Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Mon 18 Sep 2023 · 18:45 UTC City Ground 28,958 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 41' Zeki Amdouni
Callum Hudson-Odoi 61' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Burnley FCPremier League at City Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Wade Smith

Head-to-Head

2
2
Nottingham Forest FC 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals Burnley FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Burnley FC H 1–1 D
02 Sep Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
26 Aug Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
18 Aug Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
12 Aug Arsenal FC A 1–2 L
28 May Crystal Palace FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
02 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–5 L
27 Aug Aston Villa FC H 1–3 L
11 Aug Manchester City FC H 0–3 L
08 May Cardiff City FC H 3–0 W
29 Apr Bristol City FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC Burnley FC
#23 Position #2
0 Points 22
0 Played 38
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 10 / 24
0 Scored 38
0 Conceded 75
+0 GD -37
PPG 0.58
Win % 11%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Nottingham Forest FC are 23rd (0 pts). Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.58 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC33% Draw40% Burnley FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes21% 0% No79%
Avg goals/match: 1.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 66%
34%
± 1.5 33%
67%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Burnley FC
67%
Nottingham Forest FC or Burnley FC
60%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC15% Draw70% Burnley FC15%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
34.4%
1 – 0
16.5%
0 – 1
16.2%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 1
3.3%
1 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
1.1%
3 – 0
0.9%
0 – 3
0.9%
3 – 1
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 20% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 20% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
57%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
56%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.