Wednesday , 19 August 2026

Malaga CF vs AD Ceuta FC, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
Malaga CF
2 – 1
Full Time
AD Ceuta FC
Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 15:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Malaga CF vs AD Ceuta FC — Segunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Eder Mallo Fernandez (Spain)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Real Racing Club de Santander 42 82
2 RC Deportivo La Coruña 42 77
3 Malaga CF 42 73
4 CD Mirandés 42 40
5 SD Huesca 42 38
6 Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa 42 37
7 Real Zaragoza 42 36
8 Andorra CF 1 3
9 UD Almeria 1 3
10 CD Tenerife 1 3
11 RCD Mallorca 1 3
12 Burgos CF 1 3
13 UD Las Palmas 1 3
14 CD Castellon 1 3
15 CD Leganes 1 1
16 Girona FC 1 1
17 Real Sporting de Gijon 1 1
18 Granada CF 1 1
19 Cadiz CF 1 1
20 Real Oviedo 1 1
21 Celta Vigo B 1 1
22 CE Sabadell FC 1 1
23 Cordoba CF 1 0
24 Albacete Balompie 1 0
25 Real Sociedad B 1 0
26 SD Eibar 1 0
27 Real Valladolid CF 1 0
28 CD Eldense 1 0
29 AD Ceuta FC 1 0

Head-to-Head

2
Malaga CF 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals AD Ceuta FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-11 Malaga CF 2–1 AD Ceuta FC

Recent Form

Malaga CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan AD Ceuta FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan Real Sporting de Gijon A 3–1 W
21 Dec UD Almeria H 2–1 W
14 Dec Albacete Balompie A 3–1 W
08 Dec Real Zaragoza H 1–1 D
29 Nov Real Valladolid CF A 1–1 D
AD Ceuta FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Malaga CF A 1–2 L
04 Jan Andorra CF H 2–1 W
21 Dec Real Sociedad B A 3–1 W
14 Dec UD Las Palmas H 1–1 D
07 Dec Granada CF A 1–1 D
29 Nov Burgos CF H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Malaga CF AD Ceuta FC
#3 Position #29
73 Points 0
42 Played 1
21 / 10 / 11 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 1
75 Scored 1
52 Conceded 5
+23 GD -4
1.74 PPG 0.00
50% Win % 0%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Malaga CF are 3rd (73 pts). AD Ceuta FC are 29th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AD Ceuta FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Malaga CF and AD Ceuta FC get this one started.
  • With this win, Malaga CF is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Malaga CF Lineups

AD Ceuta FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
4.8 Malaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 AD Ceuta FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 91% + Malaga CF to win 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Malaga CF80% Draw11% AD Ceuta FC9%
Actual: Malaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 5.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 91%
9%
± 3.5 80%
20%
± 4.5 64%
36%

Double Chance

Malaga CF or Draw
91%
Draw or AD Ceuta FC
20%
Malaga CF or AD Ceuta FC
89%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Malaga CF75% Draw20% AD Ceuta FC5%
Actual: Malaga CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
4 – 1
7.3%
4 – 0
7%
5 – 1
6.9%
5 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
6.1%
6 – 1
5.5%
6 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
4.1%
4 – 2
3.9%
7 – 1
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Malaga CF

Handicap Malaga CF covers Push AD Ceuta FC covers
-2.5 63% — 37%
-2 63% 16% 21%
-1.5 79% — 21%
-1 79% 11% 10%
-0.5 90% — 10%
+0.5 96% — 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Malaga CF keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
1% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.