 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Old Trafford HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs Athletic ClubEurope at Old Trafford.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
12 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 5.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Manchester United FC 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Athletic Club

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 May Athletic Club H 4–1 W
04 May Brentford FC A 3–4 L
01 May Athletic Club A 3–0 W
27 Apr AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
20 Apr Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
17 Apr Olympique Lyonnais H 5–4 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 May Manchester United FC A 1–4 L
04 May Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–0 D
01 May Manchester United FC H 0–3 L
23 Apr UD Las Palmas H 1–0 W
20 Apr Real Madrid CF A 0–1 L
17 Apr Rangers FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.15 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Athletic Club xG
I would bet for: Manchester United FC to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC63% Draw21% Athletic Club16%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Athletic Club
37%
Manchester United FC or Athletic Club
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester United FC45% Draw41% Athletic Club14%
Actual: Athletic Club win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.1%
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9%
3 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
3.8%
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push Athletic Club covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% 60%
-1 40% 23% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
39%
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.