Sunday , 16 August 2026

Manchester City FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 4 Jan 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Chelsea FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
20 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 10.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Chelsea FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Sunderland AFC A 0–0 D
27 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 2–1 W
20 Dec West Ham United FC H 3–0 W
14 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 3–0 W
10 Dec Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Manchester City FC A 1–1 D
30 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 2–2 D
27 Dec Aston Villa FC H 1–2 L
20 Dec Newcastle United FC A 2–2 D
13 Dec Everton FC H 2–0 W
09 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Manchester City FC Chelsea FC
#9 Position #17
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Manchester City FC are 9th (0 pts). Chelsea FC are 17th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.85 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.43 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 86% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC47% Draw36% Chelsea FC17%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 69%
31%
± 1.5 37%
63%
± 2.5 14%
86%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Chelsea FC
53%
Manchester City FC or Chelsea FC
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC24% Draw66% Chelsea FC10%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
30.6%
1 – 0
22.2%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
2.6%
0 – 2
2.2%
1 – 2
2.2%
3 – 1
1.4%
2 – 2
1.1%
4 – 0
0.6%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 27% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 13% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
65%
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.