Thursday , 2 July 2026

Manchester City FC vs Exeter City FC, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2025-26
Manchester City FC
10 – 1
Full Time
Exeter City FC
Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Exeter City FC — FA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Herczeg

Head-to-Head

1
Manchester City FC 1 games · Avg 11.0 goals Exeter City FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-10 Manchester City FC 10–1 Exeter City FC

Recent Form

Manchester City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Exeter City FC H 10–1 W
07 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–1 D
04 Jan Chelsea FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Sunderland AFC A 0–0 D
27 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 2–1 W
20 Dec West Ham United FC H 3–0 W
Exeter City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Manchester City FC A 1–10 L
04 Jan Huddersfield Town AFC A 2–2 D
01 Jan Luton Town FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec AFC Wimbledon A 1–0 W
26 Dec Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
20 Dec Barnsley FC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
67% Clean Sheets
Exeter City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Antoine Semenyo 3 G 2 A
Erling Haaland 3 G 1 A
Exeter City FC
Jack Aitchison 2 G
Jayden Wareham 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.97 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Manchester City FC to win 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC76% Draw13% Exeter City FC11%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 5.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 85%
15%
± 3.5 70%
30%
± 4.5 52%
48%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Exeter City FC
24%
Manchester City FC or Exeter City FC
87%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC68% Draw25% Exeter City FC7%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 10–1 not predicted
10 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
7.4%
4 – 1
7.2%
4 – 0
7.1%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 1
5.8%
5 – 1
5.7%
5 – 0
5.6%
6 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
3.8%
4 – 2
3.7%
6 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 52% — 48%
-2 52% 18% 29%
-1.5 71% — 29%
-1 71% 14% 15%
-0.5 85% — 15%
+0.5 94% — 6%
+1 94% 4% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 1% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
3% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.