Thursday , 2 July 2026

Livingston FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Tue 2 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC Tony Macaroni Arena 6,161 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–2 53' Kenneth Vargas
1–2 64' Lawrence Shankland
Andrew Shinnie pen 79' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

Livingston FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League at Tony Macaroni Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson
  • Assistant 1 Francis Connor
  • Assistant 2 Steven Traynor (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–2 L
30 Dec Motherwell FC A 1–3 L
27 Dec St. Johnstone FC H 0–0 D
23 Dec Celtic FC A 0–2 L
20 Dec Aberdeen FC A 1–2 L
16 Dec Kilmarnock FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jan Livingston FC A 2–1 W
30 Dec Ross County FC H 2–2 D
27 Dec Hibernian FC A 1–0 W
23 Dec St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
16 Dec Celtic FC A 2–0 W
09 Dec Aberdeen FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Livingston FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#12 Position #1
16 Points 70
33 Played 33
1 / 13 / 19 W / D / L 21 / 7 / 5
35 Scored 58
66 Conceded 28
-31 GD +30
0.48 PPG 2.12
3% Win % 64%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Livingston FC are 12th (16 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Livingston FC to score. At the same time, Heart of Midlothian FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' James Penrice has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' Livingston FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' Livingston FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Heart of Midlothian FC's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 35' Livingston FC have won 245 goals from 251 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 42' Calem Nieuwenhof picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tom Parkes.
  • 46' Livingston FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cristian Montano is hanging Tom Parkes on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Craig Halkett has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 53' Kenneth Vargas makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Heart of Midlothian FC are in front.
  • 58' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 60' That looks like a foul for a card for Frankie Kent.
  • 62' Tete Yengi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Steven Bradley at the 62 minute mark.
  • 64' GOAL! Lawrence Shankland scores on 64.
  • 68' The whistle greets Michael Devlin as he departs to be replaced by Michael Nottingham.
  • 73' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Andrew Shinnie made 382 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 78' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 79' The Scotland Andrew Shinnie breaks the deadlock on 79 minutes. 1-2!
  • 84' A change in the Livingston FC ranks — Scott Pittman exits the field as Bruce Anderson enters on 84.
  • 89' Joel Nouble has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 251 appearances.
  • 90' Aidan Denholm gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Calem Nieuwenhof and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Full Time. Heart of Midlothian FC beats Livingston FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.68 Livingston FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 58% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Livingston FC18% Draw25% Heart of Midlothian FC57%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Livingston FC or Draw
43%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
82%
Livingston FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Livingston FC11% Draw46% Heart of Midlothian FC43%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.4%
0 – 2
13.1%
1 – 1
11%
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
7.7%
1 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
4.8%
0 – 4
3.4%
2 – 1
3.4%
2 – 2
3.1%
1 – 4
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Livingston FC

Handicap Livingston FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 9% 87%
-0.5 13% 87%
+0.5 38% 62%
+1 38% 25% 37%
+1.5 63% 37%
+2 63% 20% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
51%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.