Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Cardiff City FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Fri 26 Dec 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Exeter City FC — League One .

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
7 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Cardiff City FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Exeter City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Exeter City FC H 1–0 W
20 Dec Lincoln City FC A 1–2 L
13 Dec Doncaster Rovers FC H 4–3 W
09 Dec Stevenage FC A 1–0 W
06 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC H 3–2 W
29 Nov Mansfield Town FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
20 Dec Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
13 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
09 Dec AFC Wimbledon H 1–0 W
06 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 4–0 W
29 Nov Bradford City AFC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.47 Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC54% Draw27% Exeter City FC19%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Exeter City FC
46%
Cardiff City FC or Exeter City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC35% Draw50% Exeter City FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
12.8%
2 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap Cardiff City FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.