Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Liverpool FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sun 28 May 2023 · 15:30 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Liverpool FCPremier League at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Referee Darren England
  • Referee Samuel Lewis
  • Referee
  • Referee Craig Pawson
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 May Liverpool FC H 4–4 D
21 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–3 L
13 May Fulham FC H 0–2 L
08 May Nottingham Forest FC A 3–4 L
30 Apr Newcastle United FC A 1–3 L
27 Apr AFC Bournemouth H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 May Southampton FC A 4–4 D
20 May Aston Villa FC H 1–1 D
15 May Leicester City FC A 3–0 W
06 May Brentford FC H 1–0 W
03 May Fulham FC H 1–0 W
30 Apr Tottenham Hotspur FC H 4–3 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
85% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.13 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC28% Draw24% Liverpool FC48%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Liverpool FC
72%
Southampton FC or Liverpool FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC23% Draw39% Liverpool FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–4 not predicted
4 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 3
4%
0 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.4%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 14% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 20% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 15% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.