Sunday , 16 August 2026

Liverpool FC vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Anfield 60,399 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45+1' William Smallbone
Darwin Nunez 51' 1–1
Mohamed Salah pen 54' 2–1
Mohamed Salah pen 88' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Liverpool FC vs Southampton FCPremier League at Anfield.

Match Details

  • Referee Lewis Smith
  • Assistant 1 Matt Wilkes (England)
  • Assistant 2 Marc Perry
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 4.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Southampton FC H 3–1 W
05 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–0 W
26 Feb Newcastle United FC H 2–0 W
23 Feb Manchester City FC A 2–0 W
19 Feb Aston Villa FC A 2–2 D
16 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
25 Feb Chelsea FC A 0–4 L
22 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–4 L
15 Feb AFC Bournemouth H 1–3 L
08 Feb Burnley FC H 0–1 L
01 Feb Ipswich Town FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
85% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.15 Liverpool FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Liverpool FC to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Liverpool FC64% Draw21% Southampton FC15%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Liverpool FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Southampton FC
36%
Liverpool FC or Southampton FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Liverpool FC44% Draw40% Southampton FC16%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.3%
0 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
3.8%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Liverpool FC

Handicap Liverpool FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 22% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.