Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Exeter City FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Thu 1 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Exeter City FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Luton Town FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec AFC Wimbledon A 1–0 W
26 Dec Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
20 Dec Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
13 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
09 Dec AFC Wimbledon H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Exeter City FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W
26 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 4–0 W
18 Dec Reading FC A 2–3 L
13 Dec Port Vale FC H 2–2 D
09 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Luton Town FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Luton Town FC
Nahki Wells 4 G 1 A
Kasey Palmer 2 G 2 A
Callum Marshall 2 G
Jake Richards 1 G 1 A
Gideon Kodua 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Exeter City FC gets underway.
  • Exeter City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC53% Draw29% Luton Town FC18%
Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Luton Town FC
47%
Exeter City FC or Luton Town FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC34% Draw53% Luton Town FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 0
11.8%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
2.7%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 26% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
52% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.