Cardiff City FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cardiff City FC vs Exeter City FC — League One .
- Cardiff City FC 46 games · 91 pts (2026/27)
- Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Reeves
7 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | Exeter City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Dec | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Dec | Doncaster Rovers FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 09 Dec | Stevenage FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Dec | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Nov | Mansfield Town FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | Cardiff City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Dec | Barnsley FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Dec | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Dec | AFC Wimbledon | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Dec | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 29 Nov | Bradford City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Exeter City FC kicks off things out of here…
- Exeter City FC will have plenty to reflect on. Cardiff City FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Cardiff City FC Lineups
Exeter City FC Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Cardiff City FC Form
2025-12-26
Cardiff City FC
1–0
Exeter City FC
W
2025-12-20
Lincoln City FC
2–1
Cardiff City FC
L
2025-12-13
Cardiff City FC
4–3
Doncaster Rovers FC
W
2025-12-09
Stevenage FC
0–1
Cardiff City FC
W
2025-12-06
Cardiff City FC
3–2
Huddersfield Town AFC
W
2025-11-29
Cardiff City FC
3–0
Mansfield Town FC
W
Exeter City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.47
Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cardiff City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Cardiff City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Exeter City FC
46%
Cardiff City FC or Exeter City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
12.8%
2 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2%
Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC
| Handicap | Cardiff City FC covers | Push | Exeter City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 25% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

