Saturday , 14 November 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC St James' Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Miguel Almiron 14' 1–0
Alexander Isak pen 76' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League at St James' Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan
7 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 7.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Burnley FC H 2–0 W
24 Sep Sheffield United FC A 8–0 W
19 Sep AC Milan A 0–0 D
16 Sep Brentford FC H 1–0 W
02 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–3 L
27 Aug Liverpool FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Newcastle United FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–1 L
18 Sep Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
02 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–5 L
27 Aug Aston Villa FC H 1–3 L
11 Aug Manchester City FC H 0–3 L

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Harvey Barnes 2 G 2 A
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59% + Newcastle United FC to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC58% Draw25% Burnley FC17%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Burnley FC
42%
Newcastle United FC or Burnley FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Newcastle United FC36% Draw49% Burnley FC15%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 17% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 25% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.