Thursday , 2 July 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC St James' Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Miguel Almiron 14' 1–0
Alexander Isak pen 76' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Burnley FCPremier League at St James' Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Burnley FC H 2–0 W
24 Sep Sheffield United FC A 8–0 W
19 Sep AC Milan A 0–0 D
16 Sep Brentford FC H 1–0 W
02 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–3 L
27 Aug Liverpool FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Newcastle United FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–1 L
18 Sep Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
02 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–5 L
27 Aug Aston Villa FC H 1–3 L
11 Aug Manchester City FC H 0–3 L

Season Stats

Newcastle United FC Burnley FC
#19 Position #2
0 Points 22
0 Played 38
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 10 / 24
0 Scored 38
0 Conceded 75
+0 GD -37
PPG 0.58
Win % 11%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Newcastle United FC are 19th (0 pts). Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Burnley FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josh Cullen suffering a number of foals already.
  • 14' The Paraguay Miguel Almiron breaks the deadlock on 14 minutes. 1-0!
  • 17' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Anthony Gordon on 17 minutes.
  • 22' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 27' Anthony Gordon has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 29' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Zeki Amdouni.
  • 34' Burnley FC have won 404 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Josh Brownhill, as he is very good at scoring at St James' Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 40' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Louis Beyer.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 53' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Charlie Taylor gets a Yellow card.
  • 58' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Luca Koleosho departs to be replaced by Jacob Bruun Larsen.
  • 63' Newcastle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 64' Joelinton is replacing Elliot Anderson for the Newcastle United FC side.
  • 67' The whistle greets Aaron Ramsey as he departs to be replaced by Wilson Odobert.
  • 68' A change in the Newcastle United FC ranks — Joelinton exits the field as Sandro Tonali enters on 68.
  • 73' Burnley FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 76' Against the run of play, Alexander Isak has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 81' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 86' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 88' Vitinho gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Connor Roberts and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Jacob Murphy is replacing Miguel Almiron for the Newcastle United FC side.
  • Another three points for Newcastle United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 87% + Under — clean sheet likely 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC54% Draw35% Burnley FC11%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes17% 0% No83%
Avg goals/match: 1.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 67%
33%
± 1.5 34%
66%
± 2.5 13%
87%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Burnley FC
46%
Newcastle United FC or Burnley FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Newcastle United FC27% Draw68% Burnley FC5%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.1%
1 – 0
25.6%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.3%
3 – 1
1.3%
1 – 2
1.2%
0 – 2
1.1%
4 – 0
0.7%
2 – 2
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 13% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 30% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 9% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
74%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.