Tuesday , 28 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 11:30 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,867 HT 45' · FT 45'
Isaiah Jones 15' 1–0
1–1 28' Daniel James

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
29 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
15 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 0–0 D
11 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Burnley FC A 0–4 L
01 Mar Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Luton Town FC A 1–1 D
29 Mar Swansea City AFC H 2–2 D
15 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–2 D
12 Mar Millwall FC H 2–0 W
09 Mar Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L
01 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Luton Town FC and Leeds United FC is underway.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Maximilian Wober has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 15' Goal! Isaiah Jones scores his 14 goal in 251 matches.
  • 20' It’s high time Matt Bloomfield made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 22' Isaiah Jones catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 22.
  • 27' Luton Town FC currently sit 23 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 28' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Daniel James makes it 1-1.
  • 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
  • 40' Jayden Bogle has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
  • 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 49' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 49 minute. Elijah Adebayo leaves to be changed by Tahith Chong.
  • 54' Elijah Adebayo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 50 goals in his last 57 appearances.
  • 59' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 60' A moment of madness from Manor Solomon on 60 minutes earns him a card. Leeds United FC will be frustrated.
  • 63' The Leeds United FC bench stirs into life. Wilfried Gnonto is withdrawn and Patrick Bamford gets his opportunity.
  • 68' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 382 games and scored 465 goals.
  • 73' Luton Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Leeds United FC backline.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Luton Town FCMillenic Alli on, Isaiah Jones off on 77 minutes.
  • 78' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Liam Walsh has done his job and it is now time for Lamine Dabo to step up.
  • 79' Leeds United FC make a change. Joel Piroe trudges off to be replaced by Brenden Aaronson on 79 minutes.
  • 84' It looks surprising Leeds United FC does not make any changes. Joe Rodon has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 86' Leeds United FC ring the changes. Pascal Struijk has done his job and it is now time for Maximilian Wober to step up.
  • 87' Another change for Leeds United FC made on 87 minute. Manor Solomon leaves to be changed by Isaac Schmidt.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.12 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Leeds United FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC37% Draw30% Leeds United FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Leeds United FC
63%
Luton Town FC or Leeds United FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC24% Draw52% Leeds United FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.9%
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
10.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.7%
0 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 20% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.