Thursday , 2 July 2026

Exeter City FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Thu 1 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Exeter City FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Luton Town FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec AFC Wimbledon A 1–0 W
26 Dec Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
20 Dec Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
13 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
09 Dec AFC Wimbledon H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Exeter City FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W
26 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 4–0 W
18 Dec Reading FC A 2–3 L
13 Dec Port Vale FC H 2–2 D
09 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Exeter City FC Luton Town FC
#21 Position #7
49 Points 74
46 Played 46
12 / 13 / 21 W / D / L 21 / 11 / 14
52 Scored 68
61 Conceded 56
-9 GD +12
1.07 PPG 1.61
26% Win % 46%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Exeter City FC are 21st (49 pts). Luton Town FC are 7th (74 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • With this win, Exeter City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.32 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC49% Draw29% Luton Town FC22%
Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Luton Town FC
51%
Exeter City FC or Luton Town FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC31% Draw52% Luton Town FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
43%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.